Sheridan County

WyomingPopulation: 31,176
44
/100
Avoid
#702 of 1,000 counties
#19 in Wyoming (23 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 16, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$447,013
Median Home Price
95% above national median
$1,570/mo
Median Rent
8% above national median
4.21%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 92% nationally
-$1,323
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Sheridan market analysis

Sheridan County's numbers tell a clear story: this is not a cash-flow market. At a median home price of $447,013 and median rent of $1,570, the gross rent-to-price ratio sits at 0.042%, and the cap rate works out to just 2.74%. Run a standard underwrite with 20% down ($89,403), a 6.85% rate, and you're looking at a $2,343 monthly mortgage before expenses. Add the $550 in estimated operating costs and you're sitting at negative $1,323 per month in cash flow, a cash-on-cash return of -15.44%. The appreciation score of 56 is the only number that puts Sheridan in a defensible position for any investor, and even that is tempered by year-over-year home price growth of just 0.62%. The affordability index of 36 out of 100 tells you that renters here are stretched, which puts a ceiling on how far rents can run without meaningful wage or population growth.

The buyer who belongs in Sheridan is an appreciation-oriented investor with a long time horizon and the balance sheet to carry a four-figure monthly loss without distress. That rules out anyone underwriting to current cash flow or relying on leverage to make the deal work. A value-add operator faces the same math: even if you force appreciation through renovation, you're starting from a rent base of $1,570 in a market ranked in the 10th percentile nationally and 19th out of 23 Wyoming counties overall. Those rankings reflect structural limitations that cosmetic improvements alone won't fix. An equity-rich buyer who can put significantly more than 20% down, or a cash buyer willing to accept sub-3% yields as a store of value, is the realistic buyer profile here.

The tax and insurance picture is a genuine tailwind and one of the few line items that works in an investor's favor. Wyoming's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.61%, flagged as low, which translates to $2,727 in annual property taxes on a $447,013 asset. Combined with $1,073 in estimated annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance burden is $317. That's a real number to keep on your underwrite, and in a market where almost everything else works against cash flow, the low tax rate provides some relief. That said, the data reflects a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and actual Sheridan County or township-level rates can differ, so verify the specific parcel before you close.

No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so this analysis won't speculate on employer base or job stability. What the population figure of 31,176 does establish is that Sheridan is a small market. Small-market concentration risk is real: a single employer contraction, a demographic shift, or sustained out-migration can move vacancy and rent levels in ways that larger metros absorb more gradually. With a market this size, diversification within the county is limited, and an investor holding multiple doors is exposed to the same narrow tenant pool.

Compared to its neighbors, Sheridan is neither the most expensive nor the worst-yielding market in the region, but it doesn't stand out favorably on any cash-flow metric. Park County prices in at a similar $444,338 but with a rent-to-price ratio of only 0.035%, even worse than Sheridan's 0.042%, and its overall score of 35 is the lowest in the group. Albany County and Fremont County both offer lower entry points, $361,467 and $307,563 respectively, with rent-to-price ratios of 0.038% and 0.040%. Fremont's overall score of 45 edges past Sheridan's 44, and its lower price basis means losses are smaller in absolute dollar terms even if the yield spread is similarly thin. Sublette County scores the highest of the group at 53 with a median price of $435,658, suggesting better relative value at a similar price point, though rent data wasn't provided. Lincoln County at $501,355 is the most expensive neighbor and lacks rent data in this dataset.

Choose Sheridan over its neighbors only if you have a specific reason to be in this market: proximity to the property, familiarity with the tenant base, or a thesis on long-term price appreciation driven by lifestyle migration to northern Wyoming. On pure numbers, Fremont County offers lower absolute losses at lower entry prices, and Sublette County's higher overall score at a comparable price warrants a closer look before committing capital to Sheridan.

Last analyzed October 16, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Sheridan County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,570/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$335,260-$737/mo3.6%-11.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$447,013-$1,323/mo2.7%-15.4%
125% of median
newer / premium
$558,767-$1,909/mo2.2%-17.8%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$447,013
Down Payment (20%)$89,403
Loan Amount$357,610
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,570
Monthly P&I-$2,343
Est. Expenses (35%)-$550
Net Cash Flow-$1,323/mo
2.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-15.4%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.21%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
44/100
44
Cash Flow(30%)
33/100

Based on 4.21% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
56/100

Based on 0.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
36/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.21%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,323/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
31,176
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
  • −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
SubletteWY
53$435,658Est. pending—HoldView
FremontWY
45$307,563$1,0254.00%HoldView
LincolnWY
45$501,355Est. pending—HoldView
CurrentSheridanWY
44$447,013$1,5704.21%Avoid
AlbanyWY
43$361,467$1,1423.79%AvoidView
ParkWY
35$444,338$1,3023.52%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidSheridan may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Sheridan County in Wyoming scores 44/100, ranking #702 of 1,000 US counties (top 90%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1323/month; the 4.21% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,323/mo
Cap Rate
2.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-15.4%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

The average cap rate in Sheridan County is 2.74%, which is relatively low and indicates limited cash flow potential on typical rental purchases in the area.

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