Russell County
Market Snapshot
Russell market analysis
Russell County sits at a median home price of $144,323, which is the foundational number everything else flows from. Year-over-year appreciation came in at 4.69%, a meaningful pace for a county at this price point, and the affordability index hits 99 out of 100, placing it in rarefied air nationally: 98th percentile out of 1,000 counties ranked, and second in Virginia out of 133. What the data does not show is a cap rate or cash-on-cash return, because estimated expenses and cash flow are not populated in the dataset. That absence is a signal in itself. At a $144,323 purchase price with a 6.85% rate on a conventional 20% down structure, the mortgage payment alone will consume a significant share of any rent collected in a low-rent rural Appalachian market. Investors should treat this county as sitting firmly on the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow end, at least at current financing costs.
The buyer this market suits is someone acquiring at or near cash for a long-term hold, or a value-add operator who can source off-market deals below the median and force equity through rehab in a market where replacement cost is high relative to purchase price. At $144,323, you are likely buying well below what it would cost to build, which creates a margin-of-safety argument on the asset side even if the income side is thin. An appreciation buyer who expects the 4.69% annual price movement to continue, and who has patience for a rural market with a small population of 25,763, has a legitimate thesis here. A pure cash-flow buyer underwriting at market rate financing, however, should stress-test the numbers hard before committing, because the missing cash-flow figures in this dataset suggest the numbers do not pencil cleanly at 6.85%.
The tax and insurance carry on a $144,323 asset is relatively manageable. Using state-average effective rates from Tax Foundation 2024, annual property tax comes to $1,183 and annual insurance to $332, for a combined monthly tax-and-insurance figure of $126. The property tax flag is "normal," meaning Virginia's 0.82% state-average effective rate does not represent a meaningful drag compared to higher-tax states. That said, these are state-average estimates, and actual Russell County or township-level rates may differ, so verify the local millage rate before closing. The $126 monthly figure is not the problem in this underwrite; the mortgage payment at 6.85% on a leveraged purchase is where the cash-flow math tightens.
The dataset does not include economic anchor or employer data for Russell County, so specific commentary on the local job base and institutional demand drivers is not possible from the available information. What the population figure of 25,763 does tell you is that this is a small, rural county in Southwest Virginia, and with that comes concentration risk: the rental demand pool is narrow, tenant turnover is more consequential, and vacancy periods between tenants can extend longer than in denser markets. Investors used to mid-size metros should calibrate their vacancy assumptions accordingly and avoid assuming urban absorption rates will hold here.
Compared to its neighbors, Russell stands out on price and score simultaneously, which is unusual. Covington City at $96,187 and Lee County at $111,349 are cheaper, but both score below Russell (77 and 76 overall versus Russell's 79), suggesting that lower price alone does not compensate for weaker underlying metrics. Mecklenburg County, at $212,716 median with a published rent-to-price ratio of 8.415% and a $1,491 median rent, is the one neighbor where the cash-flow math is actually visible and plausible. If current income yield is the primary objective, Mecklenburg at that gross ratio is a more direct target. Franklin City ($224,286) and Dinwiddie County ($295,196) are both higher-priced and lower-scored, making the relative value case for Russell clear on the appreciation and affordability axes. Choose Russell over its neighbors when your thesis is long-term price appreciation in an ultra-affordable entry point, you can operate at low or no leverage, and you are comfortable with the liquidity and demand constraints that come with a 25,000-person rural county.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Russell County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Russell County in Virginia scores 79/100, ranking #13 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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