Portage market analysis
Portage County sits at a median home price of $282,245 and a median rent of $1,574, producing a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0669, which places it squarely in appreciation territory rather than cash-flow territory. The cap rate at that price point comes in at 4.35%, which is thin but not disqualifying, and the year-over-year price appreciation of 5.29% tells you where the real return engine sits. Running a standard 20% down scenario, the monthly mortgage at 6.85% runs $1,480, and with $551 in estimated expenses layered on, gross rent doesn't cover the stack, leaving a modeled cash-flow deficit of $457 per month and a cash-on-cash return of negative 8.45%. That number is the honest summary of Portage at current financing costs: you are buying appreciation, not income, and you need to underwrite it accordingly.
That math directly dictates who this market suits. An appreciation-focused buyer gets the most defensible case here. The appreciation score of 87 out of 100 and a national percentile rank of 77 out of 1,000 counties suggest Portage consistently outperforms most of the country on price growth, and 5.29% annualized appreciation on a $282,245 asset is roughly $14,900 in equity per year before any principal paydown. A cash-flow buyer working at current interest rates has no obvious entry angle without a significant price discount, seller financing, or a substantially higher down payment to compress the mortgage. A value-add operator who can force rents meaningfully above $1,574 changes the picture, but the math requires roughly $400 to $450 per month in rent uplift just to reach breakeven on this model, which is a high bar to clear without a compelling repositioning thesis. The affordability index of 70 and score of 70 suggest the market isn't priced out for renters, which supports rent stability but doesn't create the upward pressure a value-add play needs.
The tax and insurance load in Portage is a real line item that deserves attention in any underwrite. The combined monthly tax and insurance figure is $421, using Ohio's state-average effective property tax rate of 1.56%. That rate carries the "high" flag, and at 1.56% applied to a $282,245 purchase, you're looking at $4,403 in annual property taxes alone. That $421 monthly combined carry cost represents roughly 27% of gross rent, which compresses the operating margin hard in an already thin-yield market. Worth flagging explicitly: the 1.56% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county and township rates in Portage may differ materially, in either direction. Pull the auditor's current millage before closing.
On risk, the stability score of 50 out of 100 is the number that deserves the most scrutiny. It's the weakest dimension of Portage's profile and sits in the bottom half of the scoring range. Combined with a modeled negative cash-on-cash return, that stability score means an investor carries both operating loss and elevated uncertainty about whether rent levels and occupancy hold where the model assumes. The population of 161,217 is large enough to sustain a diversified renter pool, but this is a market where conviction on the appreciation thesis needs to be high before absorbing the monthly carry cost.
Comparing Portage to its neighbors clarifies the trade-off. Hancock County offers a higher rent-to-price ratio at 0.0685 versus Portage's 0.0669, at a much lower median price of $229,447. An investor prioritizing yield over appreciation should look at Hancock first. Richland County at $187,141 median and a 0.0600 ratio is the cheapest entry in the peer set but also the weakest rent-to-price performer, so lower price doesn't automatically mean better cash flow. Medina County is higher-priced at $333,151 with a 0.0646 ratio, meaning you pay more and get less yield relative to price than Portage. Miami and Lorain counties both score identically to Portage at 68 overall while carrying slightly lower rent-to-price ratios of 0.0634 each, making them harder to prefer over Portage on any single metric. Portage makes the most sense over its neighbors specifically when the investor believes the 5.29% appreciation trajectory persists and is willing to carry the monthly deficit in exchange for the best price-growth profile in the peer group. If that appreciation conviction isn't there, Hancock County offers a cleaner yield story at a lower basis.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $211,684 | -$87/mo | 5.8% | -2.1% |
Median typical MLS deal | $282,245 | -$457/mo | 4.3% | -8.4% |
125% of median newer / premium | $352,806 | -$827/mo | 3.5% | -12.2% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.69% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 5.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.69%)
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.3% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$457/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Portage County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Portage County in Ohio scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $457/month; the 6.69% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.