Adams market analysis
Adams County, Washington sits at a median home price of $310,421 with home values down 1.25% year-over-year, making it one of the more affordable entry points in eastern Washington. The affordability index of 63 reflects that relative accessibility. What's missing from the data, however, is equally telling: cap rate, cash-on-cash return, estimated cash flow, and rent figures all come back at zero, which means the tool's underwriting engine couldn't produce a usable income model for this county. That alone is a signal worth taking seriously before committing capital. Without a verifiable rent-to-price ratio, you can't place Adams on the cash-flow versus appreciation spectrum with any confidence, and the appreciation score of 44 out of 100 doesn't suggest a compelling capital gains story either. The overall score of 52 and a national percentile rank of 28 out of 1,000 counties put Adams in the bottom third nationally.
The cash-flow score is literally zero, and the appreciation score of 44 is below average. That rules out the pure cash-flow buyer and the pure appreciation buyer as natural fits. The value-add operator is the profile most likely to find opportunity here, specifically someone willing to do the primary research on actual rents, since the data set couldn't populate those figures. The affordability index of 63 and a $310,421 median price do mean your acquisition basis is lower than every neighboring county in this data set, which theoretically gives you room to manufacture yield through renovation or repositioning, but you'd be building that thesis from scratch on the ground rather than from this data.
Adams County is small, with a population of just 20,557, and no economic anchor data was provided for this analysis. What the population figure does tell you is that the rental demand pool is thin. A small absolute renter population means individual vacancies carry disproportionate weight on portfolio performance, and a single large employer reducing headcount could move the local market in a material way. Without anchor employers named in the data, you can't stress-test that concentration risk from the outside.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance estimate comes to $308, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.98% against the $310,421 purchase price, plus a 0.21% insurance rate. That $308 monthly figure is worth modeling carefully given the absence of rent data, because it represents a known cost against an unknown income number. The 0.98% tax rate carries a "normal" flag, meaning it isn't a special headwind or tailwind relative to the state average, though the standard caveat applies: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual county or township rate may differ. Run the county assessor's figures before finalizing any underwrite.
The most concrete risk here is data sparsity itself. When a market can't generate rent comps sufficient to populate a cap rate or cash-on-cash return, that often reflects thin transaction volume, limited comparable rental inventory, or both. In a county of 20,557 people, that's a plausible structural condition, not a data artifact. Concentration risk in a market this size is real: a small renter pool, an unknown employer base, and a declining home price trend (down 1.25% year-over-year) together suggest a market where downside scenarios are harder to hedge through diversification.
Compared to its neighbors, Adams is the cheapest to enter at $310,421, but every neighbor with available rent data shows a rent-to-price ratio between 4.5% and 5.7%, and Adams can't produce that figure at all. Grant County at $354,438 median and a 5.19% rent-to-price ratio, and Franklin County at $412,248 with a 5.45% ratio, both offer higher entry costs but a quantifiable income picture. Douglas County's 5.73% rent-to-price ratio at a $476,828 median is the best yield signal in the neighbor set. The only rational case for choosing Adams over any of these neighbors right now is if you identify off-market rents through primary research that the data set couldn't capture, and your basis stays low enough to make the math work at those rents. Otherwise, Franklin and Grant counties give you a real underwriting foundation that Adams currently cannot.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
No significant strengths identified based on current data.
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-1.3% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Adams County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Adams County in Washington scores 52/100, ranking #560 of 1,000 US counties (top 72%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.