Malheur County

OregonPopulation: 31,538
65
/100
Buy
#253 of 1,000 counties
#5 in Oregon (36 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 8, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$315,480
Median Home Price
38% above national median
$19,062/mo
Est. Rent
Based on regional data
6.04%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Estimated from price data
+$0
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Malheur market analysis

Malheur County sits at a median home price of $315,480, up 2.91% year-over-year, in the lower tier of Oregon's price ladder. The data does not include a cap rate or rent estimates for this county, which means cash-flow underwriting cannot be completed from these figures alone, and any investor who needs a completed cash-on-cash model before committing should treat Malheur as a market that requires local rent comps before proceeding. What the data does show clearly is where this county lands on the spectrum: an appreciation score of 79 out of 100 paired with a cash-flow score of 0 tells you this is not a market the model is pricing for immediate income, it is a market being priced for capital growth. The affordability index of 62 indicates homes are accessible relative to many Oregon alternatives, which creates a floor of owner-occupant demand that tends to support price stability even when investor yields compress.

The appreciation score of 79 makes Malheur one of the stronger appreciation-oriented bets among Oregon's 36 counties, sitting at the 5th-best county in the state and the 68th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties. That ranking matters. A long-term hold investor or a 1031 exchange buyer parking capital into a lower-cost Oregon asset with price-growth upside will find this profile familiar. A cash-flow buyer looking for a day-one positive carry, particularly one financing at the 6.85% rate assumed in this dataset, should not enter this market without verified local rents, because the model cannot confirm that rents cover debt service. A value-add operator who can buy below median, force appreciation through renovation, and refinance out at a higher value may find the combination of relative affordability and an above-average appreciation trajectory worth the effort, but that thesis rests on execution rather than raw yield.

The taxInsurance data adds a concrete number to the carry cost picture. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.97%, Malheur falls into the normal range, neither a tailwind nor a flag. Annual property tax on the median purchase comes to $3,060, annual insurance to $599, putting combined monthly tax and insurance at $305. That is a manageable fixed cost, and unlike high-tax markets it does not create a structural drag on cash flow. The honest caveat here, as the data source notes, is that 0.97% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Malheur County or township-level rates may differ, so verify with the county assessor before closing a deal.

No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Malheur County, so no claims can be made about the local employer base or job stability drivers. Investors considering this market should independently research the county's employment composition, particularly given the population of 31,538, which puts it in small-market territory where a single employer shift can move rental vacancy meaningfully. The stability score of 50 reflects this uncertainty, sitting squarely at the midpoint and signaling neither exceptional resilience nor obvious fragility. Small-county concentration risk is real: demand for rentals in a 31,000-person county is thin enough that even modest population outflows or a single large employer contraction can move vacancy rates in ways that a larger metro absorbs without visible damage. Investors should underwrite conservatively on vacancy assumptions and confirm that the local rental pool is diversified across sectors before committing.

Compared to its neighbors, Malheur's story is competitive but not dominant. Lake County has the highest overall score in the group at 69, above Malheur's 65, but at a median price of $194,080 it operates in a different price bracket. Sherman County scores one point higher at 66 with a median of $271,963, making it the most direct competitor on value. The two neighbors with rent data available are Union County (rent-to-price ratio of 0.0568, overall score 62) and Umatilla County (rent-to-price ratio of 0.0586, overall score 61). Both of those counties trail Malheur on overall score but provide visible rent benchmarks that Malheur currently lacks in this dataset. If yield verification is the priority, Umatilla's 0.0586 rent-to-price ratio at a $303,262 median gives an investor a working data point to pressure-test similar assets in adjacent markets. Choose Malheur over its neighbors when the investment thesis is appreciation-led and you are comfortable sourcing local rent comps independently, when you want Oregon exposure without paying Union County prices, and when the 5th-best appreciation score in the state at a sub-$320,000 entry point justifies the added research burden a thinner market requires.

Last analyzed August 8, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Malheur County.

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
65/100
65
Cash Flow(30%)
0/100

Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.

Appreciation(25%)
79/100

Based on 2.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
62/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

No significant strengths identified based on current data.

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -Limited rent data (estimates used)

Economic Indicators

Population
31,538
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Skip if
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
LakeOR
69$194,080Est. pendingBuyView
ShermanOR
66$271,963Est. pendingBuyView
CurrentMalheurOR
65$315,480Est. pendingBuy
UnionOR
62$320,525$1,5165.68%BuyView
GrantOR
62$277,438Est. pendingBuyView
UmatillaOR
61$303,262$1,4825.86%BuyView

The Bottom Line

BuyMalheur offers solid investment potential with roughly break-even cash flow at typical financing.

Malheur County in Oregon scores 65/100, ranking #253 of 1,000 US counties (top 32%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.

Monthly Cash Flow
+$0/mo
Cap Rate
0.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Cap rate data is not currently available for Malheur County, indicating limited rental market activity or insufficient comparable sales data in this appreciation-focused market.

Ready to Analyze a Deal in Malheur?

Use our investment calculators to run detailed numbers on specific properties.