Summit market analysis
Summit County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.70%, which places it squarely in appreciation-leaning territory for Ohio. The county's 4.35% cap rate is respectable for a mid-size Midwestern market, but the levered math is harder to love: at a 6.85% interest rate with 20% down, the model produces a monthly cash flow of negative $367 and a cash-on-cash return of negative 8.42%. That gap between cap rate and cost of debt is the defining tension here. Home prices grew 3.65% year-over-year, and the appreciation score of 82 out of 100 confirms the market is rewarding holders more than it is rewarding leveraged cash-flow buyers right now. With a median home price of $227,458 and an affordability index of 81, the entry point is accessible, but the current rate environment is doing real damage to monthly returns.
The investor this market suits best is someone with a longer hold horizon, comfortable running slightly negative or breakeven in the early years while waiting for rents and equity to close the gap. An appreciation buyer who can bring a larger down payment, or deploy the county's 81 affordability score to find sub-median-price assets that pencil better, has a real case here. The cash-flow score of 67 is not disqualifying, but it does confirm you are not buying income today at market prices and standard leverage. A value-add operator looking to force equity through renovation has the right backdrop: the affordability index suggests there is room in the market for tenants to absorb rent bumps post-improvement, and the 539,361-person population base provides enough rental demand to re-lease a repositioned asset without excessive downtime.
Summit County, anchored by Akron as its county seat, benefits from a large and reasonably diversified employment base for a market of this size. The stability score of 50 out of 100 is the one number here that should give a careful investor pause. It signals meaningful economic or demographic volatility relative to peers, and it deserves weight when you are underwriting a five- to ten-year hold. Rental demand in large Ohio counties tends to be durable when the local economy has depth, but the stability score suggests Summit is not immune to cyclical softness. Underwrite your vacancy assumptions conservatively; do not model your best-case occupancy.
The tax and insurance load is a real line item in this market. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.56%, Ohio sits in high territory by national standards, and Summit's modeled annual property tax of $3,548 combined with $523 in annual insurance produces a combined monthly carry cost of $339 before you touch maintenance, management, or capex. That $339 is already baked into the negative $367 monthly cash flow, but the point is that there is no slack in this cost structure. At 1.56%, the rate is high enough to deserve its own line on your underwrite, and you should verify the actual Summit County or township rate before closing, since the figure cited here is a state-average estimate from the Tax Foundation and county-level assessments can deviate materially in either direction.
The neighbor comparison is instructive. Erie County is the most interesting alternative in this dataset: its median home price of $228,638 is nearly identical to Summit's $227,458, but its rent-to-price ratio of 7.38% is meaningfully higher versus Summit's 6.70%, and its overall score of 70 edges Summit's 69. If your primary objective is improving the monthly cash-flow picture without moving far up the price curve, Erie is worth running a parallel underwrite. Richland County offers a lower entry point at $187,141, but its rent-to-price ratio of 6.00% is actually weaker than Summit's despite the cheaper basis, which suggests the rent market there has not kept pace with prices in a useful way for investors. Miami County is more expensive at $260,436 with a 6.34% ratio and a lower overall score of 68, which makes it difficult to justify over Summit on a risk-adjusted basis. Hancock County, at $229,447 and a 6.85% ratio, competes closely with Summit on price but produces slightly better rent-to-price dynamics with an overall score of 68. Choose Summit over its neighbors when you are specifically targeting appreciation and population scale, those two factors favor it over every county in this comparison set. Choose Erie if cash flow is the priority and you can accept a smaller market.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $170,594 | -$69/mo | 5.8% | -2.1% |
Median typical MLS deal | $227,458 | -$367/mo | 4.3% | -8.4% |
125% of median newer / premium | $284,323 | -$665/mo | 3.5% | -12.2% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.70% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 3.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.70%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$367/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Summit County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Summit County in Ohio scores 69/100, ranking #169 of 1,000 US counties (top 22%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $367/month; the 6.70% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Summit with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Summit
Head-to-head comparisons
Average rent by city in Summit County
- Average rent in Akron$1,148/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.