Starr market analysis
Starr County sits at a median home price of $144,023, making it one of the more affordable entry points in Texas, with an affordability index of 99 out of 100. The county ranks 138th nationally out of 1,000 counties analyzed, placing it in the 82nd percentile overall, and 18th out of 243 Texas counties. Year-over-year home price appreciation came in at 1.57%, which is modest rather than speculative. The cash flow score is listed at 0 and cap rate data is not calculable from the provided figures, which signals that rental income data is either insufficient or that rents at current price levels do not generate meaningful positive cash flow after expenses. That puts Starr squarely on the appreciation and affordability end of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow end, at least based on available metrics.
Given the cash flow score of 0, a pure income buyer running a conventional underwrite should proceed carefully. The affordability score of 99 is the headline number here, and that metric most directly benefits two profiles: an appreciation-oriented buyer who wants low basis exposure in a market where prices have room to move from a very low floor, and a value-add operator who can acquire at $144,023, force equity through renovation, and either refinance or sell into a thin supply market. The 1.57% annual price growth is not dramatic, but at this price point, even modest appreciation represents a meaningful percentage gain on a small equity position. A buyer putting $28,805 down and acquiring at this price carries considerably less absolute capital at risk than in most Texas metros, which matters when underwriting downside scenarios.
The tax and insurance picture deserves a hard look before committing. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.80%, Texas is high enough that it warrants its own line on the underwrite. On a $144,023 purchase, that translates to approximately $2,592 per year in property taxes alone, plus an estimated $720 annually in insurance, for a combined monthly carry cost of $276 just in taxes and insurance, before mortgage, maintenance, or management. For a cash flow buyer, $276 per month in fixed overhead on a sub-$145K property is a real drag, particularly if gross rents are modest. Note that 1.80% is a state-average estimate sourced from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Starr County rates may differ, so pulling the specific county assessor data before closing is a necessary step rather than an optional one.
Starr County sits in deep South Texas along the Rio Grande, and no economic anchor data was provided in the input, so employer-level commentary is not possible here. What the demographic and geographic context does suggest, without fabricating statistics, is that a county of 65,716 people is a small market with limited liquidity. Thin transaction volume means that your exit options are narrower than in a larger metro, and buyer pools for resale are smaller. Stability scores at 50 out of 100, which is the midpoint, indicating neither a deeply cyclical market nor a particularly insulated one. That score, combined with the small population base, should factor into how an investor sizes their position and structures their hold period.
The neighbor comparison puts Starr's value proposition in sharper relief. Wichita County to the north trades at $163,787 with a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.0867, which translates to annualized gross rents of roughly 8.7% of purchase price, and carries a similar overall score of 68. That ratio suggests Wichita generates meaningfully better cash flow metrics than Starr does on current data. Cottle County at $65,066 and Dawson County at $102,880 are cheaper in absolute terms, though they also score at 68. Andrews County at $244,485 carries the highest overall score in the neighbor set at 75, reflecting what is likely a commodity-driven economic base. Starr's case for selection over its neighbors rests almost entirely on its 99 affordability score and its 82nd percentile national ranking, which suggests the broader data set views it favorably despite the missing cash flow metrics. An investor should choose Starr over a neighbor like Wichita primarily if their thesis is lowest-possible-basis entry into a Texas market with long-term demographic tailwinds, and not if their near-term goal is maximizing monthly income, where Wichita's documented rent-to-price ratio makes a stronger case on the numbers available.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Starr County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Starr County in Texas scores 71/100, ranking #138 of 1,000 US counties (top 18%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.