Brooks market analysis
Brooks County, Texas sits at a median home price of $73,321, which is about as cheap as residential real estate gets in this country. The price dropped nearly 9.9% year-over-year, meaning buyers are not competing for assets here. Cap rate and cash-on-cash return data are zeroed out in the underlying model, which signals that rental income data sufficient to generate a reliable yield estimate is unavailable for this market, not that the yield is literally zero. What the model can say clearly is that the affordability score is a perfect 100 out of 100, the cash flow score is 0, and the appreciation score is 5 out of 100. That combination tells you almost everything: this is not a market where the numbers pencil easily on either front right now.
The investor profile this market suits is narrow. At $73,321 entry price, an all-cash buyer or someone with access to very cheap capital has the best shot at making the arithmetic work, because a financed deal at 6.85% on an $58,657 loan (after 20% down of $14,664) still requires rent sufficient to cover the carry before you even get to taxes and insurance. An appreciation buyer has little to work with: a 5 out of 100 appreciation score and a near-10% price decline in the trailing year do not support a thesis built on equity growth. A value-add operator could theoretically find distressed assets at sub-$73K basis points, but with a population of only 7,059 and a stability score of 50, exit options are limited. The only realistic buyer is someone acquiring for deep-discount cash flow at an all-in cost low enough to tolerate thin rent, or someone with a specific use case tied to the local economy rather than a standard portfolio play.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Brooks County, so the employment base cannot be characterized here with any specificity. What the population figure does tell you is that a county of 7,059 people has an extremely limited renter pool by definition. Demand for rental units is structurally constrained by headcount, and any localized shock to employment or population would be felt immediately at the property level. Small markets can work for disciplined operators, but the math requires near-full occupancy to hold up, and a single vacancy on a small portfolio here has an outsized percentage impact on income.
The tax and insurance picture deserves a careful look on your underwrite. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.80%, Texas's rate is high enough to deserve its own line on your spreadsheet, and at $73,321 in assessed value that works out to $1,320 annually in estimated taxes. Combined with $367 in annual insurance, you're carrying $141 per month in tax and insurance before you pay principal, interest, maintenance, or management. That's not catastrophic at this price point, but on a property generating modest rent it's a real drag on net operating income. The honest caveat here, per the Tax Foundation 2024 data used in the model, is that this is a state-average estimate and actual Brooks County or township-level rates may differ materially.
The most concrete risk in this market is scale. A county with 7,059 residents has a thin tenant base, limited rent comparables, and likely limited property management infrastructure. Price direction is already negative year-over-year at nearly 10%, which may reflect demographic contraction or economic pressure rather than a temporary correction. Without vacancy data or demographic trend figures in the provided dataset, the specific mechanism cannot be confirmed, but the directional signal is cautionary.
Against its neighbors, Brooks County is the cheapest of the group by a meaningful margin. Jim Wells County comes in at $133,520 (overall score 47), Starr County at $130,042 (score 48), Baylor County at $119,420 (score 48), and Garza County at $117,070 (score 48). Only Hardeman County is cheaper at $62,124, with a slightly lower overall score of 45 versus Brooks's 47. The neighbor comparison matters because the overall scores are essentially identical across the group, ranging from 45 to 48, meaning Brooks offers no quality premium, just a lower entry price. If your thesis is purely lowest-dollar-in, Brooks edges out all neighbors except Hardeman. If you want a marginally larger rental market and can absorb the higher price, Jim Wells or Starr at roughly $130,000 to $133,000 with scores of 47 to 48 give you more population density and potentially more exit liquidity. Choose Brooks when your capital is highly constrained and you're buying all-cash at a basis low enough to survive thin rents; choose a neighbor when you want a slightly more liquid market at a modestly higher cost.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -9.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-9.9% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Brooks County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Brooks County in Texas scores 47/100, ranking #652 of 1,000 US counties (top 83%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.