Van Buren market analysis
Van Buren County sits at a median home price of $234,856 with year-over-year appreciation of 1.77%, an affordability index of 80, and an overall investment score of 66 out of 100, placing it in the 70th percentile nationally and 14th out of 95 Tennessee counties. The cash flow score is zero, which tells you something direct: the current price-to-rent relationship here does not pencil for a conventional buy-and-hold yield play. No cap rate or cash-on-cash figure is available in the dataset, which itself reflects the thin transaction and rental data typical of very small markets. What the county does offer is relative price accessibility paired with a moderate appreciation trajectory, positioning it firmly on the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow end.
The investor this county suits is someone buying for long-term hold and price appreciation rather than immediate income generation. The affordability score of 80 means entry points are accessible compared to broader benchmarks, and the 1.77% annual price gain, while not dramatic, is positive in a county with only 6,182 residents where liquidity is inherently limited. A cash-flow buyer should look elsewhere; the zero cash flow score is an honest signal that rents relative to purchase prices are not generating meaningful yield at current financing costs. A value-add operator might find opportunity if they can identify distressed assets below the $234,856 median and manufacture equity through renovation, but the small population base means buyer and renter pools are narrow at exit. This is a market for patient capital with a longer time horizon, not a vehicle for quarterly distributions.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Van Buren County, so the local employment picture cannot be characterized from this dataset. What the population figure of 6,182 does tell you is that this is a genuinely small rural county where any single employer concentration, industry shift, or demographic outflow carries outsized impact relative to what would register in a larger metro. Rental demand is structurally thinner when the entire county population is smaller than many apartment complexes in secondary cities, and that reality should be baked into any occupancy assumption you underwrite.
On carrying costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden runs approximately $209, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.71% and an insurance rate of 0.36% applied to the $234,856 purchase price. At 0.71%, Tennessee's state-average rate is in normal territory and does not constitute a drag that needs special flagging, but you should pull the actual Van Buren County and township rate before closing since the figure used here is a state-level estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data and county-level rates can differ meaningfully. The $209 monthly figure is nonetheless material at this price point: on a financed deal with a $46,971 down payment at 6.85%, taxes and insurance alone consume budget before you account for maintenance, management, and vacancy reserves, reinforcing why the cash flow score lands at zero.
The primary risks here are concentration and liquidity. A population of 6,182 means the rental market can shift on relatively few household moves, and if the county's economic base or demographic composition changes, an investor could find themselves holding an asset with limited exit options. Selling in a thin market takes longer and may require price concessions. Regulatory risk cannot be characterized from the available data, but rural Tennessee counties at this scale are generally less encumbered by landlord-tenant regulation than urban markets, which is a modest structural positive.
Compared to neighboring counties, Van Buren at $234,856 is priced below Rhea ($266,373, score 68), Lincoln ($257,281, score 68), Anderson ($301,800, score 62), and Greene ($240,638, score 62), and above Carroll ($180,314, score 63). Anderson and Greene both provide actual rent-to-price ratios, 6.36% and 6.52% respectively, which gives investors a yield benchmark that Van Buren cannot match with available data. If cash flow is the priority, Greene County's 6.52% gross rent-to-price ratio at a comparable price point makes it the more actionable choice from this peer group. If an investor specifically wants lower entry cost with appreciation exposure inside Tennessee, Van Buren offers a lower price than Rhea and Lincoln while scoring comparably overall, though Rhea and Lincoln both outscore it and likely carry more economic depth. Choose Van Buren over its neighbors only if you have a specific asset or local knowledge advantage, because the generic case on the numbers points to Greene or Rhea as better risk-adjusted starting points.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Van Buren County in Tennessee scores 66/100, ranking #233 of 1,000 US counties (top 30%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.