North Slope Borough market analysis
North Slope Borough scores a 69 overall and lands in the 78th national percentile across 1,000 counties, ranking 2nd out of 14 Alaskan counties in this dataset. The appreciation score of 89 is the headline number: home prices are up 5.93% year-over-year on a $324,045 median, and the market sits firmly at the appreciation end of the spectrum. The cash-flow score, however, is 0, and the cap rate comes back as 0 as well, which is not a rounding artifact. This is a market where the income-producing math simply does not pencil in conventional terms. The affordability index of 61 suggests prices are not wildly out of reach by Alaskan standards, but the absence of any modeled rental yield means an investor cannot lean on monthly cash flow to carry the asset.
The investor profile this market suits is narrow and specific: a long-horizon appreciation buyer or someone with a strategic operational reason to be here. With home price appreciation running at 5.93% annually and an appreciation score of 89, a buy-and-hold investor who can self-finance carrying costs or access the asset with minimal leverage has a real argument for price appreciation generating returns over time. A cash-flow operator has no case here; the data provides no yield to build from. A value-add operator faces the same ceiling: without a modeled rental market to exit into at scale, forced appreciation through renovation does not translate into a clear exit at improved cap rate. This market rewards patience and balance-sheet strength, not monthly income generation.
The economic context for North Slope Borough is unusual. With a population of just 10,924, this is one of the most sparsely populated counties in the dataset, and that population figure alone explains much of the investment landscape. A market this small carries structural limits on rental demand depth. Even if individual rental transactions occur, the pool of prospective tenants is constrained in a way that a metro-adjacent county never is. No economic anchor data was provided, but the borough's geography, encompassing Alaska's North Slope oil fields, is a matter of public record and the data does not instruct inclusion of outside information, so the analysis rests on what the numbers show: a tiny, remote, appreciating market with no modeled rental income.
On carrying costs, monthly property tax and insurance combined comes to $365, based on a state-average effective tax rate of 1.18% and an insurance rate of 0.17% against the $324,045 purchase price. The property tax flag is "normal," meaning the rate is not a particular headwind compared to the national average, though the disclaimer matters: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and actual North Slope Borough millage rates may differ meaningfully from the statewide figure, so any serious underwrite should pull the borough's actual assessed rates before committing. At $365 per month, taxes and insurance are not trivial even before a mortgage payment, vacancy reserve, or maintenance budget, and with cash flow modeled at zero, every dollar of carry comes out of the investor's pocket or appreciation gains.
The concentration risk here is the most important specific concern the data supports. A population of 10,924 in a geographically extreme, remote borough means that any shift in the primary economic driver, whatever is anchoring that small population base, would have an outsized and rapid effect on home prices and what little rental demand exists. Stability scores at 50, exactly at the midpoint, which is consistent with a market that has real price momentum but carries meaningful downside if conditions shift. There is no diversification cushion in a 10,924-person market.
Against its neighbors in this dataset, North Slope Borough's $324,045 median is below Ketchikan Gateway Borough at $381,504, below Petersburg Borough at $358,280, and roughly in line with Haines Borough at $324,103, while sitting above Valdez Cordova at $312,829 and Wrangell at $288,171. Yet North Slope Borough's overall score of 69 leads every neighbor, all of which score 66 or 67. The premium this market commands in the scoring is driven entirely by its 89 appreciation score, since cash flow contributes nothing. An investor should choose North Slope Borough over its neighbors only if appreciation is the sole objective and the investor can absorb carrying costs without rental income. If any cash-flow contribution is required, Wrangell's $288,171 median offers a lower entry point, and Valdez Cordova at $312,829 gives another step down with comparable overall scores. The choice comes down to what the investor needs the asset to do during the hold period: if the answer is appreciate, North Slope Borough leads this peer group; if the answer is anything else, it does not.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.9% YoY)
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
| County | Verdict | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CurrentNorth Slope BoroughAK | 69 | $324,045 | Est. pending | — | Buy | |
Ketchikan Gateway BoroughAK | 67 | $381,504 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Valdez Cordova BoroughAK | 66 | $312,829 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Petersburg BoroughAK | 66 | $358,280 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Wrangell BoroughAK | 66 | $288,171 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
Haines BoroughAK | 66 | $324,103 | Est. pending | — | Buy | View |
The Bottom Line
North Slope Borough in Alaska scores 69/100, ranking #169 of 1,000 US counties (top 22%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.