Summit market analysis
Summit County prices at $1.33 million median with $3,339 median rent produces a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.25% monthly, or about 3% annualized. That is among the thinnest yields you will encounter anywhere in Utah. The cap rate on a standard underwrite comes in at 1.95%, and the cash-on-cash return at a 20% down payment and 6.85% financing is negative 18.87%, meaning the investment burns roughly $4,827 per month after mortgage and estimated expenses. The appreciation score of 88 out of 100 and 5.6% year-over-year home price growth tell you exactly what this market is pricing: future capital gains, not current income. Summit sits at the far appreciation end of the spectrum, with almost no cash-flow argument to be made at current prices and financing costs.
The numbers make the buyer profile here narrow and specific. A cash-flow investor should not be in this county. The model produces a $4,827 monthly deficit, and no reasonable rent growth assumption closes that gap at $1.33 million all-in. This is a market for the appreciation buyer with a long hold horizon, low or zero leverage, and the liquidity to carry a negative cash position, or for the primary-residence buyer who also rents seasonally. A value-add operator looking to manufacture equity through renovation faces the same structural problem: at a 1.95% cap rate, improving net operating income by $10,000 per year adds only modest value relative to the capital required, and the entry price leaves no margin for execution error. The affordability index scores zero, and the county ranks 23rd out of 28 Utah counties overall, 6th from the bottom. Anyone underwriting this county for income needs to start with the assumption that the carry cost is a tuition payment on appreciation.
Utah's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.63% is flagged as low, and that is a genuine tailwind in a market where carry costs are severe. At that rate, annual property taxes on a $1.33 million asset run approximately $8,409, and combined with an estimated $2,536 in annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load is $912. That figure is already embedded in the $4,827 monthly deficit above, but it is worth isolating: in a high-price luxury market, this combined carrying cost is materially lower than what the same asset would generate in a state with a 1.5% or 2% effective rate. As always, this is a state-average estimate and actual Summit County township rates may differ, so verify the assessor before closing. Still, the low-rate flag softens what would otherwise be an even more painful carry.
Concentration risk is the primary concern specific to this market. Summit County has a population of 42,524, centered on Park City and the surrounding resort communities. A market of that size with a $1.33 million median home price is heavily dependent on a single demand driver: ski and resort tourism, combined with the high-net-worth second-home buyer. That means rental demand is seasonal and discretionary. When travel spending contracts, short-term rental occupancy and nightly rates compress faster in luxury resort markets than in primary residential markets, and the long-term rental pool at $3,339 median rent is structurally thin given the local workforce income base. Regulatory risk is also real: many resort municipalities have moved to restrict or limit short-term rentals, and Park City has an active permitting environment. An investor building a return model around Airbnb-style income needs to underwrite current permit availability, not assumed access.
Against its neighbors, Summit County is the highest-priced and lowest-yielding market in the dataset. Washington County at $522,143 median and a 4.34% annualized rent-to-price ratio offers more than 40% better yield at less than 40% of the entry price, and its overall score of 41 edges Summit's 38. Salt Lake County at $558,754 median and a 3.45% ratio gives an investor scale, liquidity, and a diversified employment base at less than half the price. Cache County at $454,811 and a 3.95% ratio scores 48 overall, the strongest in this comparison set. Wasatch County at $935,784 sits between Summit and the others on price, with a 3.23% ratio and an overall score of 36, worse than Summit, making it difficult to justify over the alternatives. Grand County data is incomplete for yield comparison, but at $579,354 median it is another option worth pulling full numbers on before dismissing.
Choose Summit over its neighbors when the investment thesis is explicitly appreciation and capital preservation in a hard-to-replicate resort asset, when leverage is minimal or absent, and when the investor has the cash flow from other holdings to carry the monthly deficit without stress. If the goal is yield, income replacement, or building a scalable portfolio, every other county in this comparison set makes a stronger case.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $1,001,067 | -$3,078/mo | 2.6% | -16.0% |
Median typical MLS deal | $1,334,757 | -$4,827/mo | 1.9% | -18.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $1,668,446 | -$6,576/mo | 1.6% | -20.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 3.00% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 5.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.6% YoY)
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$4,827/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 1.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
- −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Summit County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Summit County in Utah scores 39/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $4827/month; the 3.00% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.