Campbell market analysis
Campbell County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.16%, which places it squarely in appreciation territory rather than cash-flow territory. The cap rate comes in at 4.0%, and the fully leveraged numbers make that clearer still: at a $293,229 purchase price with 20% down and a 6.85% rate, the model produces a monthly mortgage of $1,537 against a median rent of $1,504, before a dime of expenses. The resulting cash-on-cash return is negative 9.95%, with estimated monthly cash flow at -$559. The appreciation score of 79 out of 100 and a year-over-year price gain of 2.89% tell you where the market's actual return driver lives. The overall score of 64 and a national percentile rank of 65 out of 1,000 counties put Campbell in the upper third nationally, but the cash-flow score of 62 reflects what the numbers already show: this is not a market where you clip positive cash flow from day one at standard leverage.
The investor this market suits is one buying for medium-to-long-term appreciation, not immediate yield. With a 79 appreciation score, Campbell ranks meaningfully higher on price growth potential than on income generation, and the 2.89% annual price growth on a $293,229 median translates to roughly $8,500 in equity appreciation per year on the median asset, which is a real return component even when monthly cash flow is negative. A value-add operator who can acquire below median, reduce vacancy through renovation, and push rents above the $1,504 median could compress that cash-flow gap, but they need a meaningful spread between acquisition cost and median, given that even at median price the carry hole is $559 per month. A pure cash-flow buyer at standard leverage has no clear path to positive returns here without a price concession of at least 15-20% below median or a significant rent premium. The affordability index of 67 suggests the market is not deeply discounted relative to income, which limits the hunt-for-distress playbook.
The monthly tax and insurance burden runs $291, or $3,490 annually, combining a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.86% and an insurance rate of 0.33%. At 0.86%, Kentucky's state-average rate falls in the normal range, meaning it does not dramatically distort the underwrite the way a 1.5%+ rate would. Still, at $210 per month in estimated property taxes alone on a $293,229 asset, it is not trivial, and it is worth confirming the actual Campbell County and township rate before closing, since the figure here is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data and local rates can deviate. Insurance at $81 per month is a modest line item and not a major pressure point.
The stability score of 50 is the single number that deserves the most attention from an underwriting standpoint. It sits at the midpoint of the scale, suggesting neither the reliable tenant base of a military or university town nor unusual volatility, but it does flag concentration risk. With a population of 93,122, Campbell is a mid-size county, and any overexposure to a single employer sector or to the Cincinnati metro job market across the river could introduce occupancy volatility that the headline appreciation numbers would not capture. No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so no specific employers can be named, but investors should independently verify the local employer mix before committing capital, particularly given the stability score of 50.
Compared to its neighbors, Campbell sits in a specific position. Hardin County has the highest rent-to-price ratio of the group at 6.79%, nearly 60 basis points above Campbell's 6.16%, and an overall score of 65, making it the more logical choice for an investor prioritizing cash-flow proximity. Montgomery County and Clark County also carry higher overall scores (66 and 65 respectively) at significantly lower median prices ($226,507 and $256,519), which means the entry point is lower and the cash-flow math, while still challenged, becomes more manageable. Oldham County goes the opposite direction: median prices of $433,371, a rent-to-price ratio of only 5.07%, and an overall score of 62 make it the least attractive of the group for rental economics. Fayette County is the closest comparable to Campbell at a 6.05% ratio and $319,672 median, but its overall score of 63 is one point below Campbell's 64. Campbell makes the most sense over its neighbors when an investor specifically wants suburban Cincinnati exposure, is underwriting to appreciation, and can stomach negative carry while price growth accumulates. Anyone whose primary objective is yield would be better served running the same capital into Hardin or Montgomery County, where lower price points and better ratios give cash flow at least a fighting chance.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $219,922 | -$175/mo | 5.3% | -4.2% |
Median typical MLS deal | $293,229 | -$559/mo | 4.0% | -9.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $366,536 | -$943/mo | 3.2% | -13.4% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.16% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$559/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Campbell County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Campbell County in Kentucky scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $559/month; the 6.16% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.