Cheshire County

New HampshirePopulation: 76,610
59
/100
Hold
#402 of 1,000 counties
#3 in New Hampshire (10 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$389,037
Median Home Price
70% above national median
$1,880/mo
Median Rent
30% above national median
5.80%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 56% nationally
-$817
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Cheshire market analysis

Cheshire County sits at a 0.058 gross rent-to-price ratio, which places it in the lower tier for cash-flow potential but not at the extreme end. The cap rate underwrite comes in at 3.77%, and at a 6.85% financing rate the leveraged math is brutal: the model estimates negative $817 per month in cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -10.96% on a $77,807 down payment. That number deserves full weight. This is not a market where you buy a stabilized property today with conventional financing and clip a check. It is, however, a market where appreciation is doing real work: home prices grew 2.98% year-over-year, and the appreciation score of 80 out of 100 ranks it third in the state among ten counties. The overall score of 59 and a national percentile of 49 put it squarely at the median nationally, a market with upside but no margin for error on the income side.

The investor profile this county rewards is narrow. An appreciation buyer with a long hold, a low-leverage or all-cash position, or an operator running a value-add strategy that meaningfully lifts rents is who this market is built for. At $389,037 median home price and $1,880 median rent, the affordability index of 47 signals that residents are stretched, which historically contains the ceiling on rent growth but also keeps homeownership out of reach for many renters, supporting continued rental demand. A cash-flow buyer expecting day-one income with standard 20%-down financing will not find it here at current prices and rates. If your thesis is "buy, force appreciation through renovation, and refinance or sell in five to seven years," the 2.98% annual price growth gives you a credible exit. If your thesis is "collect rent and cover costs," the numbers say look elsewhere.

The property tax situation in New Hampshire is a material underwriting consideration, not a footnote. New Hampshire's state-average effective property tax rate is 2.18%, which is very high on a national basis, and carries an important caveat: that figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county or township rates in Cheshire can differ, sometimes significantly. On a $389,037 purchase, that rate produces $8,481 in estimated annual property taxes. Combined with $895 in estimated annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load alone is $781. Against a $1,880 gross rent, that single line item consumes 41.5 cents of every dollar before you pay a mortgage, make a repair, or account for vacancy. This rate deserves its own line on every underwrite you run in this state, and in Cheshire specifically, it is the single largest lever separating a deal that pencils from one that doesn't. An investor buying below median, or one who can verify a lower township rate, may see meaningfully different numbers than the model reflects.

The stability score of 50 reflects a market that carries some concentration risk. Cheshire County's population of 76,610 is not large, which means any single employer contraction or demographic shift registers more sharply in the rental market than it would in a metro of several hundred thousand. The data provided does not include specific economic anchors for this county, so any comment on individual employers or institutions would go beyond what the numbers support. What is visible is the affordability index of 47, suggesting the local population is at the lower end of buying power, which keeps the renter pool sizable but also constrains how aggressively you can push rents without outrunning what the market will bear.

Against its neighbors, Cheshire holds a clear price advantage. At $389,037 median, it is cheaper than Grafton ($413,099), Merrimack ($470,918), Strafford ($485,977), and Hillsborough ($503,490). Only Coos County, at $258,134, is lower-priced, though Coos has no rent data provided and carries meaningful rural risk. On the rent-to-price ratio, Cheshire's 0.058 trails Grafton's 0.059 but beats Merrimack (0.049), Strafford (0.051), and Hillsborough (0.049). Grafton's overall score of 60 edges Cheshire's 59, and its slightly better ratio and higher median rent make it a legitimate competing option for a buyer comfortable with a somewhat higher entry price. Cheshire makes sense over its neighbors when you are optimizing for lower absolute purchase price while still keeping the gross yield ratio competitive, particularly if you are deploying less capital or running a value-add strategy where you need room between your basis and market value. If pure yield compression is the concern, Merrimack and Hillsborough, despite being higher-priced markets, score lower overall and show weaker rent-to-price ratios, making them harder to justify at this rate environment.

Last analyzed October 19, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Cheshire County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,880/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$291,778-$307/mo5.0%-5.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$389,037-$817/mo3.8%-11.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$486,296-$1,327/mo3.0%-14.2%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$389,037
Down Payment (20%)$77,807
Loan Amount$311,230
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,880
Monthly P&I-$2,039
Est. Expenses (35%)-$658
Net Cash Flow-$817/mo
3.8%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-11.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.80%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.8% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
59/100
59
Cash Flow(30%)
57/100

Based on 5.80% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
80/100

Based on 3.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
47/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$817/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
76,610
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
GraftonNH
60$413,099$2,0465.94%BuyView
CurrentCheshireNH
59$389,037$1,8805.80%Hold
CoosNH
57$258,134Est. pending—HoldView
MerrimackNH
56$470,918$1,9424.95%HoldView
StraffordNH
56$485,977$2,0785.13%HoldView
HillsboroughNH
55$503,490$2,0574.90%HoldView

Section 8 in Cheshire County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldCheshire is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Cheshire County in New Hampshire scores 59/100, ranking #402 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $817/month; the 5.80% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-817/mo
Cap Rate
3.8%
Cash-on-Cash
-11.0%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Cheshire County has an average cap rate of 3.77%, which reflects relatively modest cash flow potential for buy-and-hold investors. This rate is below the 5-6% threshold many investors target, indicating appreciation rather than cash flow should be the primary investment driver.

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