Oconto market analysis
Oconto County scores an 85 on appreciation and a 0 on cash flow, which tells you almost everything you need to know before reading another word. At a median home price of $313,555 and with no rent or cap rate data provided, the cash-flow math cannot be confirmed from this dataset, but the scoring model has already done the work: this county is sitting firmly at the appreciation end of the spectrum. Home prices rose 8.17% year-over-year, which is a real number worth paying attention to in a 39,000-person rural Wisconsin county. The affordability index of 63 and the overall score of 68 (77th national percentile out of 1,000 counties) suggest a market that has appreciated meaningfully without yet crossing into the overheated territory that kills future upside.
The 85 appreciation score makes Oconto a county for investors who are underwriting equity accumulation, not month-one cash flow. If your business model requires a positive cash-on-cash return from day one, this data does not support buying here, and the scoring model's cash-flow score of 0 confirms it. If your model is longer-duration, with appreciation doing the work while a tenant services the mortgage, and you can tolerate a neutral-to-negative carry in the early years, the 8.17% annual price growth gives you a concrete reason to look. A value-add operator buying distressed assets below median might carve out a different story, but the base-case numbers favor the buy-and-hold appreciation buyer over anyone chasing yield.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Oconto County, so specific drivers of rental demand cannot be identified from this dataset. What the population figure of 39,048 does signal is a genuinely small market, which has direct implications for liquidity, tenant depth, and the concentration of risk in any single asset.
Property taxes deserve a dedicated line on your underwrite. Wisconsin's state-average effective rate runs 1.85%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and the scoring data reflects that. On the $313,555 median purchase price, that translates to $5,801 in annual property taxes and $721 in insurance, for a combined monthly carry of $544 before you touch principal, interest, maintenance, or vacancy. That $544 figure is not trivial in a market where rent data is absent from this dataset. At a 6.85% rate on an 80% LTV loan, the mortgage alone on this purchase would exceed $1,600 per month, meaning total monthly obligations before any operating expenses are likely north of $2,100. Any investor underwriting Oconto needs to model that tax burden explicitly and verify the actual township-level rate, because the 1.85% here is a state-average estimate and county or township assessments may push the number higher or lower. The caveat matters in a rural county where assessment practices can vary sharply across municipalities.
The primary risk in Oconto is concentration and depth. A population of 39,048 is a thin tenant base, which means longer vacancy periods when units turn, more sensitivity to any single employer shock, and a smaller buyer pool when you eventually want to exit. Stability scores at 50, which is neutral but not reassuring in a market this size. The 8.17% appreciation figure is compelling, but in small rural markets that kind of run can partially reflect a thin-volume effect where a handful of transactions move the median. An investor should look hard at transaction volume before treating the YoY figure as a durable trend.
Compared to its Wisconsin neighbors, Oconto's median price of $313,555 sits at the top of the peer group. Langlade County comes in at $208,908, Juneau at $255,309, Vernon at $261,888, and Pepin at $267,147. All four carry the same overall score of 68 as Oconto, meaning the scoring model sees comparable overall quality at meaningfully lower entry prices. The one neighbor with rent data is Kenosha County, where a $311,505 median pairs with $1,624 in monthly rent and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.26%, and Kenosha scores a 67. If cash flow is any part of your thesis, Kenosha's rent data at least gives you something to underwrite. Choose Oconto over its neighbors specifically when your investment thesis is appreciation-led, when you have evidence of local demand that justifies the premium price over Langlade or Juneau, and when you can carry the $544 monthly tax and insurance load without relying on rent to cover it from day one.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 8.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+8.2% YoY)
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Oconto County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Oconto County in Wisconsin scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.