Ross market analysis
Ross County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.11%, which translates to a cap rate of 3.97% once you run actual expenses through the model. At a 6.85% financing rate, the numbers go negative fast: a 20% down purchase at $201,557 leaves you with an estimated monthly cash flow of negative $389 and a cash-on-cash return of negative 10.07%. That is not a cash-flow market at current rates. What partially redeems the thesis is an appreciation score of 82 out of 100 and year-over-year price growth of 3.66%, which is meaningful in a county where the median home is still under $202,000. The affordability index of 87 and an overall national percentile rank of 78th out of 1,000 counties suggest this market is underpriced relative to peers, which is exactly the condition that precedes appreciation rather than yield compression.
The investor this county suits is someone buying for long-term appreciation and equity accumulation rather than day-one cash flow, or a value-add operator who can acquire below the $201,557 median, force equity through renovation, and push rents meaningfully above the $1,026 median. At $201,557, the entry price is low enough that a disciplined buyer who sources off-market at a 10-15% discount can change the math materially. A pure cash-flow buyer who needs the property to carry itself at today's rates will struggle here; the cap rate of 3.97% simply does not clear a 6.85% cost of capital. The stability score of 50 is the weakest reading in the scorecard, so this is not the market for an investor who needs predictable, low-variance income from day one.
The carry costs deserve direct attention before you finalize any underwrite. The combined monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $301, which is a line item that accounts for a meaningful share of the $359 in estimated monthly expenses. Ohio's state-average effective property tax rate is pegged at 1.56%, which the data flags as high, and at that rate you are looking at $3,144 in annual property tax on a $201,557 asset. That is worth its own line on your pro forma, not a rounding assumption. The caveat here is that 1.56% is a state-average estimate based on Tax Foundation 2024 data; actual rates at the Ross County or township level may differ, and you should pull the auditor's current millage rates before closing. Insurance adds another $464 annually at the modeled 0.23% rate, which is relatively contained compared to the tax burden.
On the risk side, the stability score of 50 is the number that demands scrutiny. It is the lowest sub-score in the dataset and sits below the midpoint, suggesting either economic concentration, population sensitivity, or demand volatility that the other scores do not fully capture. Ross County's population of 76,957 makes it a smaller market, which means tenant demand can move materially on the back of a single large employer or a cyclical shift. No economic anchors data was provided for this county, so it is not possible to name specific employers or assess job diversification from this dataset. What the numbers do support is that smaller Ohio markets with below-median stability scores warrant extra diligence on local employment composition before committing capital.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the dataset, Ross has a notably lower median home price than Erie ($228,638), Hancock ($229,447), Summit ($217,839), and Miami ($260,436), with only Richland ($187,141) coming in cheaper. However, Ross's rent-to-price ratio of 6.11% is lower than Erie (7.38%), Hancock (6.85%), and Summit (6.80%), meaning those counties offer better raw yield relative to purchase price despite higher sticker prices. Erie County in particular, with a ratio of 7.38% and an overall score of 70, looks more attractive on a pure income basis. The case for choosing Ross over its neighbors comes down to entry price and the appreciation score of 82, which is the specific data point that differentiates it from the comparison set. If your strategy is to buy the cheapest appreciating asset in the region and hold for five-plus years, Ross's combination of sub-$202,000 median pricing and 3.66% annual price growth gives it a reasonable argument. If you need the asset to generate income near breakeven from year one, Erie or Hancock deserve a closer look first.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $151,168 | -$125/mo | 5.3% | -4.3% |
Median typical MLS deal | $201,557 | -$389/mo | 4.0% | -10.1% |
125% of median newer / premium | $251,946 | -$653/mo | 3.2% | -13.5% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.11% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 3.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$389/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Ross County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Ross County in Ohio scores 69/100, ranking #169 of 1,000 US counties (top 22%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $389/month; the 6.11% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.