Henderson County

TexasPopulation: 82,627
53
/100
Hold
#544 of 1,000 counties
#119 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$270,755
Median Home Price
18% above national median
$1,335/mo
Median Rent
8% below national median
5.92%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 53% nationally
-$551
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,335/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$203,066-$197/mo5.1%-5.1%
Median
typical MLS deal
$270,755-$551/mo3.9%-10.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$338,444-$906/mo3.1%-14.0%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$270,755
Down Payment (20%)$54,151
Loan Amount$216,604
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,335
Monthly P&I-$1,419
Est. Expenses (35%)-$467
Net Cash Flow-$551/mo
3.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.92%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
53/100
53
Cash Flow(30%)
59/100

Based on 5.92% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
34/100

Based on -3.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
72/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-3.1% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$551/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
82,627
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
DuvalTX
55$75,098Est. pendingHoldView
WashingtonTX
54$373,954$1,8315.88%HoldView
CurrentHendersonTX
53$270,755$1,3355.92%Hold
BastropTX
52$356,064$1,7906.03%HoldView
MasonTX
52$352,481Est. pendingHoldView
ReevesTX
52$166,232Est. pendingHoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldHenderson is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Henderson County in Texas scores 53/100, ranking #544 of 1,000 US counties (top 70%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $551/month; the 5.92% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-551/mo
Cap Rate
3.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.6%

Related markets

Ready to Analyze a Deal in Henderson?

Use our investment calculators to run detailed numbers on specific properties.