Monroe market analysis
Monroe County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 7.4%, which places it meaningfully above most Pennsylvania neighbors and explains the cash flow score of 74 out of 100. The cap rate on a median-priced acquisition comes in at 4.81% at the $310,974 purchase price, which is a respectable yield for the region but not a home run. Where the story gets complicated is the leveraged position: at 6.85% financing, a 20% down ($62,195) leaves you with a monthly mortgage of $1,630 against estimated expenses of $671, producing a modeled cash-on-cash return of -6.43% and a monthly cash flow deficit of $383. This is a market that pencils reasonably at the asset level but bleeds at today's interest rates, which is a financing problem more than a market problem. Appreciation has been modest, 1.74% year-over-year, and the overall score of 64 with a stability score of just 50 tells you this market leans toward yield rather than price growth, without fully delivering on cash flow under current debt costs.
The investor profile best suited here is someone who can either bring more equity to the table to reduce debt service, buy below the median to improve the yield math, or operate value-add assets where forced appreciation and rent bumps change the unit economics. A pure appreciation buyer will find the 1.74% price growth underwhelming and is probably better served by a gateway market. A cash-flow buyer who can purchase at a 10-15% discount to median and push rents toward or above the $1,918 median has a real play here, given the 7.4% gross yield on median pricing is already competitive with Pennsylvania alternatives. The affordability index of 63 suggests there is a meaningful renter pool that cannot easily access ownership, which supports rental demand structurally.
No economic anchor data was provided for Monroe County, so the employer and demand-driver picture cannot be assessed from this dataset alone. Investors doing serious diligence will want to layer in their own research on the local employment base, commuter patterns to nearby markets like the Lehigh Valley, and any tourism or seasonal demand that might affect vacancy and rent seasonality in what is a geographically distinct part of northeastern Pennsylvania.
The carry costs deserve a hard look on your underwrite. Property taxes at the Pennsylvania state-average effective rate of 1.54% generate an estimated $4,789 annually on the median property, and combined with $715 in annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load is $459. That is a material line item, representing roughly 24% of the $1,918 median rent before debt service or maintenance. The 1.54% rate carries a "high" flag, and it earns it: at that level it compresses cap rates noticeably and punishes leveraged buyers. The honest caveat here is that 1.54% is a state-average estimate based on Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual effective rate will depend on the specific township and municipality, which in Pennsylvania can vary considerably. Underwrite to the actual assessed value and local millage rate before committing capital.
On the risk side, the stability score of 50 is the number that demands attention. Without vacancy or economic data in this dataset, it is impossible to name the exact driver, but a mid-range stability score on what is otherwise a yield-oriented market suggests some cyclicality or demand concentration worth investigating. Population at 168,128 is a mid-size county, not a thin market, but investors should pressure-test whether rental demand is broad-based or tied to a narrow segment of the housing stack.
Compared to the five neighboring counties, Monroe stands out clearly on gross yield. Its 7.4% rent-to-price ratio beats Snyder (6.2%), Clinton (5.7%), Lehigh (6.1%), Berks (6.0%), and York (5.2%) outright. The tradeoff is a higher entry price than Snyder ($226,158), Clinton ($189,955), Berks ($299,902), or York ($297,755), with Lehigh being the only neighbor that costs more at $350,229. If you are optimizing purely for yield and can manage the carry costs and stability risk, Monroe is the strongest option in this peer set on gross rent-to-price metrics. If you want to spend less and accept lower rents, Clinton or Snyder offer lower absolute capital requirements, though at materially weaker yields. Choose Monroe when the income-to-price ratio matters more than entry price minimization and when you have the operational capacity to manage a market with moderate stability rather than a set-and-forget dynamic.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $233,231 | +$24/mo | 6.4% | +0.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $310,974 | -$383/mo | 4.8% | -6.4% |
125% of median newer / premium | $388,718 | -$791/mo | 3.9% | -10.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 7.40% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.40%)
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$383/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Monroe County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Monroe County in Pennsylvania scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $383/month; the 7.40% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.