Orange County

TexasPopulation: 84,761
72
/100
Hold
#113 of 1,000 counties
#18 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$189,595
Median Home Price
17% below national median
$1,228/mo
Median Rent
15% below national median
7.77%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 14% nationally
-$196
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,228/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$142,196+$52/mo6.7%+1.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$189,595-$196/mo5.0%-5.4%
125% of median
newer / premium
$236,993-$445/mo4.0%-9.8%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$189,595
Down Payment (20%)$37,919
Loan Amount$151,676
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,228
Monthly P&I-$994
Est. Expenses (35%)-$430
Net Cash Flow-$196/mo
5.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-5.4%
Cash-on-Cash Return
7.77%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
72/100
72
Cash Flow(30%)
78/100

Based on 7.77% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
73/100

Based on 2.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
89/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.77%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
84,761
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
AndrewsTX
75$244,485Est. pendingStrong BuyView
CallahanTX
75$220,841Est. pendingStrong BuyView
CurrentOrangeTX
72$189,595$1,2287.77%Buy
WichitaTX
68$163,787$1,1838.67%BuyView
CottleTX
68$65,066Est. pendingBuyView
DonleyTX
68$107,131Est. pendingBuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldOrange scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $196/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Orange County in Texas scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $196/month; the 7.77% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-196/mo
Cap Rate
5.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-5.4%

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