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Market MapVirginiaPrince William

Prince William County

VirginiaPopulation: 481,114
42
/100
Avoid
#0 of 0 counties
#120 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 20, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$591,713
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$2,282/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
4.63%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$1,619
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,282/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$443,785-$844/mo4.0%-9.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$591,713-$1,619/mo3.0%-14.3%
125% of median
newer / premium
$739,641-$2,395/mo2.4%-16.9%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$591,713
Down Payment (20%)$118,343
Loan Amount$473,370
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,282
Monthly P&I-$3,102
Est. Expenses (35%)-$799
Net Cash Flow-$1,619/mo
3.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.3%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.63%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
42/100
42
Cash Flow(30%)
39/100

Based on 4.63% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
58/100

Based on 0.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
18/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,619/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
481,114
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
  • −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
RappahannockVA
50$553,653Est. pending—HoldView
BuchananVA
47$74,741Est. pending—HoldView
BrunswickVA
47$130,410Est. pending—HoldView
Fairfax CityVA
46$755,224$2,4473.89%HoldView
Emporia CityVA
44$140,161Est. pending—AvoidView
CurrentPrince WilliamVA
42$591,713$2,2824.63%Avoid

The Bottom Line

AvoidPrince William may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Prince William County in Virginia scores 42/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1619/month; the 4.63% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,619/mo
Cap Rate
3.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.3%

Related markets

Markets like Prince William with stronger cash flow

  • Fairfax City for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Prince William

  • Buchanan County, lower entry price
  • Brunswick County, lower entry price
  • Emporia City, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Prince William vs Emporia City for rentals
  • Prince William vs Fairfax City for rentals
  • Prince William vs Buchanan for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

Rent vs buy in Virginia cities

Rent vs buy in Virginia Beach, VAMedian $411,608 · rent $1,999/moRent vs buy in Norfolk, VAMedian $301,780 · rent $1,632/moRent vs buy in Chesapeake, VAMedian $409,595 · rent $2,084/moRent vs buy in Richmond, VAMedian $355,757 · rent $1,578/moRent vs buy in Newport News, VAMedian $284,020 · rent $1,557/moAll Virginia citiesFull rent-vs-buy directory for the state

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