McCurtain County
Market Snapshot
McCurtain market analysis
McCurtain County sits at a median home price of $209,780 with 1.29% year-over-year appreciation, which immediately tells you this is not a market you buy for price growth. The affordability index of 85 and a national percentile rank of 70th out of 1,000 counties suggest you're getting relative value on acquisition cost, but the cash flow score of 0 is the number that defines the investment thesis here. No cap rate, no estimated cash flow, and no rent-to-price ratio are provided in the data, which means any underwriting you do will depend heavily on your own rent comps and expense assumptions rather than advertised yields. The appreciation score of 63 is middling, pointing to a market that neither compounds wealth through price gains nor generates reliable monthly income in any obvious way based on the numbers available. At 6.85% financing, carrying a $209,780 asset on $41,956 down requires your rent to work hard just to cover the mortgage before expenses.
The investor profile that makes the most sense here is a value-add operator or a cash buyer who can sidestep the debt service problem entirely. At a median price under $210,000 with an affordability index of 85, there is room to acquire below replacement cost and manufacture equity through renovation, particularly if local wages and rents are structurally below state averages. A leveraged buy-and-hold investor expecting market rents to comfortably cover debt service at 6.85% will find the math difficult without confirmed rent data showing a gross yield well above 8%. Appreciation buyers should note that 1.29% annual price growth barely keeps pace with general inflation, making McCurtain a poor choice if forced appreciation through the market is the plan.
McCurtain County has a population of 31,003, which places it firmly in small-market territory. No economic anchors or employer data were provided, so drawing conclusions about job stability or rental demand from specific industries or institutions is not possible here. What the population figure does imply is concentration risk: a small, geographically rural county in southeastern Oklahoma means your tenant pool is narrow, lease-up timelines may be longer than in urban submarkets, and any single employer contraction or population outflow can move vacancy rates meaningfully. Investors accustomed to metro markets where one lost tenant gets replaced in two weeks should price in longer vacancy buffers when underwriting McCurtain assets.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure is $283, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.90% and an insurance rate of 0.72%, per Tax Foundation 2024 data. That note is important: the 0.90% figure is a state-average estimate, and your actual county or township rate in McCurtain may differ, so verify at the assessor's office before closing. The propertyTaxFlag is "normal," meaning this rate is neither a tailwind nor a red flag, but the insurance component at 0.72% reflects Oklahoma's elevated exposure to wind and hail events, which is real and not a rounding error. On a $210,000 asset, $1,510 annually in insurance is material, and if you're buying older wood-frame stock, carriers may price you above that figure or require separate windstorm riders. The $283 monthly tax-and-insurance combined load should sit on its own line in your underwrite before you ever get to maintenance, management, or vacancy reserves.
The specific risk worth flagging is demographic and market-size concentration. At 31,003 residents, McCurtain has limited population density to absorb a real estate cycle without amplified volatility. No vacancy or crime data were provided, so no claims can be made there, but the structural reality of a sub-35,000-person county in a rural state is that liquidity on exit will be constrained. Buyer pools for resale are thin, which extends your hold period and limits your ability to recycle capital quickly if the investment thesis changes.
Comparing McCurtain to the listed neighbors clarifies where it sits. Muskogee County is the most instructive benchmark: median home price of $150,587, a rent-to-price ratio of 8.57%, and an overall score of 65, essentially matching McCurtain's 66. Muskogee delivers measurably better gross yield mechanics at a lower acquisition cost, which is the profile a cash-flow buyer should favor. Payne County at $232,536 and a 7.38% rent-to-price ratio, and Tulsa County at $244,543 and 6.77%, both carry higher prices with the trade-off of larger tenant pools and more liquid exit markets. Canadian County at $267,590 is priced furthest from McCurtain and likely serves a different buyer entirely. The case for choosing McCurtain over its neighbors is narrow: if you find a specific asset at a meaningful discount to the $209,780 median with a clear value-add play, the affordability index gives you downside cushion. Otherwise, Muskogee's published rent-to-price ratio of 8.57% makes it the stronger default for anyone prioritizing cash flow, and Tulsa's scale makes it the stronger default for anyone prioritizing liquidity.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
McCurtain County in Oklahoma scores 66/100, ranking #233 of 1,000 US counties (top 30%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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