Staunton City
Market Snapshot
Staunton City market analysis
Staunton City lands at a 4.1% cap rate and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.3%, which places it squarely in the middle of the cash-flow-versus-appreciation spectrum, closer to the appreciation end but not comfortably on either side. At a $291,887 median home price and $1,535 in median monthly rent, the math at current financing rates is unfavorable for levered buyers: underwriting a 20% down payment at 6.85% produces a $1,530 monthly mortgage, and once you layer in the $537 in estimated expenses, the position runs a negative $532 per month in cash flow, translating to a cash-on-cash return of negative 9.51%. The appreciation score of 82 out of 100 is the standout number here, and year-over-year home price growth of 3.57% suggests the market is moving, just not fast enough to offset carry costs in the near term. An affordability index of 67 and an overall score of 65 place Staunton City in the 68th percentile nationally and 33rd out of 133 Virginia markets, which is respectable positioning without being exceptional.
Given those numbers, Staunton City is not a market for a cash-flow buyer who needs day-one income. The negative cash-on-cash figure at standard leverage is not a rounding error; it reflects a genuine mismatch between current debt service costs and rent levels at this price point. This market suits a patient appreciation buyer willing to absorb monthly losses while the asset grows, or a value-add operator who can acquire below the $291,887 median, force value through renovation, and either refinance when rates decline or sell into a market that has already demonstrated a willingness to pay more. The affordability index of 67 also suggests there is a ceiling on how much rents can stretch in the near term without meaningful income growth in the underlying tenant base. Investors who need cash flow from the jump should underwrite Staunton City only at a materially below-market purchase price.
The $255 per month in combined property tax and insurance is a real but manageable line item. At a state-average effective tax rate of 0.82%, Virginia sits in a normal range, and the flag here is "normal," meaning this is not a market where taxes alone are quietly destroying your returns. That said, the caveat bears repeating: 0.82% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and actual rates in Staunton City or the specific township may differ, so confirm the exact levy before closing. Annual property tax running approximately $2,393 and insurance at $671 together represent a combined $3,064 annually, which is already baked into the $537 estimated expense figure but worth isolating when stress-testing your underwrite across different purchase prices.
Population sits at 25,581, which is small enough that concentration risk is real. A single large employer adding or shedding positions would move rental demand meaningfully in a city of this size. No economic anchors were provided in the data, so a prospective investor should independently research the stability of the employer base, particularly exposure to any single institution or industry. Vacancy and regulatory data were not provided and won't be speculated upon here, but in any market under 30,000 people, the investor should physically walk the rental submarkets and talk to local property managers before committing capital.
Against its neighbors, Staunton City competes on price relative to what the region offers. Rockingham County carries a $351,766 median price with a 6.35% rent-to-price ratio and an overall score of 63; Rockbridge County checks in at $316,023 with no rent data provided. Roanoke County sits at $325,167 with a 5.84% rent-to-price ratio, the weakest in the peer group and an overall score of 64. The one neighbor that beats Staunton City on pure yield metrics is Roanoke City, which offers a $215,833 median price, a 7.06% rent-to-price ratio, and an overall score of 67, which is actually higher than Staunton's 65. A cash-flow-oriented buyer should look hard at Roanoke City before committing to Staunton City, as the lower entry price and better rent ratio improve the levered math considerably. Where Staunton City earns its place is for the buyer who prioritizes appreciation potential, where its score of 82 likely outpaces the Roanoke City profile, and for anyone who prefers operating in a smaller, quieter market with less urban concentration risk than a larger city carries.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $218,915 | -$149/mo | 5.5% | -3.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $291,887 | -$532/mo | 4.1% | -9.5% |
125% of median newer / premium | $364,859 | -$914/mo | 3.3% | -13.1% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.31% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 3.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$532/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Staunton City in Virginia scores 65/100, ranking #253 of 1,000 US counties (top 32%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $532/month; the 6.31% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
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Frequently asked questions
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