Kenai Peninsula Borough

AlaskaPopulation: 59,235
62
/100
Hold
#316 of 1,000 counties
#8 in Alaska (14 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$356,795
Median Home Price
56% above national median
$1,778/mo
Median Rent
23% above national median
5.98%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 52% nationally
-$715
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,778/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$267,596-$247/mo5.2%-4.8%
Median
typical MLS deal
$356,795-$715/mo3.9%-10.5%
125% of median
newer / premium
$445,994-$1,182/mo3.1%-13.8%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$356,795
Down Payment (20%)$71,359
Loan Amount$285,436
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,778
Monthly P&I-$1,870
Est. Expenses (35%)-$622
Net Cash Flow-$715/mo
3.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.5%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.98%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
62/100
62
Cash Flow(30%)
60/100

Based on 5.98% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
85/100

Based on 8.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
54/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Strong price appreciation (+8.1% YoY)
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$715/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
59,235
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Sitka BoroughAK
64$485,060Est. pendingBuyView
CurrentKenai Peninsula BoroughAK
62$356,795$1,7785.98%Buy
Matanuska Susitna BoroughAK
62$386,815$1,6935.25%BuyView
Kodiak Island BoroughAK
61$412,647Est. pendingBuyView
Fairbanks North Star BoroughAK
59$289,473$1,7457.23%HoldView
Anchorage BoroughAK
59$410,550$1,7064.99%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldKenai Peninsula Borough scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $715/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Kenai Peninsula Borough in Alaska scores 62/100, ranking #316 of 1,000 US counties (top 40%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $715/month; the 5.98% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-715/mo
Cap Rate
3.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.5%

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