Chesterfield market analysis
Chesterfield County lands in the 95th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties ranked, and sits second in South Carolina out of 46. With a median home price of $185,129 and 4.6% year-over-year appreciation, this is a market where the thesis is price growth and entry-point affordability rather than day-one cash flow. The cash flow score is zero, which is an honest signal: at a 6.85% rate on a $185,129 purchase with a $37,026 down payment, the mortgage math is tight against local rents. The appreciation score of 85 and affordability index of 90 tell the real story here. This is a market priced low enough to attract capital but trending upward steadily, positioning it on the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow end.
The investor this market suits is a buy-and-hold appreciation buyer who can tolerate neutral or slightly negative monthly cash flow in exchange for basis that is still under $190,000. At that price point, you are not competing with institutional capital chasing yield in larger metros. A patient investor who refinances or exits in five to seven years as prices continue to move could see meaningful equity gains, particularly given the 4.6% annual price growth already in motion. This is not the county for an investor who needs rent to cover all carry costs from month one. It is also not the obvious pick for a value-add operator unless distressed assets are available well below the $185,129 median, since the cash flow score offers no cushion to absorb renovation carry.
One meaningful tailwind on the carry side: South Carolina's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.57%, flagged here as low, and Chesterfield's combined monthly tax and insurance burden comes to approximately $140, or $1,684 annually. That figure is worth real attention because it reduces the pressure on gross rent to cover fixed costs. At $140 per month in tax and insurance, even a modest rent level keeps total housing cost ratios manageable. Keep in mind the 0.57% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual rate will depend on the specific county and township assessment, so verify the local millage before closing. The insurance component at 0.34% is also reasonable for South Carolina, which can carry elevated coastal and wind exposure risk in other parts of the state.
The primary risks here are concentration and scale. Chesterfield is a county of 43,536 people. Thin population means thin rental demand depth: a handful of vacancies can shift your personal occupancy rate materially if you hold multiple units, and a single employer reduction can ripple through the tenant pool in a way it never would in a county ten times the size. The stability score of 50 reflects this directly. An investor underwriting this market should stress-test vacancy assumptions conservatively and not assume the same absorption rates you would expect in a larger MSA. No economic anchor data was provided, so no specific employer context is available, but the small population figure alone warrants scrutiny of the local employment base before committing.
Against its neighbors, Chesterfield's case is clearer when you look at the numbers side by side. Dillon County has a lower median at $144,875 and a marginally higher overall score of 77, making it the stronger competing option if pure cash flow is the goal. Florence County at $196,261 and Richland County at $238,959 both have rent-to-price ratios in the 7.4% to 7.8% range, which is more favorable for yield-oriented buyers, and Richland's median rent of $1,543 on a $239,000 median price reflects the deeper rental demand of a larger population center. Aiken County at $226,755 and a 7.8% rent-to-price ratio similarly outperforms Chesterfield on yield metrics. Chesterfield's edge is entry price and appreciation trajectory: you are buying $40,000 to $54,000 cheaper than Florence or Aiken, with a comparable or better overall score. Choose Chesterfield over its neighbors when your priority is lowest-basis appreciation exposure in South Carolina, you have adequate reserves to absorb neutral cash flow, and you are willing to accept a smaller rental market in exchange for a price point that the higher-scoring, higher-priced neighbors simply cannot match.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Chesterfield County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Chesterfield County in South Carolina scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.