Bibb market analysis
Bibb County, Alabama comes in at a median home price of $220,064 with year-over-year appreciation of just 0.23%, which is effectively flat. The data does not include a median rent figure or cap rate for this county, so a precise price-to-rent ratio or cash-flow projection cannot be calculated from the available inputs. What the affordability index of 83 tells you is that this is a below-average-cost market by national standards, and the overall score of 61 out of 100, with a cash flow score of 0 and an appreciation score of 52, places Bibb squarely in neither-column territory: it is not producing the rent yields needed to cash flow on a conventional 20% down mortgage at 6.85%, and price growth at 0.23% annually is not making the appreciation case either. At a $220,064 purchase price with a $44,013 down payment, an investor carrying this at 6.85% is fighting a difficult cost-of-capital battle without rent data to prove the spread works.
Given those scores, Bibb is hardest to underwrite as a straightforward buy-and-hold for either cash flow or appreciation. The cash flow score of 0 is a direct signal that, at current financing rates, the numbers are not producing positive returns on a standard acquisition. The appreciation score of 52 and 0.23% actual price movement suggest this is not a market where you are getting paid to wait. The affordability index of 83 is genuinely useful if you are a value-add operator buying distressed assets below median, forcing appreciation through renovation, or targeting seller-financed or off-market deals at meaningful discounts to the $220,064 median. At that point the low entry price gives you margin to work with. For a passive, leveraged buy-and-hold buyer expecting the market to do the work, the current data does not support that thesis.
No economic anchor data was provided for Bibb County, so employment drivers and rental demand underpinnings cannot be assessed from the available inputs. That absence is itself an underwriting signal for a county of 22,251 people: without identifiable major employers or institutional anchors, rental demand is likely tied to a limited and potentially thin local labor base. Stability scores of 50 reflect that uncertainty.
The tax and insurance carry picture is one of the few genuine tailwinds in this dataset. At Alabama's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.40%, which is very low by national standards, and an insurance rate of 0.42%, combined monthly tax and insurance on this property runs approximately $150. That is a real and meaningful advantage. At 6.85% financing, every dollar of carry cost matters, and $150 per month in tax and insurance is well below what the same $220,000 property would cost to hold in a high-tax state. The caveat from Tax Foundation 2024 data applies: that 0.40% is a state-average estimate, and actual Bibb County or township-level rates may differ, so pull the county assessor's figures before finalizing your underwrite. But if the rate holds near that level, it is a legitimate line-item advantage in an otherwise tight deal.
The primary risk here is concentration and scale. A population of 22,251 means the rental pool is small, and any softness in local employment translates quickly into elevated vacancy without a diversified tenant base to absorb it. The nearly flat home price appreciation over the past year in a market this size can also signal illiquidity: fewer buyers means longer hold periods and potentially wider bid-ask spreads when you exit. No vacancy or demographic deterioration data was provided, but the combination of a small population, a stability score of 50, and zero cash flow score warrants conservative vacancy assumptions in any pro forma.
Comparing Bibb to its neighbors, the picture clarifies where it sits. Mobile County, with a median of $191,438 and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.079, is generating better yield metrics at a lower entry price and an overall score of 62. Marshall County at $233,686 median and a 0.078 rent-to-price ratio is also producing meaningfully better yield data with the same overall score of 61. De Kalb County scores 62 overall at a $201,634 median, suggesting slightly better relative value. Clay County at $176,274 offers the lowest entry price in the peer set with the same 61 overall score, which may appeal to a deep-value buyer willing to accept the liquidity constraints of an even smaller market. Bibb's advantage over most of these neighbors comes down to one thing: the very low property tax rate. If you are already committed to central Alabama and you find a deal in Bibb at a meaningful discount to the $220,064 median, the tax tailwind and low entry point can support a penciled deal that would not work elsewhere. But on market-rate acquisitions at or near median, Mobile or Marshall offer better yield proof points from the available data.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 0.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Bibb County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Bibb County in Alabama scores 61/100, ranking #344 of 1,000 US counties (top 44%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.