Van Wert market analysis
Van Wert County sits at a median home price of $191,307, up 5.1% year-over-year, with an affordability index of 89 out of 100. The county ranks 40th nationally out of 1,000 counties tracked and 8th among Ohio's 88 counties, landing in the 95th percentile nationally. That ranking is driven primarily by its appreciation score of 86 and its affordability score of 89, not by cash flow, where the score reads zero. The investable picture here is one where price momentum is real and entry costs remain low relative to the national baseline, but the rent-to-price math does not appear to generate meaningful cash flow at current financing costs, with the 30-year rate sitting at 6.85%.
The investor this county suits most clearly is an appreciation buyer or a patient buy-and-hold operator who is comfortable with thin or breakeven near-term cash flow in exchange for low acquisition costs and above-average price growth. The 5.1% annual appreciation on a $191,307 median is worth roughly $9,700 in equity per year per property before any leverage amplification, and the affordability score of 89 means the pool of potential tenants and eventual exit buyers remains broad relative to local incomes. A cash-flow buyer, however, should approach carefully. The data does not include a median rent or rent-to-price ratio for Van Wert itself, so underwriting to a yield target here requires independent rent comps rather than a figure from this dataset. What the appreciation score of 86 tells you is that price trajectory has been the engine, not spread between rent and carrying costs.
The dataset does not include named economic anchors or an economy note for Van Wert County, so employer-level color is not available here. What the stability score of 50 does signal is that this is a mid-tier market on that dimension, neither a fortress economy nor a structurally declining one. A population of 28,833 means you are underwriting a small county where a single large employer entering or exiting moves the needle materially. Before committing capital, identifying the top two or three employers and assessing their lease commitments or capital expenditure plans is not optional due diligence; it is the underwrite.
The tax and insurance carry on a $191,307 purchase comes to $285 per month combined, or $3,424 annually. That is not a line item to absorb quietly. Ohio's state-average effective property tax rate is estimated at 1.56%, which the data flags as high, and at that rate the annual property tax alone runs $2,984. Acknowledging that this is a state-average estimate and that county and township rates will differ, the direction of the flag still matters: budget for a rate above 1.5% until you pull the actual county auditor figure, because undershooting taxes on a tight cash-flow deal is how a neutral property turns negative. Insurance adds another $440 annually at the 0.23% rate estimate. Together, taxes and insurance consume $285 per month before you add mortgage, vacancy, maintenance, or management, and on a thin-margin deal in a small market, that sequencing deserves its own line on the pro forma.
The primary risk here is concentration. A county of fewer than 29,000 people with an unknown economic anchor profile means rental demand is narrow. Vacancy in small Midwestern counties can swing sharply if a plant closes or a regional employer consolidates operations, and with no vacancy data provided, that tail risk is unquantifiable from this dataset alone. Regulatory risk is not flagged in the data, and demographic headwinds or tailwinds are similarly absent, so those factors require primary research at the local level.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the dataset, Van Wert's $191,307 median is the highest in the group, which matters in two directions. Belmont County at $130,448, Crawford at $152,867, and Scioto at $135,788 all offer lower entry points, though their overall scores of 74 to 76 trail Van Wert's 76 on equal footing or slightly below. The two neighbors with visible rent data, Lucas County and Trumbull County, show gross rent multiplier efficiency: Trumbull's rent-to-price ratio of 7.99% and Lucas's 7.83% make both of those counties more legible for cash-flow underwriting, because the rent figure is confirmed. Trumbull also carries a slightly higher overall score of 77 than Van Wert's 76. Choose Van Wert over its neighbors when your thesis is appreciation and affordability-driven equity build in a county with demonstrated price momentum, and when you have done the work to confirm rents independently. Choose Trumbull or Lucas if you need a defensible cash-flow model supported by observable rent data before you close.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.1% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Van Wert County in Ohio scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.