Pershing market analysis
Pershing County sits at a median home price of $238,571 with home values moving in the wrong direction, down 3.09% year over year. The cash flow score of 0 and a cap rate that the data cannot calculate tell you something immediately: the rental income picture here is thin enough that the tool cannot construct a standard underwrite. The affordability index of 79 and the county's overall score of 52 (28th national percentile, 8th out of 16 Nevada counties) place it squarely in the middle of the pack by composite measure, but the zero cash flow and appreciation scores of 35 suggest this is not a market that excels on either axis of the standard buy-and-hold framework.
The investor this market does not suit is the yield-focused cash flow buyer who needs a defensible cap rate before pulling the trigger. Without rental income data sufficient to model returns, there is no spread to evaluate against the 6.85% financing cost on a $238,571 purchase, and negative home price momentum suggests the equity cushion is thinning. The appreciation buyer gets a similarly uninspiring story: a 35 appreciation score paired with a 3.09% price decline is not a setup for near-term equity growth. The population of 6,587 means this is a very small market, which concentrates risk considerably. If there is a viable thesis here, it lives in deep-discount acquisition of distressed or undervalued assets where a value-add operator can manufacture equity, but even that thesis requires local market knowledge and a buyer's willingness to accept limited liquidity at exit.
Nevada's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.60% is flagged here as low, a genuine tailwind relative to national norms. At that rate, the annual property tax on a $238,571 purchase runs approximately $1,431, and combined with estimated annual insurance of $453, the monthly tax-and-insurance carry comes to $157. That is a manageable line item and, in a market where the margin between income and expense is already unclear, every dollar of carry cost matters. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Pershing County or township-level rates may differ. Verify with the county assessor before finalizing any underwrite.
No economic anchor data was provided for Pershing County, so this analysis does not speculate on employment base or demand drivers. What the population figure of 6,587 does communicate directly is that the rental pool is small, landlord-tenant dynamics are idiosyncratic, and one or two large vacancies can meaningfully move your personal occupancy rate. Markets this size tend to be driven by a single industry or employer, and a contraction there ripples through rental demand faster than it would in a diversified metro. That concentration risk is worth pricing into any acquisition decision even without knowing the specific driver.
Compared to neighboring counties, Pershing does not stand out favorably on most dimensions. Lander County carries a higher overall score of 60 at a nearly identical median price of $242,019, making it the more natural starting point for a buyer in this price range who wants to stay in rural Nevada. Eureka County scores 58 at a median of $145,928, offering a lower entry point for investors willing to accept similar rural exposure. Churchill County scores 53 at $380,089 with a rent-to-price ratio of 4.75%, meaning it at least has enough rental data to construct a yield analysis, which Pershing currently cannot support. Clark County at $426,818 with a 4.89% rent-to-price ratio is a different market entirely, urban, more liquid, but also higher-priced. The case for choosing Pershing over any of these neighbors would have to rest on a property-specific opportunity, a foreclosure, an estate sale, something priced well below the $238,571 median, because at median pricing this county does not offer a differentiated return profile relative to Lander or Eureka, both of which score higher on fundamentals.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -3.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-3.1% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Pershing County in Nevada scores 52/100, ranking #560 of 1,000 US counties (top 72%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.