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Market MapCaliforniaNapa

Napa County

CaliforniaPopulation: 137,384
31
/100
Avoid
#776 of 1,000 counties
#48 in California (58 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 20, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$885,567
Median Home Price
286% above national median
$2,815/mo
Median Rent
94% above national median
3.82%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 96% nationally
-$2,812
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,815/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$664,175-$1,651/mo3.3%-13.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$885,567-$2,812/mo2.5%-16.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$1,106,959-$3,972/mo2.0%-18.7%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$885,567
Down Payment (20%)$177,113
Loan Amount$708,454
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,815
Monthly P&I-$4,642
Est. Expenses (35%)-$985
Net Cash Flow-$2,812/mo
2.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-16.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
3.82%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
31/100
31
Cash Flow(30%)
27/100

Based on 3.82% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
36/100

Based on -2.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
5/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (3.82%)
  • -Declining home values (-2.8% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$2,812/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
137,384
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Los AngelesCA
33$859,958$2,8093.92%AvoidView
San DiegoCA
33$910,765$2,9333.86%AvoidView
CurrentNapaCA
31$885,567$2,8153.82%Avoid
MendocinoCA
31$482,788$1,7194.27%AvoidView
San MateoCA
31$1,511,224$3,4632.75%AvoidView
MarinCA
30$1,396,277$3,6553.14%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidNapa may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Napa County in California scores 31/100, ranking #776 of 1,000 US counties (top 99%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $2812/month; the 3.82% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-2,812/mo
Cap Rate
2.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-16.6%

Related markets

Markets like Napa with stronger cash flow

  • Mendocino County for cash-flow rentals
  • Los Angeles County for cash-flow rentals
  • San Diego County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Napa

  • Mendocino County, lower entry price
  • Los Angeles County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Napa vs Mendocino for rentals
  • Napa vs San Mateo for rentals
  • Napa vs Marin for rentals
All counties in California →

Rent vs buy in California cities

Rent vs buy in Los Angeles, CAMedian $859,958 · rent $2,809/moRent vs buy in San Diego, CAMedian $910,765 · rent $2,933/moRent vs buy in San Jose, CAMedian $1,578,502 · rent $3,419/moRent vs buy in San Francisco, CAMedian $1,245,307 · rent $3,680/moRent vs buy in Sacramento, CAMedian $518,553 · rent $2,149/moAll California citiesFull rent-vs-buy directory for the state

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