Sargent market analysis
Sargent County sits at a median home price of $184,738, making it one of the more affordable entry points in North Dakota, with an affordability index of 90 out of 100. Year-over-year appreciation came in at 2.37%, which is modest but positive. The dataset does not include rent figures, cap rate, or cash-flow estimates for this county, so the cash-flow side of the underwrite cannot be completed from this data alone. What the scoring reflects is a market that leans toward appreciation and affordability rather than cash flow: the appreciation score is 74, the affordability score is 90, and the cash-flow score is listed at zero, which signals that the data pipeline did not produce a reliable rent-to-price spread. Investors need to source local rent comps independently before committing to a number.
Because cap rate and cash-on-cash return are both zero in the provided data, Sargent is not a market you underwrite on paper yield alone. The case here is affordability-driven: at $184,738 with a 20% down payment of roughly $36,948 and a note rate of 6.85%, your mortgage payment is the primary carry cost to model. Combined with $205 per month in estimated taxes and insurance, your fixed monthly outlay before maintenance and vacancy is manageable relative to many higher-priced markets. If local rents support even a thin spread over that carry, the low entry price means your total capital at risk is contained. This market suits an investor who is comfortable buying affordably, holding through a modest appreciation cycle at around 2.4% annually, and waiting for rent growth to catch up, rather than someone seeking day-one cash flow.
No economic anchor data was provided for Sargent County, so employer-level demand drivers cannot be assessed from this dataset. What the population figure does tell you is that this is a very small market: 3,828 residents. That is not a disqualifier for buy-and-hold, but it does mean that rental demand is thin by definition. A single large employer hiring or a facility closing can move the local rental market in ways that a diversified metro absorbs without notice. Concentration risk is a real variable here, and any underwrite should include a stress test on vacancy that reflects the limited pool of prospective tenants.
On carry costs, the property tax picture is within normal range. The state-average effective rate is 0.98%, generating an estimated $1,810 in annual property tax on a $184,738 purchase, with insurance adding another $647 per year. That $205 combined monthly figure is not punishing, and the tax flag is classified as normal rather than high or very high, so it is not a line item that should derail an otherwise sound deal. That said, as the data note specifies, this is a state-average estimate based on Tax Foundation 2024 figures, and the actual county or township rate in Sargent may differ. Pull the county assessor data before closing.
The small population creates concentration risk that deserves direct attention. With fewer than 4,000 residents, the rental market is likely measured in dozens of units rather than hundreds. Regulatory risk is not flagged in the data, but thin rural markets can also present liquidity risk at exit: the buyer pool for investment properties is narrow, and days on market can extend significantly if conditions shift. Investors should factor in a longer hold horizon and ensure the asset can be repositioned as a primary residence if needed.
Compared to the five neighboring counties provided, Sargent's median price of $184,738 is the lowest in the group. Ransom County is the closest comp at $197,391 with an overall score of 71, just below Sargent's 72. Mountrail ($236,745, score 73), Mercer ($225,277, score 70), and Ramsey ($220,838, score 70) all carry higher price points for similar or lower overall scores. McKenzie County is an outlier at $356,622 with a score of 71, reflecting its oil-patch premium. Sargent's case for selection over its neighbors comes down to two things: the lowest acquisition cost in the peer set and the highest overall score among them. If your strategy is low-capital-deployment, appreciation-oriented, long-hold rural North Dakota, Sargent is the most efficient entry in this comparison. If you need income from day one or want the economic depth that comes with a larger employer base, the data provided does not confirm Sargent can deliver that, and a county with documented rental demand would be the better fit.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 2.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Sargent County in North Dakota scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.