Mitchell County
Market Snapshot
Mitchell market analysis
Mitchell County, Texas sits at a median home price of $96,728 with home values appreciating at just 1.2% year-over-year. The data does not include a median rent figure, cap rate, or cash-on-cash return for this county, which means the cash-flow picture cannot be fully underwritten from this dataset alone. What the numbers do show is a perfect affordability score of 100, a cash-flow score of 0, and an appreciation score of 62, placing Mitchell firmly in an unusual position: priced at the floor of what you can find in Texas, with modest but positive price momentum, yet no rental income data to confirm whether the yield justifies the entry. The $96,728 price point is the clearest signal the market sends. At that level, even a modest gross rent would imply an attractive rent-to-price ratio, but an investor should not assume it without verifying local rents independently before committing.
The affordability score and price point make Mitchell most interesting to a value-oriented buyer, specifically someone willing to do the ground-level rent survey work that the data cannot do for them. If local rents clear even $800 per month, the gross yield approaches 10% on a sub-$97K asset, which is the kind of math that attracts cash-flow buyers to thinly populated West Texas counties. The appreciation score of 62 out of 100 suggests the market is not purely a cash-flow play, either. That score, combined with a 1.2% YoY price gain, points to a market that is at minimum holding value and generating some upward drift, not depreciating. For a value-add operator, the low entry price creates a wide margin for renovation spend while still keeping all-in basis well below any comparable urban Texas market. The risk is execution, not overpayment.
On the carry cost side, the tax and insurance load deserves close attention. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.8%, which the Tax Foundation 2024 data flags as high, annual property taxes on this asset run approximately $1,741. Combined with an estimated $484 in annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance burden is $185. On a $96,728 purchase, that $185 per month represents a meaningful fixed cost that does not move with occupancy. At a 1.8% rate, Texas's property tax environment is high enough that it belongs on its own line in any underwrite, and investors accustomed to lower-tax states should treat it as a material drag on net cash flow. The caveat here is that 1.8% is a state-average estimate, and county and township rates in Mitchell County specifically may differ, so pulling the actual tax bill for any target property is a necessary step before closing.
Mitchell County's population of 8,947 is the central risk factor the data surfaces. A market this small means any single employer contraction, demographic shift, or infrastructure change can move vacancy rates sharply. The data provides no economic anchor information for Mitchell, so it would be speculative to name stabilizing employers. What the population figure does tell you is that this is not a market with a self-reinforcing demand engine. An investor here is underwriting a small, stable West Texas county where rental demand is driven by a narrow base. That demands conservative vacancy assumptions, ideally grounded in conversations with local property managers rather than metro-level benchmarks.
Compared to the neighboring counties provided, Mitchell at $96,728 sits in the middle of the peer group. Cottle County is cheaper at $65,066, while Andrews County is substantially more expensive at $244,485. Among the neighbors with rent data, Wichita County shows a rent-to-price ratio of 0.087, which is a useful benchmark. If Mitchell's rental market operates at a similar ratio, implied monthly rents would land near $832, which at a $96,728 purchase price would generate a gross yield in the range of 10.3%. That is a rough proxy, not a verified figure, but it illustrates why this price tier attracts attention. Andrews County's $244,485 median, by contrast, requires a much higher rent to achieve comparable yield economics. Mitchell's overall score of 70 ranks it slightly above most of its neighbors, which cluster at 68, with Andrews at 75 being the only peer to score higher. An investor should choose Mitchell over its lower-scoring neighbors when the priority is minimizing basis and tolerating illiquidity risk in exchange for a potentially attractive yield, and should choose Andrews when willing to pay more for a market likely supported by the Permian Basin energy economy.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Mitchell County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Mitchell County in Texas scores 70/100, ranking #149 of 1,000 US counties (top 19%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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