Portsmouth City market analysis
Portsmouth City sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 7.39%, which translates to a 4.81% cap rate on a median-priced acquisition at $266,486. That cap rate positions this market squarely in the middle of the cash-flow versus appreciation spectrum, leaning slightly toward appreciation given that year-over-year home price growth came in at 2.5%. The model underwrite at 6.85% financing produces a monthly mortgage of $1,397, estimated expenses of $575, and median rent of $1,642, arriving at negative $330 in monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -6.46%. That cash-on-cash figure is a function of today's rate environment compressing leveraged returns, not necessarily a signal that the market itself is unattractive, but it does mean a financed buy at median price does not pencil for a buyer who needs day-one cash flow. The overall score of 68 out of 100, with a national percentile rank of 77 across 1,000 counties, confirms a market that is better than average but not a cash-flow standout.
The cash-flow score of 74 and appreciation score of 75 are close enough that Portsmouth City doesn't fit neatly into either camp, but the investor best positioned here is someone who can either reduce leverage, buy below median, or operate value-add assets. A buyer who can acquire at a meaningful discount to the $266,486 median, reduce the debt service drag, or push rents above the $1,642 median estimate through renovation or active management will find the underlying rent-to-price ratio workable. Pure appreciation buyers should note that 2.5% annual price growth, while positive, is not the kind of trajectory that justifies accepting deep negative leverage unless there is a thesis for accelerating growth. The affordability index of 73 suggests this market is not overheated, which limits near-term downside but also limits the case for rapid price acceleration.
The $233 per month in combined taxes and insurance deserves attention in the underwrite context. Virginia's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.82%, which the Tax Foundation classifies as normal, so it is not a meaningful headwind or tailwind relative to other states. That said, keep in mind this figure is a state-average estimate and actual Portsmouth City rates may differ, so confirming the county-level millage rate before closing is a basic step. Annual property tax on a $266,486 purchase comes to approximately $2,185, and insurance runs roughly $613 annually at the 0.23% estimate. These are not alarming numbers, but in a market where monthly cash flow is already negative at median leverage, every line matters.
The stability score of 50 is the one number that demands honest attention. At exactly median stability relative to the scoring range, this figure likely reflects concentration risk or demographic factors inherent to a mid-size independent city on Virginia's coast. Portsmouth is part of the Hampton Roads metro, which provides some insulation through the region's significant military and federal presence, though no specific economic anchors were included in the provided data for this analysis. What the numbers do show is that an investor should stress-test vacancy assumptions carefully, as a market with a 50 stability score has more cyclical exposure than peers with scores in the 60s or 70s.
Among the neighboring markets provided, Mecklenburg County is the most direct competition for a yield-focused buyer, posting a rent-to-price ratio of 8.42% against Portsmouth's 7.39% and a median home price of just $212,716, a $53,000 discount to Portsmouth. Mecklenburg also carries a slightly higher overall score of 70. An investor prioritizing gross yield and lower entry price should look hard at Mecklenburg before committing to Portsmouth. Roanoke City offers a rent-to-price ratio of 7.06% at a median price of $215,833, scoring 67 overall, which makes it a weaker choice on both price and yield metrics. Dinwiddie County and Botetourt County both score 69 with median prices above $295,000 and no rent data provided, making them harder to evaluate on yield but clearly higher-entry-cost options. Franklin City scores 70 at a $224,286 median with no rent data supplied. Portsmouth makes the most sense over its neighbors when an investor believes the Hampton Roads metro exposure, relative liquidity of a 97,000-person city, and its balanced cash-flow and appreciation scores outweigh the yield advantage Mecklenburg offers, or when deal-level acquisition pricing brings the effective entry cost well below the $266,486 median.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $199,865 | +$19/mo | 6.4% | +0.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $266,486 | -$330/mo | 4.8% | -6.5% |
125% of median newer / premium | $333,108 | -$679/mo | 3.8% | -10.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 7.39% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.39%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$330/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Portsmouth City: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Portsmouth City in Virginia scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $330/month; the 7.39% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Portsmouth City with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Portsmouth City
Average rent by city in Portsmouth City
- Average rent in Portsmouth$1,694/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.