Somerset market analysis
Somerset County sits at a median home price of $180,049 with 5% year-over-year appreciation, an affordability index of 91, and a national percentile rank of 96 out of 1,000 counties scored. The appreciation score of 86 is the market's headline number. The cash flow score, however, is 0, which tells you exactly what you need to know about the rent-to-price relationship here: this county is not generating meaningful monthly surplus at current prices and a 6.85% interest rate. No cap rate or cash-on-cash figure is calculable from the provided data, which itself signals thin or negative spread between gross rents and carrying costs. Somerset is squarely on the appreciation end of the spectrum, not the cash-flow end.
That positioning means the investor this market suits is someone buying for price growth, not monthly income. A 5% annual price gain on a $180,049 asset is roughly $9,000 in equity accretion per year, and the entry price is low enough that a buyer with a $36,010 down payment is controlling that asset at a relatively modest capital commitment. An appreciation buyer who can tolerate a neutral or slightly negative monthly carry, or who can deploy a larger down payment to reduce the mortgage load, is the profile that fits. A pure cash-flow buyer who needs day-one surplus to service a portfolio should look elsewhere. A value-add operator might find opportunity if distressed inventory exists at prices meaningfully below the $180,049 median, but there is no forced-equity angle that the data specifically supports, so that thesis would require local boots-on-the-ground confirmation.
The tax and insurance load at Somerset deserves its own line on your underwrite. At Pennsylvania's state-average effective property tax rate of 1.54%, which the Tax Foundation rates as high, the annual property tax on a $180,049 purchase comes to approximately $2,773. Add $414 in estimated annual insurance and you are carrying $266 per month before you pay a dollar of mortgage principal or interest, before any maintenance reserve, and before any vacancy allowance. At 6.85% on an $143,039 loan (80% LTV), the principal and interest payment alone runs roughly $940 per month, putting total PITI near $1,206 before operating expenses. That is the math that zeros out the cash-flow score. The 1.54% rate is a state-average estimate and actual Somerset County or township-level rates may differ, so pull the county assessor's millage before closing. If your specific municipality runs above the state average, the already-thin cash-flow picture tightens further.
The stability score of 50 is the market's most meaningful caution flag. A mid-range stability reading on a county of 73,802 people points to concentration risk, whether in employer base, demographic trend, or both. Somerset is a rural Pennsylvania county, and rural Appalachian markets at this population level have historically faced outmigration pressure and limited economic diversification. No specific economic anchors or employer data were provided for this county, so the source of whatever stability does exist cannot be confirmed from this dataset. An investor should independently verify the primary employment drivers, net population trend, and school district health before committing capital, since those factors will determine whether the 86 appreciation score reflects durable demand or a shorter-cycle price movement in a thinly traded market.
The neighbor comparison sharpens the decision. Schuylkill County at $155,809 median and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.88% per month (8.82% annualized) is the strongest cash-flow alternative in the peer set, with an overall score matching Somerset's 77. If monthly income is the objective, Schuylkill is the sharper tool. Northumberland County at $158,522 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.73% per month is a middle-of-the-road alternative, scoring 75. Cameron County at $70,313 and an overall score of 78 offers the lowest entry price in the group but with a population and liquidity profile that demands careful scrutiny before scaling. Elk County at $139,617 and a score of 76 splits the difference on price without standout metrics in either direction. Susquehanna County at $224,876 is the priciest neighbor and scores 75, making it the hardest to underwrite for either cash flow or relative value. Choose Somerset over its neighbors when your thesis is price appreciation on a low-basis asset, you can absorb or offset the $266 monthly tax-and-insurance drag, and you want the highest-scoring market in this peer group by appreciation metrics. Choose Schuylkill if you need the rent check to carry the deal.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.0% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Somerset County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Somerset County in Pennsylvania scores 77/100, ranking #30 of 1,000 US counties (top 4%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.