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Market MapVirginiaFairfax City

Fairfax City

VirginiaPopulation: 24,242
38
/100
Avoid
#760 of 1,000 counties
#121 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 8, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$793,385
Median Home Price
246% above national median
$2,537/mo
Median Rent
75% above national median
3.84%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 96% nationally
-$2,510
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,537/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$595,038-$1,471/mo3.3%-12.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$793,385-$2,510/mo2.5%-16.5%
125% of median
newer / premium
$991,731-$3,550/mo2.0%-18.7%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$793,385
Down Payment (20%)$158,677
Loan Amount$634,708
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,537
Monthly P&I-$4,159
Est. Expenses (35%)-$888
Net Cash Flow-$2,510/mo
2.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-16.5%
Cash-on-Cash Return
3.84%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
38/100
38
Cash Flow(30%)
28/100

Based on 3.84% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
63/100

Based on 1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
7/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (3.84%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$2,510/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
24,242
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
  • −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
GoochlandVA
51$563,567$1,8523.94%HoldView
RappahannockVA
50$553,653Est. pending—HoldView
BuchananVA
47$74,741Est. pending—HoldView
BrunswickVA
47$130,410Est. pending—HoldView
Emporia CityVA
44$140,161Est. pending—AvoidView
CurrentFairfax CityVA
38$793,385$2,5373.84%Avoid

The Bottom Line

AvoidFairfax City may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Fairfax City in Virginia scores 38/100, ranking #760 of 1,000 US counties (top 97%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $2510/month; the 3.84% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-2,510/mo
Cap Rate
2.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-16.5%

Related markets

Markets like Fairfax City with stronger cash flow

  • Goochland County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Fairfax City

  • Buchanan County, lower entry price
  • Brunswick County, lower entry price
  • Emporia City, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Fairfax City vs Emporia City for rentals
  • Fairfax City vs Buchanan for rentals
  • Fairfax City vs Brunswick for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

Rent vs buy in Virginia cities

Rent vs buy in Virginia Beach, VAMedian $411,608 · rent $1,999/moRent vs buy in Norfolk, VAMedian $301,780 · rent $1,632/moRent vs buy in Chesapeake, VAMedian $409,595 · rent $2,084/moRent vs buy in Richmond, VAMedian $355,757 · rent $1,578/moRent vs buy in Newport News, VAMedian $284,020 · rent $1,557/moAll Virginia citiesFull rent-vs-buy directory for the state

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