Wilcox County
Market Snapshot
Wilcox market analysis
Wilcox County sits at a median home price of $147,354 with 4.2% year-over-year appreciation, an affordability index of 98, and ranks 14th nationally out of 1,000 counties and first in Alabama. Those headline numbers tell a clear story: this is an affordability play with meaningful appreciation momentum, not a cash-flow machine. The dataset does not include a median rent figure or gross rent-to-price ratio for Wilcox itself, and the cap rate and cash-on-cash fields return zero, which means any income underwriting has to be built from comparable rent surveys on the ground rather than from modeled figures here. What the data does confirm is that at $147,354, you are buying at one of the lowest entry points in the Alabama market, which compresses both your financing cost and your downside exposure.
The investor profile this county fits is an appreciation-oriented buyer comfortable with a thin or uncertain cash-flow picture, or a value-add operator willing to do the rent-discovery work themselves. The appreciation score of 83 out of 100 is the strongest signal in the dataset and pairs with a purchase price low enough that even modest rent assumptions can pencil if acquisition and rehab costs are kept tight. A pure cash-flow buyer hunting a yield guaranteed by the numbers presented here should look elsewhere, because Wilcox does not give you the rent-to-price ratio that makes that underwrite clean. A stability score of 50 also signals meaningful volatility risk, so a short hold with a forced-appreciation strategy fits better than a passive buy-and-hold counting on stable occupancy over a decade.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Wilcox County, so the underlying driver of rental demand cannot be characterized from this dataset. That absence is itself worth flagging: before committing capital, an investor needs to identify what employs the 10,441 residents, because a county of this size with no obvious institutional anchor concentrates occupancy risk. Population scale matters here. At roughly 10,400 people, the rental pool is narrow, which amplifies the impact of any single employer contraction, outmigration, or demographic shift on vacancy.
On carry costs, Alabama's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.40% is a genuine tailwind, and it shows up in the numbers: annual property taxes on this asset are estimated at $589, and combined with $619 in estimated annual insurance, you land at roughly $101 per month in tax and insurance carry. That is low by any regional standard and meaningfully improves the odds of positive cash flow if rents can be confirmed at or above market. The caveat the data itself provides is the right one: this is a state-average estimate based on Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county and township rates in Wilcox can deviate. Pull the county assessor's records before finalizing any underwrite. Insurance at an estimated 0.42% rate is also worth watching given Alabama's Gulf Coast exposure to weather events, though at $619 annually the modeled figure is still modest.
The concentration risk here is real and stems directly from the market's size. A 10,441-person county with an uncertain rent base and a stability score of 50 means that market-level events, whether a plant closure, population decline, or school district contraction, hit your occupancy harder than they would in a county with 10 times the rental pool. No vacancy or crime statistics are provided in the dataset, and none will be invented, but the structural thinness of the market is a risk that the numbers themselves imply.
Compared to the five neighboring counties in the dataset, Wilcox holds the lowest median home price by a meaningful margin, approximately $11,000 below Escambia at $143,998 and $52,000 below Houston at $199,496, while also carrying the highest overall score among the group at 78. Montgomery County is the most comparable on the income side, with a rent-to-price ratio of 0.099 and a median rent of $1,309 on a $158,219 median price, which is a better cash-flow setup than Wilcox if the rent data holds. Calhoun County's rent-to-price ratio of 0.075 and Houston's 0.072 are both lower, making them weaker cash-flow alternatives at higher prices. The case for choosing Wilcox over a neighbor is specifically an appreciation and affordability argument: lowest entry price, highest appreciation score, first-ranked in the state. Choose a neighbor if you need a demonstrable rent-to-price ratio before you commit, or if the small-market concentration risk in a 10,000-person county is outside your tolerance.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Wilcox County in Alabama scores 78/100, ranking #14 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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