Wyoming multifamily cap evidence and operating comparisons
The useful benchmark is one that matches the property’s geography, income basis, condition and buyer pool. Cap rate is annual net operating income (NOI) divided by price, before financing. A county gross rent-to-value index is a different measure.
County vacancy changes the income question
WCDA 2026 survey · June 10 edition · Rental vacancy (%)
| Observation | Percent |
|---|---|
| Laramie County | 4.30% |
| Natrona County | 5.30% |
| Albany County | 4.80% |
| Teton County | 2.90% |
| Campbell County | 7.20% |
| Geography / measure | Reported result | Observation period | Basis and source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming rental vacancy | 4.9% | 2026 survey; June 10 publication | All covered rental types, not apartment sale caps WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Laramie County vacancy | 4.3% | 2026 survey | County rental vacancy WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Natrona County vacancy | 5.3% | 2026 survey | County rental vacancy WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Albany County vacancy | 4.8% | 2026 survey | County rental vacancy WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Teton County vacancy | 2.9% | 2026 survey | County rental vacancy WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Campbell County vacancy | 7.2% | 2026 survey | County rental vacancy WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey |
| Casper cap reference | Not adopted: conflicting bands | Page accessed October 18, 2026 | Broker marketing; not a verified sale series CO Multifamily Advisors Casper page |
A total sale count is not necessarily the number of sales with disclosed caps. Published averages, medians, asking yields, modeled references and professional surveys are different statistics. Undisclosed weighting or NOI conventions prevent a reliable statewide average and like-for-like appraisal. Two publishers using the same provider do not create independent confirmation.
What changes the underwriting locally?
Use local operating evidence to decide which property assumption needs verification next. Each interpretation below is conditional editorial analysis, not a measured cap-rate forecast.
Cheyenne and Laramie County: verify the county-to-property bridge
Reported evidence: Laramie County vacancy is 4.3% in WCDA’s 2026 survey. This is not Laramie city, which is in Albany County. WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey
Local underwriting mechanism: Confusing the two geographies can put the wrong market in a lender memo. Even a correct county figure does not reveal a subject’s concessions, lease expirations or competing unit mix.
RentalCalcs interpretation: The county observation supports an operating comparison, not a Cheyenne cap target. A stability case needs actual renewals and property margin.
What would change the view, and what to obtain?
Contrary evidence: A concentrated expiration schedule or weak collections could contradict the county’s apparent occupancy strength.
Property decision: Match the address to county and city, inspect competing annual leases, and obtain recent sales with supported NOI. Do not select a yield by relabeling a county vacancy rate.

Casper and Natrona County: quote the income, not a convenient broker range
Reported evidence: Natrona County vacancy is 5.3%. The inspected Casper brokerage page contains three incompatible cap bands and no auditable sale sample. WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey
Local underwriting mechanism: An energy-exposed tenant or employer concentration should be tested through lease/collection history rather than a universal yield premium. A larger nominal cap can conceal recurring downtime and capital needs.
RentalCalcs interpretation: No quantitative cap-direction conclusion is supported by the conflicting bands. Underwrite a range of exit assumptions only as scenarios.
What would change the view, and what to obtain?
Contrary evidence: A verified set of recent local sales with consistent buyer-adjusted NOI would supersede this uncertainty; another repetition of one band would not.
Property decision: Ask for employment/lease concentration in aggregate, monthly collections through prior slow periods, comparable sales and actual lender terms. Do not expose tenant personal details in the analysis.
Laramie and Albany County: account for synchronized turnover
Reported evidence: Albany County vacancy is 4.8%. The county sample includes multiple rental types; it is not a student-apartment cap series. WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey
Local underwriting mechanism: For a property with academic-year leases, annual vacancy averages can hide one expensive summer turn. A missed leasing window or clustered maintenance work affects cash differently from evenly spread vacancies.
RentalCalcs interpretation: A stable annual occupancy assumption can still require a larger cash buffer. Compression is unproven without matched student or conventional sale evidence.
What would change the view, and what to obtain?
Contrary evidence: Staggered conventional leases and documented low turn costs could reduce the calendar risk for a particular building.
Property decision: Verify the subject’s actual lease structure, renewal timing and turn invoices. Distinguish leases by bed from leases by unit before comparing income or debt coverage.
Jackson/Teton and other secondary markets: scarcity is not a sale yield
Reported evidence: Teton County vacancy is 2.9%, versus Campbell County’s 7.2%. These observations describe covered rentals, not city apartment caps. WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey
Local underwriting mechanism: Low vacancy does not establish what workforce renters can pay, what replacement work costs, or how quickly a property can be sold. Any deed restrictions or employer-linked leases must be priced from their actual documents.
RentalCalcs interpretation: Income scarcity may support collections in Teton, while a thinner buyer pool or constrained permitted income can still limit value. Campbell needs its own operating and employment test.
What would change the view, and what to obtain?
Contrary evidence: Documented restrictions, unaffordable projected renewals or weaker employer demand could invalidate a scarcity premium.
Property decision: Obtain restriction/lease documents, local contractor and management bids, and a financeable sale set. Do not apply a Jackson assumption to Gillette, Sheridan, Rock Springs or rural counties.
Supported submarkets and the missing evidence
The WCDA survey provides broad county operating coverage, but not a closed-sale cap series. County samples and rental types vary. This report supplies no numeric city/neighborhood yield or state cap average. Casper’s conflicting bands are rejected pending clarification. Matching apartment sale NOI and prices remain the principal evidence gap statewide.
The next evidence request
Before underwriting a property, obtain a current rent roll reconciled to trailing collections, concessions and delinquency; actual operating statements; buyer tax and insurance costs; a capital inspection; and recent closed comps with documented NOI. Record why each comp matches, which costs changed after sale and whether the cap uses trailing or stabilized income.
The Wyoming county directory and Laramie County cap-rate screening page serve local screening questions. Their modeled housing indexes are not a substitute for the apartment observations here. Do not copy a county index into a building’s appraisal.

Compression, stabilization or expansion?
WCDA’s public-agency survey answers whether surveyed rentals are occupied; it cannot answer the yield paid for ownership. The Casper brokerage page answers a marketing question and has unresolved numerical contradictions. CBRE offers a distinct national professional-survey perspective, not local transaction confirmation. Stronger operating evidence cannot repair a missing sale denominator.
Attributed publisher outlook
No defensible numeric Wyoming cap forecast was located. CBRE’s national survey mostly expects unchanged yields while expressing more Class C expansion concern. RentalCalcs’ cases below are conditional underwriting tests, with no probability or basis-point prediction.
Perspectives: WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey · CBRE H1 2026 Cap Rate Survey. Related reports and shared providers are not counted as independent observations.
RentalCalcs base underwriting position: start with unchanged exit yield and verified buyer NOI. This is a conservative scenario choice, not an assertion that the state’s cap rates will stay flat. The three cases identify evidence that can change the choice; no probabilities or basis-point targets are assigned.
Compression
Stable collections, a documented local sale set and broader financing/buyer competition could reduce required yields.
Watch: Comparable buyer NOI, number of qualified bids and binding loan offers.
Invalidation: Tenant concentration, restrictions or borrowing costs prevent supported NOI from financing the asking price.
Underwrite: Treat a lower exit yield only as upside after local comps exist.
Stabilization
Existing rental occupancy holds while liquidity and capital costs limit price movement.
Watch: Collections, renewal retention and marketing time for comparable assets.
Invalidation: Recurring vacancy or transaction yields move consistently after normalization.
Underwrite: Keep the chosen exit cap unchanged and disclose it as an assumption.
Expansion
Employer or turnover weakness, costly work or fewer buyers demands a larger yield.
Watch: Economic vacancy, concessions, system bids and refinance coverage.
Invalidation: Multiple supported sales clear tighter normalized yields with more competitive debt.
Underwrite: Test an income shortfall together with a wider exit cap and a longer sale period.
Short-term policy rates do not equal property borrowing costs. Loan spreads, term, leverage and amortization affect coverage. Better physical occupancy does not guarantee stronger collected NOI; a smaller construction pipeline does not eliminate existing lease-up competition.
Translate income and yield into property value
Value = annual NOI ÷ (cap rate ÷ 100). At constant income, a higher cap means a lower value. A move from 5% to 6% is +100 basis points and reduces value by 16.7%, before debt or sale costs; it is not a 1% value decline.
A Wyoming evidence-to-offer process
- Resolve geographyLaramie County contains Cheyenne; Laramie city is in Albany County.
- Build the lease calendarModel concentrated student or employer-linked expirations from actual leases.
- Require price and NOI evidenceVacancy cannot supply an apartment sale yield; reject contradictory marketing bands.
Hypothetical assumptions. NOI change is cumulative over your chosen holding period, not an annual growth rate. Results exclude debt, sale costs, taxes and interim cash flow.
Starting value $1,714,286
Exit value $1,650,000 (-3.7%)
$120,000 starting NOI at 7% → $132,000 exit NOI at 8%. NOI must change by 14.3% to preserve starting value at this exit cap rate.
| Cumulative NOI change | 6.50% exit | 7.00% exit | 7.50% exit | 8.00% exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% total | -3.1% | -10.0% | -16.0% | -21.3% |
| 0% total | +7.7% | 0.0% | -6.7% | -12.5% |
| +10% total | +18.5% | +10.0% | +2.7% | -3.7% |
| +20% total | +29.2% | +20.0% | +12.0% | +5.0% |
Original arithmetic, not observed local prices. This fixed matrix does not change with the tool above. NOI changes are total over the chosen holding period, not annual growth. Neither view includes debt payoff, transaction costs, sale tax or interim cash flow. Use the full calculator for those cash movements.
One acquisition, reconciled from rent roll to investor cash
The illustration uses 20 units at $1,250 monthly scheduled rent, an 8% vacancy/collection loss and independently stated buyer expenses. These are standardized teaching assumptions, not estimates of attainable Wyoming rent, taxes or premiums. The 7% entry cap is a chosen scenario, not an observed statewide recommendation.
| Line | Annual dollars |
|---|---|
| Scheduled rent: 20 × $1,250 × 12 | $300,000 |
| Vacancy and collection loss: 8% | −$24,000 |
| Collected operating income | $276,000 |
| Buyer property taxes | −$36,000 |
| Property insurance | −$18,000 |
| Management | −$13,800 |
| Recurring repairs | −$24,000 |
| Utilities and grounds | −$30,000 |
| Payroll / contract services | −$24,000 |
| Administration / compliance | −$10,200 |
| Total recurring operating expenses | −$156,000 |
| NOI, before debt and reserves | $120,000 |
Replace the illustrative costs with property evidence
Obtain the county assessor’s current classification, valuation, exemptions/relief and full levy stack. Residential assessment percentages are not the effective tax rate on purchase price. Do not assume relief advertised for owner-occupants applies to an investment apartment. Wyoming DOR residential assessment guidance
For dispersed or smaller markets, request actual property-management coverage, travel charges, turn labor and replacement bids. Document snow, winter utilities and policy deductibles by property. A statewide expense percentage cannot substitute for a binding insurance quote or a component plan.
| Measure | Reconciled result |
|---|---|
| Purchase price at 7% cap | $1,714,286 |
| Loan / down payment | $1,028,571 / $685,714 |
| Annual debt service | $78,015 |
| Annual replacement reserves, below NOI | $12,000 |
| Annual cash after debt and reserves | $29,985 |
| Closing cash / immediate capital work | $51,429 / $60,000 |
| Total invested cash | $797,143 = down payment + closing + immediate work |
| Cash-on-cash, before income tax | 3.76% |
| DSCR / debt yield, before reserves | 1.54× / 11.67% |
The assumed loan is not a current quote. For a hypothetical 1.25× minimum DSCR before reserves, the loan ceiling is about $1,265,687 at these terms; actual sizing also depends on LTV, debt yield and lender reserve/NOI definitions. With a full reserve deduction, DSCR becomes 1.38×. Negative cash is displayed as a loss, never hidden.
Yield on cost is separate: a hypothetical 10% higher stabilized NOI of $132,000 on price, closing and initial work of $1,825,714 produces 7.23%. It is not the going-in yield. Carrying costs and overruns would increase that cost basis; the income improvement has not been earned.
How much of the margin survives?
Additional recurring management, winter and turnover costs. This adds a hypothetical recurring cost above the budget below; it is not a quote or an observed expense increase.
Buyer NOI $106,000
Value at the fixed 7% assumed cap $1,514,286
Annual cash after debt and reserve $15,985
DSCR before reserves: 1.36×. Value impact: −$200,000. The loan stays fixed; this is operating stress, not a refinancing calculation.
Core results and worksheet are free. Assumptions do not transfer to linked calculators; enter the actual rent roll, costs and loan terms. A tool click is separate from a completed analysis or saved deal. Sale proceeds require debt payoff, selling costs and applicable taxes.
Before relying on a Wyoming cap rate
What is a good cap rate?
No single yield is defensible for all of Wyoming. Compare matching closed-sale income, buyer expenses and work requirements, then test debt coverage and invested cash. A higher nominal cap may compensate for missing income or capital obligations rather than create a better return.
Can these apartment references price a duplex or another asset class?
There is no automatic transfer. One-to-four-unit rentals can compete with owner-occupants, while office, retail and industrial leases carry different downtime, credit and leasing-capital obligations. Use a matching sale cohort. The single-family analyzer helps build a smaller rental’s own income budget.
How should a buyer verify NOI?
Reconcile a trailing year of collections, free rent, delinquency and reimbursements to the leases and bank-backed operating statements. Replace taxes, insurance and management with buyer costs. Separate recurring repairs, immediate work and reserves. The NOI classification guide explains the expense bridge.
What if the deal depends on subsidized income or a refinance?
Verify the contract, approved rent, tenant portion, inspection and recurring compliance costs. The voucher-income valuation guide explains why a reference schedule is not contracted NOI. Refinance proceeds also depend on lender income, loan terms and payoff; higher appraised value alone does not guarantee available cash.
Take the missing evidence to the property
The free printable worksheet pairs this state’s local diligence questions with a blank income budget, sale-comp log, debt/cash reconciliation and conditional exit cases.
Open the Wyoming underwriting worksheetSources, lineage and update policy
Research accessed October 18, 2026. Observation periods, publication and access dates are different. The source ledger identifies known coverage and undisclosed methods. Public brokerage research has commercial interests; public availability is not unrestricted dataset republication permission. This report summarizes limited facts and contributes original comparisons and underwriting analysis.
Open the full source ledger and refresh triggers
- WCDA 2026 Wyoming Rental Vacancy Survey
Observation: 2026 survey edition; collection dates not fully specified. Published: June 10, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.
Underlying provider: Survey prepared for Wyoming Community Development Authority; systematic online collection and phone interviews. Geography / property scope: Over 13,000 rental units, about one fifth of Wyoming rentals; all unit types, not only conventional apartments.
Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Table 1, PDF p4, visually checked. Vacancy is observed vacant units / covered rental stock under survey method. County samples differ; no sale cap, NOI or price weighting. Appendix carries counts. Small rural samples can be volatile.
Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.
- CO Multifamily Advisors Casper page
Observation: Page accessed October 18; market pulse dated September 1, 2026. Published: General page publication not stated. Accessed: October 18, 2026.
Underlying provider: Brokerage commentary; transaction database not inspectable. Geography / property scope: Casper apartment marketing page.
Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Conflicting cap bands: body 6.5–9%, snapshot 5.75–7.5%, FAQ 7–9.5%. No band selected as a reliable current benchmark. Sample, weighting and NOI convention undisclosed. Do not calculate midpoint or treat repeated marketing text as confirmation.
Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.
- Wyoming DOR residential assessment guidance
Observation: Current guidance at review. Published: Page date not stated. Accessed: October 18, 2026.
Underlying provider: Wyoming Department of Revenue Property Tax Division. Geography / property scope: Wyoming residential property; county administration.
Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Assessed value and levy are separate from market value. Confirm current classification, exemptions and relief applicability for a rental buyer; guidance is not a parcel bill.
Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.
- CBRE H1 2026 Cap Rate Survey
Observation: June 2026 estimates and next-six-month expectations. Published: August 12, 2026. Accessed: October 18, 2026.
Underlying provider: CBRE Capital Markets and Valuation professionals. Geography / property scope: National professional survey, not a state transaction sample.
Statistic, NOI, sample, weighting and limits: Stabilized NOI / acquisition price; value-add uses enhanced stabilized NOI / price plus capital. Estimates informed by trades and investor discussions, not sale averages. State sample not inferred. Full local tables require contact form; no form submitted.
Refresh trigger: Next matching edition, correction, material financing change or local rule update; reconcile affected narrative and tables together.
No automated build advances the editorial date. Revisit local facts and conditional conclusions together on new editions, corrections, material borrowing-cost changes or relevant operating/rule changes. First-publication dates are added only after public release.
Send a correction with the source and observation date · Wyoming county directory · California’s separately researched report
