Franklin market analysis
Franklin County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.0553, which translates to an annualized yield of roughly 5.5% before any expenses touch it. That sounds workable until you run a full underwrite: at a $289,562 purchase price with 20% down and a 6.85% rate, the monthly mortgage alone is $1,518 against median rent of $1,335. The model spits out negative $650 per month in cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -11.71%. The cap rate of 3.6% confirms what the cash-flow number already tells you, which is that the market is priced for something other than income today. Year-over-year home price appreciation of 1.64% is modest, not the kind of number that makes a speculative appreciation bet compelling either. Franklin scores 53 on cash flow and 66 on appreciation, landing it squarely in the middle of the spectrum, leaning slightly toward appreciation but without the price momentum to make that a decisive argument. An affordability index of 68 is a relative positive, suggesting the median home remains attainable by local standards, but affordability alone does not fix a negative carry position at current rates.
The investor profile this market fits most naturally is a longer-hold appreciation buyer who can absorb near-term negative cash flow, either through reserves, a larger down payment than the modeled 20%, or a price negotiated below median. A cash-flow buyer underwriting at current rates and the median price will be fighting the math from day one: the -$650 monthly shortfall is not a rounding error, it is a structural feature of where prices sit relative to rents. A value-add operator who can force rent above the $1,335 median, or acquire meaningfully below the $289,562 median, has a clearer path, because the gross yield at 5.5% leaves some room if purchase price is compressed and rent is pushed. At a hypothetical 10% below-median acquisition around $260,000, the debt service drops and the cap rate picture improves, but you are still threading a needle at these financing costs. Franklin is not a market where the numbers work passively at retail; it rewards selectivity and patience over volume buying.
The tax and insurance load in Franklin deserves a dedicated line on your underwrite. The combined monthly tax and insurance estimate comes to $427, which is a meaningful number when you are already running negative. Pennsylvania's state-average effective property tax rate is 1.54%, which the Tax Foundation classifies as high, and at that rate the annual tax bill on the median property is approximately $4,459. This is a real underwriting consideration: at 1.54%, the state-average rate is high enough that you should not bury it in a generic expense ratio. The caveat worth carrying into due diligence is that this figure is a state-average estimate and actual county and township rates in Franklin will differ, potentially in either direction, so confirm the exact millage before closing. Annual insurance at an estimated $666 is comparatively modest given the mid-Atlantic location, but it does not offset the tax burden in any meaningful way.
On the risk side, the data flags a stability score of 50, the lowest of Franklin's scored categories and sitting at the national 50th percentile overall. No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so it is not possible to speak specifically to the employer base or job concentration risk, but the stability score suggests investors should conduct their own diligence on local employment diversity before committing. The 1.64% YoY home price appreciation, while positive, is slow enough that a market softening or rate-driven demand pullback could stall or reverse gains over a short hold period. Population of 156,084 puts this in mid-size county territory, which typically means thinner institutional competition but also thinner liquidity if you need to exit quickly.
Compared to its neighbors, Franklin presents the second-lowest median home price in the group, behind only Armstrong County at $156,968, and the second-highest gross rent yield at 5.53%, trailing only Delaware County at 5.75%. Delaware County, with a $353,606 median price, a 5.75% rent-to-price ratio, and an overall score of 61, beats Franklin on both yield and score at a higher absolute price point. Lancaster County at $372,151 and a 4.69% yield is a weaker income proposition. Montgomery and Bucks counties, at $473,900 and $505,541 respectively, are deeper appreciation plays with yields of 5.14% and 5.33%, but the capital requirements are substantially higher. Franklin's case over its neighbors is primarily one of entry price: if you want Pennsylvania exposure with the lowest check size and a mid-5% gross yield, Franklin clears that bar. Choose it over Delaware County if capital preservation and lower absolute dollar exposure matter more than squeezing another 22 basis points of gross yield. Choose a neighbor if you want demonstrably better cash flow math or a clearer appreciation thesis backed by economic density.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $217,171 | -$270/mo | 4.8% | -6.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $289,562 | -$650/mo | 3.6% | -11.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $361,952 | -$1,029/mo | 2.9% | -14.8% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 5.53% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$650/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.6% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Franklin County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Franklin County in Pennsylvania scores 59/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $650/month; the 5.53% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.