Hamilton market analysis
Hamilton County, Florida sits at a median home price of $207,718 with 4.1% year-over-year appreciation, an affordability index of 85, and a cash-flow score of 0. That profile tells you most of what you need to know before running a single number: this is an appreciation-oriented market with entry-level prices but essentially no modeled cash flow at a 6.85% rate. The affordability index of 85 and the $207,718 price point make it accessible relative to the state, but the cap rate coming in at zero means the income side of the equation is not carrying the deal. The 4.1% annual price gain is real and the appreciation score of 83 out of 100 confirms that the tool's models see continued upside, but investors chasing yield will need to look hard at actual rent levels before committing.
The investor this market suits is someone willing to accept thin or negative monthly cash flow in exchange for price appreciation in an affordable Florida county, or a value-add operator who can manufacture yield by buying distressed and forcing equity. The cash-flow score of 0 is an explicit signal: at a 6.85% interest rate, conventional financing on a $207,718 purchase leaves you underwater on monthly income before you account for vacancy or capex. Appreciation buyers get an 83 appreciation score, a 4.1% trailing gain, and a purchase price well below the state's coastal norms, which limits downside on entry. If you are a cash-flow buyer expecting a market to service the debt on its own, the data as presented does not support that thesis here without seller financing, a rate buydown, or a purchase price meaningfully below the median.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Hamilton County, so the underlying drivers of rental demand, job stability, and population growth cannot be assessed from this dataset. That absence is itself worth flagging: Hamilton is a small county of roughly 13,500 people, and thin population base means rental demand is inherently concentrated. A single large employer entering or exiting would move this market materially, and without visibility into who those employers are, underwriting rental demand requires local legwork that the data here does not substitute for.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden is $270, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.89% and an insurance rate of 0.67%. The 0.89% rate carries a "normal" flag, meaning it is neither a tailwind nor a particular headache relative to Florida norms, but the insurance component at 0.67% reflects Florida's elevated property insurance environment and deserves its own line on your underwrite. Bear in mind these figures use a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Hamilton County or township-level rates may differ. Verify the county millage rate directly before finalizing any pro forma.
The concentration risk here is the most concrete specific risk the data supports. A population of 13,492 is small enough that rental absorption is limited. If you are placing multiple units in this county, you are competing in a thin pool of renters, and any softening in local employment or migration patterns will show up in your vacancy faster than it would in a market ten times the size. Stability scores at 50 out of 100, directly in the middle of the range, which reinforces the point: this is not a market with the demand depth to absorb shocks easily.
Relative to its neighbors, Hamilton's overall score of 74 stands clearly above all five comps: Putnam at 57, Santa Rosa at 57, Escambia at 56, Columbia at 55, and Leon at 55. The price advantage is also real, with Hamilton's $207,718 median below Putnam's $210,747 and well below Santa Rosa's $343,674, Leon's $284,858, Escambia's $273,928, and Columbia's $265,072. However, those neighbors all provide visible rent-to-price ratios: Putnam leads at 0.078, Escambia at 0.070, Santa Rosa at 0.069, Columbia at 0.065, and Leon at 0.062. Hamilton provides no modeled rent or rent-to-price ratio in this dataset, which makes a direct yield comparison impossible. An investor who needs cash flow today should seriously consider Putnam County, where the rent-to-price ratio of 0.078 on a $210,748 median suggests meaningfully better income coverage at nearly the same price. Choose Hamilton over its neighbors specifically when you are buying for appreciation, want the lowest entry price in the region, and have the financial cushion to carry thin monthly economics while the asset compounds.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Hamilton County in Florida scores 74/100, ranking #74 of 1,000 US counties (top 9%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.