Hand market analysis
Hand County, South Dakota scores 73 overall and ranks 88th out of 1,000 counties nationally, landing in the 89th percentile. The median home price sits at $265,853, up 6.68% year-over-year, which is a meaningful price gain for a county of 3,075 people. The cash-flow score is 0 and the cap rate comes back at 0 in the provided data, which tells you straightforwardly that this is not a market where the rental income pencils cleanly against the purchase price at today's financing costs. The 6.85% interest rate assumption only tightens that math further. What the data does show is an appreciation score of 91 out of 100, which is the dominant signal here. Hand County sits firmly on the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow end, and investors need to enter with that framing intact.
This market suits an appreciation buyer or a patient long-hold investor willing to accept thin or breakeven cash flow in exchange for price trajectory. A 6.68% annualized price gain on a $265,853 asset represents roughly $17,800 in equity growth in a single year, and for a buyer who put down $53,171, that is a 33% return on equity from appreciation alone before any loan paydown. That math is compelling if you believe the trend continues, but it requires capital discipline: you cannot rely on the rent roll to carry the asset. A cash-flow buyer should look elsewhere. A value-add operator would need to identify a very specific acquisition below the county median to make the numbers work, because the headline price leaves little margin for renovation overhang at current rates. The affordability index of 73 suggests the market is not cheap by local standards, which limits the pool of tenants who can absorb rent increases, another reason aggressive value-add underwriting is risky here.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Hand County, so drawing conclusions about job base or institutional rental demand drivers would require outside research. What the population figure alone tells you is that at 3,075 residents, this is a thin market. Thin markets can produce outsized price appreciation when demand spikes, as the 91 appreciation score suggests is happening, but they also carry concentration risk. A single employer contraction, a drought cycle affecting the agricultural base, or a demographic shift can move the needle materially in a county this size. The rental pool is simply smaller, vacancy swings are larger in percentage terms, and finding a replacement tenant takes longer than in a market ten times the size.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden is $363. That figure is worth holding alongside the mortgage when you build your operating pro forma. The state-average property tax rate used here is 1.28%, which the data flags as normal, so it is not a red flag, but at $3,403 annually on a $265,853 asset it is still a real line item. The honest caveat embedded in the data applies: this is a state-average effective rate from Tax Foundation 2024 estimates, and your actual county and township rate may differ, so pull the Hand County assessor data before finalizing any underwrite. Insurance at 0.36% adds $957 annually, and South Dakota's exposure to hail and wind is real, so confirm that rate covers your actual policy before using it.
The neighborhood comparison sharpens the picture. Hand County's $265,853 median is the second-highest among the five neighbors listed. Clark County at $212,144 and Harding County at $211,924 offer entry points roughly $53,000 lower while carrying a nearly identical overall score (74 and 72, respectively). Potter County at $212,654 is similar. If your primary thesis is cash-flow or a lower basis, those three neighbors deserve a direct comparison. Deuel County at $294,477 is priced higher with the same 73 overall score as Hand, making it harder to justify on a per-dollar basis. Grant County at $228,365 and a 73 score is the middle-ground option. Hand County earns its place over the cheaper neighbors specifically because of that 91 appreciation score, which is not matched in the data provided for any neighbor. If you are buying for price trajectory and are willing to carry the asset through thin cash flow, Hand's appreciation profile is the differentiator. If you need the rent to cover the mortgage from month one, the lower-basis neighbors are the more logical starting point.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 6.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+6.7% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Hand County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Hand County in South Dakota scores 73/100, ranking #88 of 1,000 US counties (top 11%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.