Pepin County
Market Snapshot
Pepin market analysis
Pepin County posts a 10.1% year-over-year home price gain against a median purchase price of $285,486, which tells you most of what you need to know about where this market sits on the spectrum: this is an appreciation play, not a cash-flow machine. The data returns a cash-flow score of zero and a cap rate of zero, meaning the tool cannot construct a workable income scenario at current prices, likely because rents in this rural western Wisconsin county do not support conventional buy-and-hold math at a $285K entry point. The appreciation score of 80 out of 100 is the headline, and that 10% price run confirms momentum, but investors need to be clear-eyed that they are buying growth, not yield.
That profile suits a specific type of buyer: someone with a longer hold horizon, tolerance for thin or negative monthly cash flow, and a thesis around land or lakefront scarcity in a small market. At a population of 7,363 and an affordability index of 69, Pepin is not a deep rental pool. A value-add operator hunting for distressed multifamily to force equity through renovation will find the inventory constraints of a sub-10,000-person county a real limitation. The appreciation buyer who already owns cash-flowing assets elsewhere and wants a small allocation to a market with 80/100 appreciation scores and demonstrated price momentum has the clearest case here. Anyone who needs the property to service its own debt from day one should look elsewhere before running a single number.
Pepin County's national ranking of 183 out of 1,000 counties places it in the 77th percentile overall, which is a meaningful signal that the market is not obscure, it just doesn't fit every mandate. The stability score of 50 is worth taking seriously: it suggests the market can move in both directions, and a county this small has limited cushion against employer contraction or demographic outflow. No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so drawing conclusions about job base concentration or institutional demand drivers is not possible from the available inputs.
The carry cost story deserves real attention before you build a pro forma. Wisconsin's state-average effective property tax rate is 1.85%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and the data backs that up with a monthly tax and insurance figure of $495. On a $285,486 purchase, that is $5,281 in annual property taxes and $657 in annual insurance before you account for mortgage, maintenance, capital reserves, or vacancy. At a 20% down payment of $57,097 and a 6.85% interest rate, the mortgage alone on the remaining $228,389 runs well north of $1,500 per month. Combined with $495 in monthly tax and insurance, your all-in carry before a single repair is approaching $2,000 or more per month. If rental income in a county this size cannot reliably clear that bar, negative cash flow is the baseline assumption, not the exception. The 1.85% rate is a state-average estimate and actual Pepin County township rates may differ, but treat it as a floor for underwriting purposes, not a ceiling.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic scale. A county of 7,363 people has a thin tenant pool, limited comparable sales data to support appraisals on the upside, and meaningful exposure to any single employer slowdown or population aging trend. No vacancy data was provided, but in markets this small, a single vacancy on a small portfolio can swing cash-on-cash returns dramatically. Regulatory risk specific to Pepin County is not captured in the provided data, but Wisconsin is not generally considered a high-regulation landlord environment at the state level.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the data, Pepin's $285,486 median sits above Langlade ($208,908), Vernon ($261,888), and Juneau ($255,309), while running roughly in line with Oconto ($289,938) and below Kenosha ($311,505). All five neighbors score between 67 and 70 overall, essentially identical to Pepin's 68, which means you are not getting a quality premium for paying up here. The one neighbor with rent data, Kenosha, shows a rent-to-price ratio of 6.26% on a $311,505 median, which is a better gross yield profile than Pepin appears to offer despite the higher entry price. If cash flow is any part of the mandate, Kenosha's ratio deserves a direct comparison. If the thesis is pure appreciation in a small lakefront-adjacent Wisconsin market and the investor can absorb the carry, Pepin's 10.1% price gain and 80/100 appreciation score differentiate it from neighbors that share the same overall score without the same price momentum.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 10.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+10.1% YoY)
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Pepin County in Wisconsin scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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