Tyrrell market analysis
Tyrrell County sits at a median home price of $175,122, making it one of the more affordable entry points in North Carolina, reflected in its affordability score of 92 out of 100. The county ranks 5th in the state and lands in the 77th percentile nationally across 1,000 ranked counties, with an overall score of 68. However, the investment estimate data returns zeroes across cap rate, cash-on-cash return, estimated cash flow, and monthly mortgage, which means the rent side of the equation is either absent or unreliable for this county. Without a verified rent figure, a price-to-rent ratio cannot be calculated with confidence, and any cap rate projection would be fabricated. What the data does establish clearly is that home prices grew just 1.27% year-over-year, meaning Tyrrell is not an appreciation play either. The appreciation score of 63 is moderate at best, and the cash flow score is 0. That combination puts Tyrrell in an uncomfortable middle position: not enough price momentum to attract an appreciation buyer, and not enough rent data to confirm a cash-flow thesis.
That ambiguity matters enormously for underwriting. A serious investor cannot size a deal without a defensible rent estimate, and the data here does not provide one. Tyrrell may suit a very specific buyer: someone acquiring at the $175,000 price point in cash or with minimal leverage who is willing to do primary market research on local rents before committing. The affordability score of 92 suggests that if rents are discoverable and reasonable relative to price, the low entry cost could produce acceptable yields. A value-add operator who can source off-market properties below the $175,000 median and raise rents through renovation might find the math workable, but that requires boots-on-the-ground diligence that this data cannot substitute for. At a 6.85% interest rate with a $35,024 down payment, leverage is expensive, which makes the missing cash-flow score even more consequential. Buying at this price with a mortgage, without a confirmed rent figure, is speculative.
There are no economic anchors or employer data provided for Tyrrell County, so no claims can be made about job concentration, institutional demand drivers, or workforce stability. That absence is itself a signal. Tyrrell has a population of 3,389, which places it among the smallest counties in the country. Thin population means thin rental demand pools, limited comparables, and real liquidity risk if an investor needs to sell. A county this size can absorb very few rental units before the market is effectively saturated.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance estimate of $163 is not particularly burdensome at this price point. The state-average effective property tax rate of 0.84% produces an annual tax bill of approximately $1,471, and the insurance estimate adds another $490 annually. The 0.84% rate is flagged as "normal" and is neither a tailwind nor a material drag. Worth noting: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county or township rates in Tyrrell may differ, so verify the local millage rate directly with the county assessor before closing. The combined $163 monthly carry is manageable, but it only matters if rents justify the purchase in the first place.
The principal risk here is structural, not cyclical. A population of 3,389 in a rural North Carolina county creates concentration risk by definition. A single large employer leaving, a demographic shift, or a weather event affecting the coastal plain could meaningfully reduce the tenant pool. There is no data provided on vacancy rates or regulatory environment, so those risks cannot be quantified, but the population figure alone warrants caution. Liquidity risk is equally real: resale in a county this thin requires patient capital, and a forced sale in a soft period could be punishing.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the dataset, Tyrrell's $175,122 median price is the lowest by a significant margin. Davidson County at $264,061 and Cherokee County at $274,117 both carry higher price tags but also carry confirmed rent figures, with Davidson at $1,445.94 per month (0.657% rent-to-price ratio) and Cherokee at $1,625 per month (0.711% rent-to-price ratio). Cumberland County at $227,591 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.750% is the strongest cash-flow option among the neighbors with available data. An investor focused on confirmed cash flow should look at Cumberland or Cherokee before Tyrrell simply because the numbers are there to underwrite. Tyrrell's edge is price, but price alone does not make a deal. Choose Tyrrell over a neighbor only if local market research confirms rents that produce a rent-to-price ratio competitive with Cumberland's 0.75%, and only if the investor has a clear tenant sourcing strategy for a sub-4,000-person county.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Tyrrell County in North Carolina scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.