Jerauld County
Market Snapshot
Jerauld market analysis
Jerauld County, South Dakota comes in at a median home price of $208,676, down 3.16% year-over-year, with a population of 1,836. The investment estimate data shows zeroed-out cap rate, cash-on-cash return, and cash flow figures, which tells you the model cannot derive a rent estimate reliable enough to publish, not that the market yields nothing. What the data does confirm: this is an affordability-index-83 market sitting at the lower end of the price spectrum for South Dakota, and with a gross rent-to-price ratio unavailable here, you cannot underwrite a cash-flow position from these numbers alone without sourcing local rent comps yourself. The appreciation score of 34 out of 100, combined with a price decline of 3.16% over the past year, places Jerauld firmly on the wrong side of both cash-flow and appreciation spectrums simultaneously. That is a rare and uncomfortable position for any investor to underwrite.
The scores make the investor-fit question fairly blunt. Cash flow scores a 0, appreciation scores a 34, and the overall rank is 528th out of 1,000 counties nationally, landing in the 33rd percentile. Jerauld ranks 34th out of 50 South Dakota counties. This is not a market for yield buyers or growth buyers in its current form. The affordability index of 83 is the one bright spot, meaning prices are accessible relative to local incomes, and a median household income of $66,607 against a $208,676 purchase price is a reasonable ratio. A value-add operator who can source off-market assets below the median, force equity through renovation, and then hold for cash flow might find the entry price defensible, but that thesis requires rent data the model cannot currently supply, and execution in a county of fewer than 2,000 people introduces severe liquidity risk on the exit.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Jerauld County, so no commentary on job base or institutional demand drivers is possible here. What the population figure of 1,836 implies on its own is a thin rental demand pool. In markets this small, a single vacancy can move your personal portfolio occupancy rate by a meaningful percentage, and tenant turnover risk is amplified because the replacement tenant universe is limited. Any investor evaluating this market should treat tenant sourcing and vacancy duration as primary risk variables, not secondary ones.
On carry costs, the state-average effective property tax rate is estimated at 1.28%, flagged as normal, which is a manageable figure and not the headline risk in this county. At that rate, annual property tax on the median purchase price runs approximately $2,671, and insurance adds another $751 per year, producing a combined monthly tax-and-insurance burden of $285. That figure is worth keeping in mind as a floor on your fixed carry costs before you add mortgage service. At 6.85% on an $208,676 purchase with 20% down, the interest-rate environment is the bigger structural headwind. The note accompanying this data flags that 1.28% is a state-average estimate and county or township rates may differ, which is material in South Dakota where levy rates vary across jurisdictions.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic. A county of 1,836 people almost certainly has limited economic diversification, a narrow renter pool, and limited price discovery on comparable sales. Selling an investment property in this market when you need to exit is a genuine concern, not a hypothetical one. Thin transaction volume means pricing is less efficient, which cuts both ways on acquisition and disposition. There is no vacancy or crime data in this dataset, so no claims are made on those dimensions.
Comparing Jerauld to its neighbors sharpens the picture. Bon Homme County carries a higher overall score of 56 at a lower median price of $175,114, making it the more compelling entry point among the peer set if affordability is your primary screen. Day County and Hand County both score 55 at median prices of $248,151 and $244,323 respectively, offering modestly higher prices with marginally better scores. Meade County provides the only rent data in the neighbor set, a $1,345 median rent against a $396,878 median price, implying a gross rent-to-price ratio of roughly 4.07% annualized, which is thin for a cash-flow thesis but at least measurable. Custer County at $493,577 and a score of 53 is the most expensive neighbor with no cash-flow advantage apparent. The honest conclusion is that Jerauld offers lower absolute prices than most neighbors but does not convert that affordability into a scored investment advantage over any of them. An investor should choose Jerauld over these alternatives only if they have a specific off-market opportunity, deep local knowledge, or a use case, such as owner-occupied with an accessory unit, that the county-level data cannot capture.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -3.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 3.1x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-3.2% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Jerauld County in South Dakota scores 54/100, ranking #528 of 1,000 US counties (top 67%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
Related markets
Markets like Jerauld with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Jerauld
Head-to-head comparisons
Rent vs buy in South Dakota cities
Frequently asked questions
Ready to Analyze a Deal in Jerauld?
Use our investment calculators to run detailed numbers on specific properties.