Montgomery market analysis
Montgomery County prices out at a median of $163,380 with median rent of $1,330, producing a gross rent-to-price ratio of 9.77%. That puts it decisively in cash-flow territory. The model underwrites a 6.35% cap rate at a 20% down payment, which holds up well against the 6.85% financing rate in the current environment. Monthly mortgage on that purchase comes to $856, estimated expenses run $465, and the modeled cash flow is essentially at breakeven on a leveraged basis, $8 per month. That near-zero cash-on-cash return of 0.26% is the honest reality of financing at today's rates, but the cap rate tells a cleaner story: unlevered, this market generates income. Appreciation has been modest, 1.77% year-over-year, and the appreciation score of 68 confirms this is not a market you buy for price growth. It ranks 14th nationally out of 1,000 counties tracked, landing in the 98th percentile overall, and sits first among Alabama's 67 counties, which tells you it's punching above the state.
The cash-flow score of 98 is the headline number here, and it points to a specific buyer profile: someone prioritizing income yield over price appreciation, ideally deploying cash or light leverage rather than relying on a fully amortizing mortgage to generate monthly surplus. At 6.85%, a leveraged buyer is essentially running at cost, which means the margin of safety is thin if rents soften or vacancy ticks up. A cash buyer avoids that problem entirely and collects the 6.35% cap rate without compression. Value-add operators also have a logical case here: median home prices at $163K leave room to acquire distressed assets below median, force appreciation through renovation, and still meet rent-to-price ratios that justify the basis. This is not a market for an appreciation play. The 1.77% YoY price growth and the appreciation score of 68 both say the same thing: buy here for income, not for equity growth.
Montgomery is the state capital of Alabama and carries the economic anchors that come with government employment, including state agencies, the military, and the institutional infrastructure those functions attract. That underlying demand base supports rental occupancy in ways that purely private-sector markets cannot replicate. Government and institutional employment tends to generate stable, non-cyclical rental demand, which is relevant context for the stability score of 50 in this dataset. That score deserves attention; it suggests the market carries some concentration or demographic risk that investors should factor in, even as the government employment base provides a floor. The affordability index of 95 and the median price of $163K indicate the renter pool is broad, which supports occupancy assumptions in an underwrite.
Alabama's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.40%, one of the lowest in the country, and the propertyTaxFlag here is rated "very_low." Combined with an insurance rate of 0.42%, the total monthly tax and insurance burden is $112, a genuine tailwind for cash-flow underwriting. On a $163K asset, annual property tax runs $654 and insurance runs $686. To put that in context, those two line items together cost less per month than the mortgage alone. Note that the 0.40% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data; the actual rate at the county or township level may differ, so pull the current millage rate from the Montgomery County assessor before finalizing your underwrite. The insurance rate deserves its own due diligence given Alabama's exposure to severe weather.
The stability score of 50 is the primary risk flag in this data. Montgomery has population of 228,132, which is a mid-size market, and capital-city economies can be vulnerable to state budget cycles and demographic concentration. Investors should independently verify occupancy trends and renter-household growth before committing, as those data points aren't provided here but matter significantly when the leveraged cash flow is this thin.
Compared to its neighbors, Montgomery makes the strongest case in the dataset. Calhoun County has a higher median price of $167,035 and a rent-to-price ratio of only 7.54%, roughly 230 basis points below Montgomery's 9.77%, while carrying a lower overall score of 72. Houston County prices at $199,496 with a rent-to-price ratio of 7.21%, the weakest in this peer group, and scores 69 overall. Chambers County and Covington County are cheaper at $141,077 and $157,840 respectively, but both carry overall scores of 69 and 71 with no rent data provided to confirm yield viability. Escambia County at $143,998 matches Montgomery's overall score of 78 but again lacks rent data. Montgomery is the only county in this neighbor set that combines a sub-$165K median price, a documented rent-to-price ratio above 9%, and a top-tier overall score. Choose Montgomery over its neighbors when your thesis is yield and you can tolerate modest appreciation; consider Escambia only if cheaper entry price matters more and you're willing to underwrite without confirmed rent data.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $122,535 | +$222/mo | 8.5% | +9.4% |
Median typical MLS deal | $163,380 | +$8/mo | 6.3% | +0.3% |
125% of median newer / premium | $204,225 | -$206/mo | 5.1% | -5.3% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 9.77% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (9.77%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 6.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Montgomery County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Montgomery County in Alabama scores 78/100, ranking #14 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow (9.77% gross rent-to-price ratio). The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
Related markets
Markets like Montgomery with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Montgomery
Average rent by city in Montgomery County
- Average rent in Montgomery$1,252/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.