Scott County
Market Snapshot
Scott market analysis
Scott County, Virginia sits at a median home price of $175,503 with year-over-year appreciation of 6.34%, an affordability index of 92, and an overall score of 79 out of 100, ranking 13th nationally out of 1,000 counties and 2nd in Virginia out of 133. Those headline numbers position it squarely on the appreciation end of the cash-flow-versus-appreciation spectrum. The cap rate and cash-on-cash return fields are not populated in the underlying data, which means you'll need to build your own rent assumptions before underwriting a deal here. What the data does confirm is that this is a low-entry-price market with price momentum: 6.34% annual appreciation on a $175,503 median is real dollar compounding at a base that most coastal investors would consider trivially cheap to enter.
The appreciation score of 90 and affordability score of 92 are the two numbers that define who this market suits. An appreciation-focused buy-and-hold investor, particularly one willing to carry a property at thin or break-even cash flow in exchange for equity growth, has the clearest case here. With a purchase price of $175,503, a 20% down payment lands at roughly $35,100, keeping capital deployment modest. The 6.34% price gain over the past year on that entry point is meaningful relative to the dollars committed. A pure cash-flow buyer, by contrast, should proceed with real caution: without rent data on Scott County itself, there is no basis to project positive carry, and the cash flow score of 0 in the dataset is a signal that should not be dismissed. Value-add operators who can manufacture rent premium through renovation may find the entry price attractive, but they need to verify local rent ceilings before assuming the spread exists.
Scott County is a small rural county in far southwestern Virginia with a population of 21,536. No economic anchors or employer data were provided for this county, so no claims can be made about specific employers or industry concentration. What the population figure does tell you is that this is a thin market. Rental demand in a county this size is driven by a narrow pool of tenants, and vacancy swings that would be statistical noise in a metro area can represent real income disruption here. Any underwrite should model vacancy conservatively, even if local vacancy data isn't available in this dataset.
On carry costs, the monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $154, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.82% and an insurance rate of 0.23%, producing annual property tax of $1,439 and annual insurance of $404. The 0.82% rate carries a "normal" flag, meaning it is neither a tailwind nor a headwind relative to other Virginia counties. That said, the Tax Foundation figure is a state-average estimate, and actual Scott County or township-level rates may differ materially. Verify the county assessor's current rate and assessment ratio before finalizing any underwrite. At $154 per month for combined tax and insurance, the fixed carry is low in absolute terms, which matters when rent levels are uncertain and you are trying to minimize break-even occupancy.
The primary risks here are concentration and liquidity. A population of 21,536 in a rural corner of Virginia means a limited buyer pool when you eventually want to exit, a limited renter pool if occupancy softens, and meaningful sensitivity to any single employer or industry slowdown, even though specific employers weren't provided. Appreciation at 6.34% is encouraging, but thin markets can reverse quickly when local economic conditions shift, and there is no Metro area absorption to buffer a downturn.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the dataset, Scott offers a distinctive trade-off. Lee County at $111,349 and Covington City at $96,187 are cheaper entry points with lower overall scores of 76 and 77 respectively, suggesting Scott's extra $64,000 to $79,000 of median price is buying you a materially better overall profile, including higher appreciation. Mecklenburg County at $212,716 has actual rent data showing a median rent of $1,491.67 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0842, which is a meaningful number: that ratio suggests Mecklenburg may offer better cash-flow visibility than Scott despite the higher price. Franklin City at $224,286 and Dinwiddie County at $295,196 both score 70 or 69, meaning Scott's 79 overall score looks more attractive than either at a lower price. The investor who should choose Scott over its neighbors is one prioritizing appreciation momentum and low entry cost over near-term income certainty, and who is comfortable building their own rent comparables from scratch. The investor who wants documented cash-flow support should look hard at Mecklenburg's published rent-to-price ratio of 8.4% before committing capital to Scott without equivalent local rent data in hand.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 6.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+6.3% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Scott County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Scott County in Virginia scores 79/100, ranking #13 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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