Brown County
Market Snapshot
Brown market analysis
Brown County posts a median home price of $252,959 with 9.45% year-over-year appreciation, which immediately tells you where this market sits on the spectrum: it leans toward appreciation rather than cash flow. The cash flow score is effectively zero, and with cap rate and cash-on-cash return data absent from the model output, the honest read is that the numbers at current pricing and a 6.85% interest rate are not producing meaningful day-one income. The affordability index of 76 and a median price under $253K suggest the market is not overheated on an absolute basis, but rising prices that fast compress yields. Investors chasing spread should notice that 9.45% annual price growth is the headline story here, not rent-to-price mechanics.
The investor profile this market suits is the appreciation buyer or a patient buy-and-hold operator who can tolerate thin or flat early cash flow in exchange for equity accumulation. With an overall score of 70 and an appreciation score of 81, the data is essentially directing you toward that conclusion. A pure cash-flow buyer, someone who needs every door to produce net positive income from month one, is not well-served here at a $252,959 median and 6.85% financing. A value-add operator looking for distressed assets priced well below median might find a margin, but that is an execution story, not a market structure story. The stability score of 50 is worth flagging: it signals neither a locked-in, defensive market nor a volatile one, so appreciation expectations should be modeled conservatively rather than extrapolated from a single year of 9.45% movement.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure lands at $312 on a $252,959 purchase, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.13% and an insurance rate of 0.35%. That $312 is meaningful in a market where cash flow is already at zero before you account for maintenance, vacancy, or property management. The 1.13% tax rate falls into the normal range, so it is not a red flag on its own, but do note that the 1.13% is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data and actual Brown County or township rates may differ, sometimes materially. Pull the county assessor data before you finalize any underwrite. At a $252,959 basis, annual property tax is estimated at $2,858 and annual insurance at $885, totaling $3,743 per year in fixed carry before debt service.
The primary risk here is concentration in a small market. Brown County's population is 25,880, which is a thin renter pool. Small-market rentals can work, but tenant turnover hits harder when the qualified renter universe is limited, and vacancy periods tend to be longer and less predictable. No economic anchors or employer data were provided for this county, so no claim can be made about job base stability or demand drivers. That absence itself is worth noting: investors who cannot point to a named employer, institution, or industry anchor as a demand rationale should discount their occupancy assumptions relative to larger metros.
Compared to the neighboring counties provided, Brown sits in the middle of the pricing range. Stevens County at $204,884 and Swift County at $188,268 offer meaningfully lower entry points with overall scores of 72 and 73 respectively, both slightly above Brown's 70. If cash flow is the goal, a lower basis in Stevens or Swift County likely produces better rent-to-price ratios at equivalent rent levels, and their higher overall scores suggest the model views them as marginally better balanced markets. On the other side, Wabasha and Dodge counties are priced at roughly $317,500 each with overall scores of 68 and 72, making them more expensive with no clear advantage in the overall ranking. Pine County at $261,402 and a score of 70 is nearly identical to Brown on both dimensions. The case for choosing Brown over its neighbors comes down to its 9.45% price appreciation outperforming whatever growth rate you can underwrite elsewhere, and its affordability index of 76, which implies room for continued price movement before the market prices out local buyers. If you are specifically underwriting for appreciation and equity growth over a five-to-seven year hold, Brown's recent trajectory earns a look. If income from day one matters more than equity, Stevens or Swift County deserves the first call.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 9.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+9.4% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Brown County in Minnesota scores 70/100, ranking #149 of 1,000 US counties (top 19%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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