Grant market analysis
Grant County scores 73 overall and lands in the 89th national percentile out of 1,000 counties, which tells you this is a better-than-average market on a composite basis. The appreciation score of 79 is the headline number here, and it lines up with the 2.89% year-over-year home price gain on a median of $193,852. What the data does not show is a cash flow score above zero, which is a hard signal: this county is not generating meaningful rental income relative to purchase price at current financing. At 6.85% on a $193,852 purchase with $38,770 down, the mortgage alone is a real load, and the data does not provide a cap rate or gross rent-to-price ratio, so underwriting to a yield number here requires independent rent comps. The affordability index of 88 confirms that homes are cheap in absolute terms, but cheap homes that don't cash flow are an appreciation play, not an income play.
The investor this market suits is someone with a five-to-ten-year horizon who can tolerate flat or slightly negative monthly cash flow in exchange for price appreciation. The 79 appreciation score and 2.89% annual price gain suggest the county is moving, and at a $193,852 median you are not overextending capital. The stability score of 50 is the honest counterweight: this is not a set-it-and-forget-it market. A value-add operator who can force equity through renovation and then sell, rather than hold for rental yield, may get more out of this county than a straight buy-and-hold income investor. If you need the property to carry itself from month one, this county's zero cash flow score says plainly that it does not.
No economic anchor data was provided for Grant County, so employment base and rental demand drivers cannot be assessed from this dataset. That absence is itself worth noting in your due diligence: a county of 11,034 people with no major employer data on record warrants ground-level research into what is sustaining whatever rental demand exists. Population at this level means thin liquidity, fewer comparable transactions, and a smaller tenant pool, all of which elevate vacancy risk even if the data does not quantify it directly.
On carry costs, the property tax picture is a genuine tailwind. West Virginia's state-average effective rate is 0.59%, flagged here as low, and combined with an insurance rate of 0.26%, you are looking at $137 per month in combined tax and insurance on the median purchase. That is meaningful: in markets with 1.5% or 2% tax rates, those same carry costs would run $300 to $400 per month and would bury any marginal cash flow before you account for maintenance or vacancy. At $137 monthly, the tax-and-insurance line is one of the few structural advantages a cash flow investor can point to. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate per the Tax Foundation's 2024 data, and your actual county or township rate may differ, so confirm the local millage before closing.
The primary risks here are concentration and scale. An 11,034-person county has a narrow economic base, and any deterioration in a single employer, industry, or highway corridor creates outsized impact. The stability score of 50 reflects this. There is no regulatory or demographic risk data provided, but a county this small in West Virginia merits scrutiny on population trend, school enrollment direction, and net migration, none of which the dataset covers, but all of which matter for long-term hold value.
Comparing Grant to its neighbors, the counties with rent-to-price ratios on record all outperform on cash flow optics: Kanawha County shows a 0.087 gross rent-to-price ratio on a $149,776 median with a $1,081 median rent, and Ohio County shows 0.075 on a $154,458 median. Both of those markets offer better yield signals for an income-first investor. Cabell County at 0.069 is weaker on yield but still has an observable rent figure. Grant's advantage over all of them is the appreciation score of 79 and the lower absolute price point, which matters if you are deploying limited capital and want maximum upside per dollar invested. Choose Grant over Kanawha or Ohio if you are buying for price appreciation and can absorb the carry; choose Kanawha or Ohio if the property needs to generate income from the start. Taylor and Nicholas counties share the same overall score of 73 but have no rent data in the dataset, making Grant neither obviously better nor worse relative to those two without additional digging.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 2.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Grant County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Grant County in West Virginia scores 73/100, ranking #88 of 1,000 US counties (top 11%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.