Wrangell Borough
Market Snapshot
Wrangell Borough market analysis
Wrangell Borough sits at a median home price of $288,171 with 8.3% year-over-year appreciation, placing it in the top 30% of the 1,000 markets scored nationally and third in Alaska out of 14 boroughs. The appreciation score of 84 is the clearest signal this market sends: price growth is the story here, not income. The cash-flow score is zero, and the cap rate and cash-on-cash return fields are zeroed out in the underlying model, meaning the rental income data available does not support a positive-carry underwrite at current prices and a 6.85% rate. The affordability index of 59 against a median household income of $61,000 tells you why: the local income base is not deep enough to support rent levels that would pencil out against a $288,000 acquisition cost financed at today's rates.
This is not a cash-flow market. An investor buying here is making a bet on continued price appreciation in an isolated Southeast Alaska community, not on rental yield. That 8.3% price gain in a single year is meaningful, but a population of 2,134 means the entire housing stock is thin and individual transactions move the median easily. Buyers attracted by appreciation should understand that what goes up in a market this small can reverse quickly if a single employer reduces headcount or a handful of listings hit at once. A value-add operator faces the same thin-buyer problem on the exit: the resale pool of qualified local buyers is narrow, and absentee investor demand for a borough this remote is speculative.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Wrangell Borough, so specific commentary on job concentration or demand drivers would be fabricated. What the population figure does tell you is that this is a small, likely government- and resource-extraction-dependent community typical of Southeast Alaska, and any rental demand is closely tied to whatever public-sector and seasonal employment exists locally. With 2,134 residents, a landlord owning even two or three units represents a meaningful share of the available rental supply, which cuts both ways: low competition, but essentially no depth if tenants turn over simultaneously.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance estimate runs $324, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.18% and an insurance rate of 0.17% against the $288,171 purchase price. The 1.18% rate carries a "normal" flag relative to national benchmarks, so it is not the underwriting problem here. The real problem is that at zero modeled cash flow, that $324 per month in tax and insurance is dead weight on top of a mortgage payment, and there is no rental income estimate in the data set that offsets it. Underwriters should treat this as a carry-cost market where monthly out-of-pocket losses are the cost of holding for appreciation. That is a viable strategy only with significant reserves and a patient time horizon, and it should be underwritten explicitly, not assumed away.
The primary risks are concentration and liquidity. A population of 2,134 in a geographically isolated borough means demand for rentals is driven by a single labor market with almost no diversification. If that market contracts, vacancy cannot be absorbed by in-migration from nearby metros, because there are none. Regulatory risk in Alaska generally skews landlord-friendly relative to Lower 48 urban markets, but small-borough dynamics, where a handful of council members and local norms govern enforcement, introduce unpredictability that larger markets do not.
Compared to its neighbors, Wrangell Borough is the most affordable entry point in the region. Petersburg Borough prices in at $358,280, Haines Borough at $324,103, Valdez-Cordova at $312,829, Ketchikan Gateway at $381,504, and Sitka at $485,060, all with overall scores of 64 to 67, clustered tightly around Wrangell's 66. None of these markets scores materially better than Wrangell on the composite, so the regional comparison does not reveal a clearly superior alternative. The case for choosing Wrangell over its neighbors is purely price: at $288,171 it is roughly $25,000 cheaper than the next closest option and nearly $200,000 cheaper than Sitka. Ketchikan Gateway, at $381,504 with a slightly higher overall score of 67, likely offers more economic depth and a larger rental pool given its status as a regional hub, and investors who want to minimize concentration risk should compare those two directly. Wrangell makes the most sense for an investor who already has Alaska exposure, wants the lowest-cost entry into Southeast Alaska real estate, and is prepared to hold without cash-flow support for an extended period.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 8.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 4.7x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+8.3% YoY)
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
| County | Verdict | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ketchikan Gateway BoroughAK | 67 | $381,504 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
CurrentWrangell BoroughAK | 66 | $288,171 | Est. pending | — | Buy | |
Valdez Cordova BoroughAK | 66 | $312,829 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Petersburg BoroughAK | 66 | $358,280 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Haines BoroughAK | 66 | $324,103 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Sitka BoroughAK | 64 | $485,060 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
The Bottom Line
Wrangell Borough in Alaska scores 66/100, ranking #233 of 1,000 US counties (top 30%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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