Lamb County
Market Snapshot
Lamb market analysis
Lamb County's median home price of $108,649 is the most immediately striking number in this dataset, and it tells most of the story. The affordability score sits at a perfect 100, home prices declined 6.34% year-over-year, and the overall investment score lands at 50 out of 100, placing Lamb in the 23rd percentile nationally and 143rd out of 243 Texas counties. The cash-flow score is 0 and the cap rate field returns zero, meaning the model cannot construct a positive return scenario from current rent and expense estimates. The appreciation score of 12 confirms that price growth is not the draw either. What you have is a deeply affordable county where the math simply does not pencil at conventional leverage, at least not at face value.
The investor profile this market suits is narrow. A cash-flow buyer looking for spread between purchase price and rent might theoretically find opportunity given the $108,649 median, but the model's cash-flow score of 0 signals that rents in this market are not clearing expenses even at this entry point, presumably because rental rates are correspondingly low in a rural West Texas economy. An appreciation buyer has nothing to work with given a 6.34% price decline over the past year and an appreciation score of 12. A value-add operator buying distressed assets at a discount to that already-low median, renovating, and repositioning for the top of the local rent range is probably the only viable angle, and even that strategy requires extreme discipline on acquisition price and rehab budget given how little upside the broader market offers.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Lamb County, so drawing conclusions about job base stability or rental demand drivers from named employers is not possible. What the population figure of 13,024 does tell you is that this is a small, rural county where the tenant pool is limited and occupancy risk is real. Small absolute population means a thin rental market: losing one tenant can move your personal vacancy rate meaningfully, and finding a replacement in a market this size takes longer than in a metro. Investors who underwrite to metro-style vacancy assumptions here will get burned.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure is $208, which is not negligible against the economics of a sub-$110,000 asset. Texas uses a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.80% per the Tax Foundation's 2024 data, and that rate is high enough to deserve its own line on your underwrite. At 1.80% on a $108,649 purchase, annual property tax runs approximately $1,956, or $163 per month. Add $45 per month for insurance and you are at $208 in carry before touching mortgage principal and interest, maintenance, management, or vacancy. This is a genuine cash-flow headwind in a market where gross rents are already constrained by local income levels. Worth flagging: the 1.80% figure is a state-average estimate; actual Lamb County rates may differ, and Texas property taxes at the county and school district level can diverge significantly from state averages, so pull the actual tax rolls before closing.
The single most material risk here is concentration in a small, potentially declining rural economy. A 6.34% year-over-year price drop in a county of 13,024 people is a signal worth taking seriously. Rural West Texas counties can face long, slow population contraction as agricultural employment mechanizes and younger residents relocate to metro areas. A shrinking tenant pool compounds the occupancy risk described above. No regulatory or zoning data were provided, so no specific landlord-regulation risk can be assessed, but Texas generally maintains a landlord-friendly legal environment.
Compared to the neighboring counties in this dataset, Lamb is the clear outlier on price. Fayette County comes in at $461,946 median, Menard at $206,500, Calhoun at $197,656, Red River at $161,421, and Rains at $284,463. All five neighbors share the same or nearly the same overall score range of 49 to 51, meaning none of these markets are dramatically stronger on the composite. The case for choosing Lamb over a neighbor comes down entirely to entry price: at $108,649 it is roughly half the cost of Red River, the next cheapest neighbor listed. If an investor is constructing a small-dollar, high-count portfolio and has the operational infrastructure to manage rural assets cheaply, Lamb's entry point is differentiated. If the investor needs any reasonable appreciation or a clear cash-flow spread, the data as presented does not support Lamb County as the better choice over any of the named neighbors.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -6.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-6.3% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Lamb County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Lamb County in Texas scores 50/100, ranking #600 of 1,000 US counties (top 77%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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