Taylor County
Market Snapshot
Taylor market analysis
Taylor County sits at a median home price of $215,873, down 2.55% year-over-year, which puts acquisition costs on a mild downward trend. The affordability index of 84 tells you this is a relatively accessible market to enter, but the investment data tells a more complicated story: the cash flow score is zero, and neither a cap rate nor a cash-on-cash return figure is calculable from the data provided. That alone is a signal worth sitting with. The rent-to-price ratio is similarly absent, which means underwriters cannot confirm whether rents in this market support debt service at the current $215,873 median price and a 6.85% mortgage rate. What the scores confirm is that Taylor leans toward the appreciation side of the spectrum, with an appreciation score of 37 that is nonetheless modest, and a stability score of 50 that suggests this is neither a high-growth corridor nor a distressed pocket. It ranks 501st out of 1,000 counties nationally, landing in the 36th percentile, and 78th out of 120 Kentucky counties, meaning roughly a third of the state's counties score below it.
The investor profile this market suits is narrow given the current data. A pure cash-flow buyer has little to work with: no rent data, a zero cash flow score, and a purchase price that at 6.85% interest generates a meaningful monthly mortgage burden on a 20% down purchase. An appreciation buyer needs to explain away the 2.55% price decline before committing, and a score of 37 on appreciation is not compelling enough to justify speculative positioning. The investor with the strongest argument for Taylor County is the value-add operator who can source properties below the $215,873 median, force appreciation through renovation, and either hold for rental income once rents justify it or exit to an owner-occupant buyer in an affordability index-84 market where entry-level demand tends to be real. The affordability score is the one genuinely constructive data point here: in a market where homes are accessible relative to incomes, value-add exits to retail buyers are more plausible than in expensive metros.
No economic anchor data was provided for Taylor County, so employer composition and job-base stability cannot be assessed from this dataset. Investors who are serious about underwriting rental demand here should conduct independent research into the local employment base before committing capital, since rental demand in a county of 26,056 people is acutely sensitive to the health of one or two large employers.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure is $214, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.86% and an insurance rate of 0.33%. The tax flag is "normal," meaning Kentucky's rate does not create the kind of drag you would face in Illinois or New Jersey, and it does not deliver the tailwind you find in states with sub-0.5% effective rates. The $214 monthly figure is material to any cash-flow underwrite, so it belongs on your expense line from day one. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual county or township rate may land higher or lower.
The primary risk in Taylor County is scale and concentration. A population of 26,056 means the rental pool is small, tenant turnover events are harder to absorb, and any localized economic disruption, whether a plant closure or a regional employer contraction, translates directly into vacancy. There is no rent data available to assess how deep or liquid the rental market currently is. Regulatory risk is not flagged by the data, and no demographic stress indicators are provided, but the price decline of 2.55% year-over-year in a market this small warrants attention: it could reflect softening demand, oversupply of listings, or broader economic pressure on the local household base.
Compared to its neighbors, Taylor County's best comparison is Calloway County, which carries a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0776, well above what most investors consider the minimum threshold for cash flow viability, at a median price of $176,410. If cash flow is the priority, Calloway is the more actionable market. Warren County offers a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0518 at a $286,155 median, which puts it in the marginal cash-flow range but at a higher entry cost. Madison County's 0.0425 ratio at $276,671 is the weakest cash-flow case among neighbors with rent data. Taylor County's edge over all of them is price: at $215,873, it is the second-cheapest neighbor with a reported median, behind Johnson County at $138,885. Johnson County's overall score of 51 is below Taylor's 55, though, and its much lower price point suggests either a structurally weaker market or a distressed opportunity depending on ground-level conditions. Choose Taylor over its neighbors specifically when you are targeting value-add plays in an affordable, owner-occupant-accessible price band and are less dependent on day-one rent coverage to make the numbers work.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -2.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-2.5% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Taylor County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Taylor County in Kentucky scores 55/100, ranking #501 of 1,000 US counties (top 64%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
Frequently asked questions
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