Blue Earth market analysis
Blue Earth County sits at a 3.29% cap rate on a $301,642 median purchase price, with a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.0507, or roughly 50 cents of monthly rent per $1,000 of purchase price. At a 6.85% financing rate, the modeled underwrite spits out negative $753 per month in cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -13.02% on a $60,328 down payment. Those numbers put Blue Earth squarely on the appreciation side of the spectrum, not the cash-flow side, and the county's own score breakdown confirms it: a cash-flow score of 46 against an appreciation score of 71. Home prices have grown 2.09% year-over-year, which is modest but positive, and an affordability index of 65 suggests the market isn't so stretched that price growth has to stall for demand to hold.
This is not a county for a buyer who needs the property to carry itself from day one. The monthly mortgage of $1,581 against a median rent of $1,274 means you're plugging a gap before expenses even enter the picture, and combined tax and insurance at roughly $372 per month (using the state-average effective property tax rate of 1.13%, with the important caveat that actual county and township rates will differ) is another real line item. At 1.13% the tax rate is within normal range for Minnesota and doesn't itself torpedo the deal, but it doesn't help either. The investor who fits here is either an appreciation buyer with genuine equity capital who can sustain negative carry while waiting for price growth, or a value-add operator who can acquire below the $301,642 median and push rents above $1,274 through meaningful improvements. A pure cash-flow buyer using conventional 20% down financing should look elsewhere or expect to negotiate a price point well below median to change the math.
No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so employer-level analysis isn't possible here. What the population figure of 69,022 does suggest is a mid-sized regional county, not a micro-market with single-employer concentration risk but also not a large metropolitan area with deep labor market diversification. The affordability index of 65 implies median-income households in the area can reach ownership, which tends to support stable rental demand from workforce tenants, though that inference goes only as far as the data allows.
The combined $372 monthly tax and insurance burden represents roughly 29% of the $1,274 median rent before debt service, maintenance, or vacancy. That figure is worth modeling explicitly on each deal rather than folding into a generic expense ratio, particularly because the 1.13% rate used here is a state average and Blue Earth's township-level rate could land meaningfully higher or lower. The estimated $446 in monthly expenses the model already includes presumably captures this, but any investor doing their own underwrite should pull the actual assessor data for the specific parcel before committing.
The neighbor comparison is useful for calibrating how much the rent-to-price ratio actually matters in this part of Minnesota. Blue Earth's 0.0507 ratio is the second-highest in the peer group listed, trailing only Ramsey County at 0.0553. Ramsey is a Twin Cities core county with a $326,548 median price and $1,504 median rent, an overall score of 58, and more liquidity than Blue Earth. If a cash-flow orientation is the goal, Ramsey's ratio advantage is real and the market depth is greater. Benton County, by contrast, offers a similar price point ($299,058) but a significantly weaker rent-to-price ratio of 0.0444, making Blue Earth the stronger relative choice on income yield between those two. Sherburne and Dakota both carry higher purchase prices with rent-to-price ratios below Blue Earth's, so neither improves the cash-flow math. An investor should choose Blue Earth over its listed neighbors specifically when the thesis is appreciation with a mid-range entry price and the best available rent ratio in that price tier, and when the negative monthly carry can be absorbed or offset through below-market acquisition.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $226,232 | -$358/mo | 4.4% | -8.3% |
Median typical MLS deal | $301,642 | -$753/mo | 3.3% | -13.0% |
125% of median newer / premium | $377,053 | -$1,149/mo | 2.6% | -15.9% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 5.07% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (5.07%)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$753/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Blue Earth County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Blue Earth County in Minnesota scores 57/100, ranking #451 of 1,000 US counties (top 58%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $753/month; the 5.07% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.