Gibson County

TennesseePopulation: 50,455
73
/100
Hold
#88 of 1,000 counties
#5 in Tennessee (95 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$178,894
Median Home Price
22% below national median
$1,201/mo
Median Rent
17% below national median
8.05%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 11% nationally
-$157
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Gibson market analysis

Gibson County prices its entry point at $178,894 median, against a median rent of $1,200.78, producing a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0806, or roughly 80 cents of monthly rent per $1,000 of purchase price. That sits comfortably above the threshold where cash-flow math starts to work, and the 5.24% cap rate confirms the asset-level yield is real. The complication is in the financing layer: at 6.85% on an 80% LTV loan, the monthly mortgage alone comes to $938, and once you add $420 in estimated operating expenses, the modeled position is negative $157 per month cash-on-cash, translating to a -4.58% cash-on-cash return. That gap is not a market problem, it is a capital structure problem. An investor who brings more equity, buys at a discount to median, or waits for rate relief closes it quickly. Home price appreciation ran 2.09% year-over-year, which is modest, so this market is not pricing in a growth story. Gibson County belongs squarely on the cash-flow end of the spectrum, with appreciation as a secondary benefit rather than a thesis.

The buyer this market suits is a cash-flow-oriented investor who either has the equity to reduce debt service or is hunting below-median acquisitions where the rent-to-price ratio stretches further. The affordability index of 92 tells you the county is meaningfully more affordable than national norms, which supports both tenant demand (people can afford to rent here rather than being priced into ownership) and acquisition price discipline. A value-add operator also has a reasonable case: buying distressed assets below $178,894, lifting rents toward or above the $1,200 median through renovation, and achieving a cap rate north of 5.24% on improved rents. The appreciation score of 71 out of 100 and the 2.09% price growth suggest this is not the market for a speculative land-hold or a growth-equity play; that investor would be misallocating capital here.

No economic anchor or employer data was provided for Gibson County, so employer-level analysis is omitted. What the stability score of 50 out of 100 does flag is that demand-side durability deserves scrutiny in your underwriting. A county of 50,455 people with a mid-range stability score warrants examination of tenant pool depth and local employment diversity before committing to a multi-unit position.

On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden is $160, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.71% and an insurance rate of 0.36%. That $160 figure is already baked into the $420 estimated expense line, so there is no surprise there, but it is worth isolating because Tennessee's 0.71% rate lands in normal territory, neither a headwind nor a meaningful tailwind. The honest caveat required here: that 0.71% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your specific county or township rate may differ. Pull the Gibson County assessor's actual millage before finalizing your underwrite.

The primary risk to flag is scale and concentration. At 50,455 residents, Gibson is a small county, and small-county rental markets can see vacancy move sharply with a single large employer shift or a regional economic disruption. The stability score of 50 is the lowest sub-score in the profile, which directionally confirms that concern. No vacancy or crime data was provided, so those dimensions require independent research. Regulatory risk in Tennessee is generally landlord-friendly relative to coastal states, but that characterization should be verified at the county and municipality level before assuming it applies uniformly within Gibson.

Compared to its neighbors, Gibson's entry point is the most competitive in the peer group except for Carroll County at $180,314, essentially equivalent. But Gibson's overall score of 73 is the highest in the comparison set, above Claiborne at 74 only marginally, and well above Rhea at 68, Lincoln at 68, Anderson at 62, and Carroll at 63. Anderson County is the starkest contrast: median home price of $301,800 against a median rent of $1,600.74 produces a rent-to-price ratio of only 0.0636, which is materially worse for cash-flow math than Gibson's 0.0806. An investor choosing between Gibson and Anderson is essentially choosing between a cash-flow posture at $178,894 and a growth-adjacent posture at $301,800 with a thinner yield. For a buyer whose primary return driver is current income or who is equity-constrained, Gibson is the better fit. For a buyer chasing population growth and appreciation in a larger metro orbit, Anderson's higher price point may be justified by factors outside this dataset. Within the Tennessee peer set, Gibson ranks fifth out of 95 counties overall, placing it in a genuinely differentiated position for investors focused on yield at an accessible price.

Last analyzed October 19, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Gibson County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,201/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$134,171+$77/mo7.0%+3.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$178,894-$157/mo5.2%-4.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$223,618-$391/mo4.2%-9.1%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$178,894
Down Payment (20%)$35,779
Loan Amount$143,115
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,201
Monthly P&I-$938
Est. Expenses (35%)-$420
Net Cash Flow-$157/mo
5.2%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-4.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
8.05%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.2% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
73/100
73
Cash Flow(30%)
81/100

Based on 8.05% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
71/100

Based on 2.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
92/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (8.05%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.2% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
50,455
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
ClaiborneTN
74$228,611Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentGibsonTN
73$178,894$1,2018.05%Buy
RheaTN
68$266,373Est. pending—BuyView
LincolnTN
68$257,281Est. pending—BuyView
CarrollTN
63$180,314Est. pending—BuyView
AndersonTN
62$301,800$1,6016.36%BuyView

Section 8 in Gibson County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldGibson scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $157/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Gibson County in Tennessee scores 73/100, ranking #88 of 1,000 US counties (top 11%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $157/month; the 8.05% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-157/mo
Cap Rate
5.2%
Cash-on-Cash
-4.6%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Gibson County has an average cap rate of 5.24%, which reflects solid cash flow potential for rental investors in this affordable Tennessee market.

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