New Hampshire apartment research · October 2026 edition

New Hampshire cap rates

Income recovery is stronger evidence than a statewide cap quote

The newest located NH multifamily reference is 6.3% in NHCIBOR’s September 2026 CoStar-based table. Its statistical and NOI basis are undisclosed. Colliers reports 95.3% occupancy for its NH coverage at midyear. Neither figure establishes the cap for a Manchester walk-up, Salem lease-up or Portsmouth building.

By RentalCalcs Editorial
Substantive research reviewed
Conventional multifamily focus · observations, forecasts and assumptions kept separate

Opening evidence: NHCIBOR September president’s message. See the comparison below for exact periods and limits.

Manchester buildings and mill district beside the Merrimack River
Manchester’s riverfront building stock provides context for the report’s distinction between location and buyer utility, envelope and capital costs. Archival context: Quintin Soloviev, 2025-07-24 17:56:32, CC BY 4.0. Resized to WebP under the source license. Buildings shown are not sale comparables; the image does not establish current use, condition or hazard exposure.

New Hampshire multifamily cap evidence and operating comparisons

The useful benchmark is one that matches the property’s geography, income basis, condition and buyer pool. Cap rate is annual net operating income (NOI) divided by price, before financing. A county gross rent-to-value index is a different measure.

Occupancy differs inside New Hampshire

Q2 2026 · Colliers tracked apartments · Occupancy (%)

Exact chart values · Occupancy (%) · Q2 2026 · Colliers tracked apartments
ObservationPercent
NH coverage95.30%
Salem92.10%
Portsmouth96.80%
Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026. Zero-based bars. NH includes the submarkets: overlapping summaries, not independent samples. Massachusetts corridor excluded.
Dated observations · incompatible measures are labeled, never averaged
Geography / measureReported resultObservation periodBasis and source
NH multifamily reference6.3%September 28, 2026Publisher reference; statistical basis undisclosed
NHCIBOR September president’s message
NH occupancy95.3%Q2 2026Physical occupancy
Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026
Salem occupancy92.1%Q2 2026Physical occupancy
Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026
Portsmouth occupancy96.8%Q2 2026Physical occupancy
Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026
NH asking rent$2,093 / month; +1.9% YoYQ2 2026Asking rent per unit
Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026

A total sale count is not necessarily the number of sales with disclosed caps. Published averages, medians, asking yields, modeled references and professional surveys are different statistics. Undisclosed weighting or NOI conventions prevent a reliable statewide average and like-for-like appraisal. Two publishers using the same provider do not create independent confirmation.

What changes the underwriting locally?

Use local operating evidence to decide which property assumption needs verification next. Each interpretation below is conditional editorial analysis, not a measured cap-rate forecast.

Manchester, Nashua and southern commuter apartments

Reported evidence: NH asking rent grew 1.9% annually. No matching Manchester or Nashua neighborhood cap sample was verified. Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026

Local underwriting mechanism: The relevant comparison is collected rent against competing units with the same utility responsibility. A smaller building’s landlord-paid heat, water and maintenance can change its income basis even when the headline rent matches.

RentalCalcs interpretation: Stabilization is a more defensible starting assumption than paying today for cap compression. A growing asking-rent reference supports income diligence; it does not establish a lower required yield.

What would change the view, and what to obtain?

Contrary evidence: Flat collections after concessions, higher winter expense or weaker lender coverage would undermine an income-recovery thesis.

Property decision: Reconcile twelve monthly collection statements to leases and utility bills. Separate turnover gains from vacancy loss. Obtain closed comps matching unit count and expense responsibility.

Shops and multi-story buildings along Main Street in Nashua
Nashua street context: verify the actual residential unit count and utility obligations before comparing a smaller building with a large apartment sale. Archival context: John Phelan, 2008-09-27, CC BY 3.0. Resized to WebP under the source license. Buildings shown are not sale comparables; the image does not establish current use, condition or hazard exposure.

Salem: separate institutional sale mix from lease-up

Reported evidence: Salem occupancy was 92.1%. Colliers attributes NH’s price-per-unit increase partly to two Tuscan Village trades. Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026

Local underwriting mechanism: Large sales at Siena and Novella can shift aggregate pricing while vacant apartments still compete for renters. Institutional transaction liquidity does not establish a six-unit building’s buyer pool.

RentalCalcs interpretation: An improving sale headline is insufficient evidence for compression. Sustainable rent collection must support the acquisition basis after lease-up costs.

What would change the view, and what to obtain?

Contrary evidence: Persistent concessions or slower renewals would weaken recovery even if another large building sold at a high price per unit.

Property decision: Request the concession burn-off schedule and nearby lease-up availability. Stress an additional turnover cycle before accepting seller stabilized NOI.

Portsmouth and the Seacoast: occupancy does not insure the building

Reported evidence: Portsmouth’s 96.8% occupancy exceeds Salem’s in the same report. No verified neighborhood cap series is available. Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026

Local underwriting mechanism: A nearly full building can still carry an overstated NOI if the buyer’s envelope work, deductibles or renewal insurance costs are omitted. A Seacoast location needs address-level exposure diligence.

RentalCalcs interpretation: Occupancy supports income stability. Compression still needs comparable buyer-adjusted yields and competitive loan quotes.

What would change the view, and what to obtain?

Contrary evidence: A higher binding insurance quote, deferred exterior work or weaker renewal collections would weaken an occupancy-led premium.

Property decision: Compare flood information, policy exclusions and replacement-cost estimates for the parcel. Keep major work outside recurring NOI and inside invested cash.

Supported submarkets and the missing evidence

Concord, Upper Valley, Lakes Region and North Country lack matching local cap samples in this edition. Southern tracked apartments do not represent seasonal housing or every rural rental. The often-quoted 95.4% combines NH and Massachusetts; NH alone is 95.3%. Do not substitute either for a subject’s economic occupancy.

The next evidence request

Before underwriting a property, obtain a current rent roll reconciled to trailing collections, concessions and delinquency; actual operating statements; buyer tax and insurance costs; a capital inspection; and recent closed comps with documented NOI. Record why each comp matches, which costs changed after sale and whether the cap uses trailing or stabilized income.

The New Hampshire county directory and Hillsborough County cap-rate screening page serve local screening questions. Their modeled housing indexes are not a substitute for the apartment observations here. Do not copy a county index into a building’s appraisal.

Brick facades and overhead utility lines on Market Street in Portsmouth
Portsmouth’s street-facing facades make exterior and system diligence a useful companion to the Seacoast occupancy comparison. Archival context: Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, 2016-10-18 17:14, CC BY-SA 2.0. Resized to WebP under the source license. Buildings shown are not sale comparables; the image does not establish current use, condition or hazard exposure.

Compression, stabilization or expansion?

Colliers’ leasing evidence supports an income recovery; its broker roundtable emphasizes the return demanded by capital. Those can coexist. They share a publisher and do not provide independent transaction confirmation. CBRE adds a different national survey method; it cannot validate NHCIBOR’s undisclosed CoStar statistic.

Attributed publisher outlook

Colliers describes room for occupancy improvement after delivery pressure eases. CBRE’s June national survey reports roughly 60% unchanged-cap expectations over the following six months, with stronger expansion expectations for Class C. Neither is a measured NH cap forecast.

Perspectives: Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026 · Colliers NH & ME midyear broker roundtable · CBRE H1 2026 Cap Rate Survey. Related reports and shared providers are not counted as independent observations.

RentalCalcs base underwriting position: start with unchanged exit yield and verified buyer NOI. This is a conservative scenario choice, not an assertion that the state’s cap rates will stay flat. The three cases identify evidence that can change the choice; no probabilities or basis-point targets are assigned.

Compression

Sustained collections and competitive permanent debt could lower required yields for dependable income.

Watch: Renewal collections, effective rents and lender spreads.

Invalidation: Salem concessions persist or loan costs fail to improve.

Underwrite: Make the acquisition work at an unchanged exit yield; reserve compression for upside.

Stabilization

Better occupancy offsets operating costs while financing limits price growth.

Watch: Buyer NOI after heat, tax, insurance and recurring repair normalization.

Invalidation: Margins or matching closed-sale yields move persistently in one direction.

Underwrite: Keep exit cap constant and model margin changes explicitly.

Expansion

Capital costs or building uncertainty overwhelm rent growth.

Watch: Refinance coverage, marketing time and system-replacement cash.

Invalidation: Matching stabilized sales repeatedly clear at tighter buyer-adjusted yields with firm financing.

Underwrite: Test a wider exit cap and fund winter operating and capital contingencies.

Short-term policy rates do not equal property borrowing costs. Loan spreads, term, leverage and amortization affect coverage. Better physical occupancy does not guarantee stronger collected NOI; a smaller construction pipeline does not eliminate existing lease-up competition.

Translate income and yield into property value

Value = annual NOI ÷ (cap rate ÷ 100). At constant income, a higher cap means a lower value. A move from 5% to 6% is +100 basis points and reduces value by 16.7%, before debt or sale costs; it is not a 1% value decline.

A New Hampshire evidence-to-offer process

  1. Match the income basisTenant-paid versus landlord-paid heat and water must match the sale comp.
  2. Separate Salem sale mixA Tuscan Village trade cannot price a smaller commuter-market building.
  3. Price the buyer marginApply a yield after winter costs, local taxes and recurring repairs reconcile.
Original RentalCalcs decision diagram. It explains the evidence sequence for this state; it is not a market forecast or a provider’s pricing model.

Hypothetical assumptions. NOI change is cumulative over your chosen holding period, not an annual growth rate. Results exclude debt, sale costs, taxes and interim cash flow.

Edit the assumptions, then calculate. Cap-rate inputs use percentage points: enter 5 for 5%.

Starting value $2,000,000

Exit value $1,885,714 (-5.7%)

$120,000 starting NOI at 6% → $132,000 exit NOI at 7%. NOI must change by 16.7% to preserve starting value at this exit cap rate.

Fixed reference matrix · change in gross value from a 6% assumed entry yield
Cumulative NOI change5.50% exit6.00% exit6.50% exit7.00% exit
-10% total-1.8%-10.0%-16.9%-22.9%
0% total+9.1%0.0%-7.7%-14.3%
+10% total+20.0%+10.0%+1.5%-5.7%
+20% total+30.9%+20.0%+10.8%+2.9%

Original arithmetic, not observed local prices. This fixed matrix does not change with the tool above. NOI changes are total over the chosen holding period, not annual growth. Neither view includes debt payoff, transaction costs, sale tax or interim cash flow. Use the full calculator for those cash movements.

One acquisition, reconciled from rent roll to investor cash

The illustration uses 20 units at $1,250 monthly scheduled rent, an 8% vacancy/collection loss and independently stated buyer expenses. These are standardized teaching assumptions, not estimates of attainable New Hampshire rent, taxes or premiums. The 6% entry cap is a chosen scenario, not an observed statewide recommendation.

Annual operating budget · hypothetical fee-simple conventional apartments
LineAnnual dollars
Scheduled rent: 20 × $1,250 × 12$300,000
Vacancy and collection loss: 8%−$24,000
Collected operating income$276,000
Buyer property taxes−$36,000
Property insurance−$18,000
Management−$13,800
Recurring repairs−$24,000
Utilities and grounds−$30,000
Payroll / contract services−$24,000
Administration / compliance−$10,200
Total recurring operating expenses−$156,000
NOI, before debt and reserves$120,000

Replace the illustrative costs with property evidence

Obtain the municipality’s parcel assessment, revaluation timing and adopted tax rate. An equalization ratio is not the property’s tax bill. Verify seller exemptions and pending changes rather than applying a blanket NH percentage. NH DRA Property Bureau

The operating bridge is landlord-paid heat and water through a full winter, followed by insurance renewal and system work. Obtain a binding insurance quote and contractor scope. Illustrative costs below are assumptions, not observed NH premiums.

Purchase and financing · 60% LTV, assumed 6.5% interest, 30-year monthly amortization
MeasureReconciled result
Purchase price at 6% cap$2,000,000
Loan / down payment$1,200,000 / $800,000
Annual debt service$91,018
Annual replacement reserves, below NOI$12,000
Annual cash after debt and reserves$16,982
Closing cash / immediate capital work$60,000 / $60,000
Total invested cash$920,000 = down payment + closing + immediate work
Cash-on-cash, before income tax1.85%
DSCR / debt yield, before reserves1.32× / 10.00%

The assumed loan is not a current quote. For a hypothetical 1.25× minimum DSCR before reserves, the loan ceiling is about $1,265,687 at these terms; actual sizing also depends on LTV, debt yield and lender reserve/NOI definitions. With a full reserve deduction, DSCR becomes 1.19×. Negative cash is displayed as a loss, never hidden.

Yield on cost is separate: a hypothetical 10% higher stabilized NOI of $132,000 on price, closing and initial work of $2,120,000 produces 6.23%. It is not the going-in yield. Carrying costs and overruns would increase that cost basis; the income improvement has not been earned.

How much of the margin survives?

Unbudgeted winter utilities and insurance. This adds a hypothetical recurring cost above the budget below; it is not a quote or an observed expense increase.

Buyer NOI $108,000

Value at the fixed 6% assumed cap $1,800,000

Annual cash after debt and reserve $4,982

DSCR before reserves: 1.19×. Value impact: −$200,000. The loan stays fixed; this is operating stress, not a refinancing calculation.

Core results and worksheet are free. Assumptions do not transfer to linked calculators; enter the actual rent roll, costs and loan terms. A tool click is separate from a completed analysis or saved deal. Sale proceeds require debt payoff, selling costs and applicable taxes.

Before relying on a New Hampshire cap rate

What is a good cap rate?

No single yield is defensible for all of New Hampshire. Compare matching closed-sale income, buyer expenses and work requirements, then test debt coverage and invested cash. A higher nominal cap may compensate for missing income or capital obligations rather than create a better return.

Can these apartment references price a duplex or another asset class?

There is no automatic transfer. One-to-four-unit rentals can compete with owner-occupants, while office, retail and industrial leases carry different downtime, credit and leasing-capital obligations. Use a matching sale cohort. The single-family analyzer helps build a smaller rental’s own income budget.

How should a buyer verify NOI?

Reconcile a trailing year of collections, free rent, delinquency and reimbursements to the leases and bank-backed operating statements. Replace taxes, insurance and management with buyer costs. Separate recurring repairs, immediate work and reserves. The NOI classification guide explains the expense bridge.

What if the deal depends on subsidized income or a refinance?

Verify the contract, approved rent, tenant portion, inspection and recurring compliance costs. The voucher-income valuation guide explains why a reference schedule is not contracted NOI. Refinance proceeds also depend on lender income, loan terms and payoff; higher appraised value alone does not guarantee available cash.

Take the missing evidence to the property

The free printable worksheet pairs this state’s local diligence questions with a blank income budget, sale-comp log, debt/cash reconciliation and conditional exit cases.

Open the New Hampshire underwriting worksheet

Sources, lineage and update policy

Research accessed October 18, 2026. Observation periods, publication and access dates are different. The source ledger identifies known coverage and undisclosed methods. Public brokerage research has commercial interests; public availability is not unrestricted dataset republication permission. This report summarizes limited facts and contributes original comparisons and underwriting analysis.

Open the full source ledger and refresh triggers
  1. NHCIBOR September president’s message

    Observation: CoStar reference as of September 28, 2026. Published: September 29, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.

    Underlying provider: CoStar via NHCIBOR; subscription series not independently inspected. Geography / property scope: NH multifamily aggregate; finer coverage undisclosed.

    Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: 6.3% reproduced reference; statistical type, transaction versus model basis, sample, weighting and NOI convention undisclosed. Not certified as a statewide closed-sale average.

    Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.

  2. Colliers NH multifamily midyear 2026

    Observation: Q2 operations / H1 sales, 2026. Published: August 31, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.

    Underlying provider: Not identified in inspected public summary; linked Adobe report not extracted. Geography / property scope: Tracked NH apartments; Massachusetts I-93 corridor separately identified.

    Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Physical occupancy and asking rent. Inventory coverage, weighting and precise rent convention undisclosed. Combined NH/MA geography is not NH alone; changing sale mix is not repeat-sale appreciation.

    Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.

  3. Colliers NH & ME midyear broker roundtable

    Observation: Midyear 2026 commentary. Published: July 17, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.

    Underlying provider: Colliers brokers. Geography / property scope: NH/ME investment perspectives; cap anecdotes have no reproducible cohort.

    Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Professional commentary, not a state range or transaction series. Sample, weighting and NOI convention undisclosed; related Colliers research is not independent corroboration.

    Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.

  4. NH DRA Property Bureau

    Observation: Current guidance at access. Published: Page date not stated. Accessed: October 18, 2026.

    Underlying provider: NH Department of Revenue Administration. Geography / property scope: Municipal property assessment and equalization.

    Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Assessment/revaluation guidance, not a buyer tax quote; parcel assessment and adopted municipal rates required.

    Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.

  5. CBRE H1 2026 Cap Rate Survey

    Observation: June 2026 estimates and next-six-month expectations. Published: August 12, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.

    Underlying provider: CBRE Capital Markets and Valuation professionals. Geography / property scope: National professional survey, not a state transaction sample.

    Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Stabilized NOI / acquisition price; value-add uses enhanced stabilized NOI / price plus capital. Estimates informed by trades and investor discussions, not sale averages. State sample not inferred. Full local tables require contact form; no form submitted.

    Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.

No automated build advances the editorial date. Revisit local facts and conditional conclusions together on new editions, corrections, material borrowing-cost changes or relevant operating/rule changes. First-publication dates are added only after public release.

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